Dem 48
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Ties 3
GOP 49
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New polls:  
Dem pickups vs. 2020 Senate: PA
GOP pickups vs. 2020 Senate : (None)
Political Wire logo GOP Lawmaker Says ‘Not So Fast’ on McCarthy as Speaker
Trump Gathering Dirt on Ron DeSantis
Trump Under Fire From Within GOP After Midterms
The Perils of a Narrow House GOP Majority
Whitmer Vaults Into National Spotlight
Rupert Murdoch Weighs In

TODAY'S HEADLINES (click to jump there; use your browser's "Back" button to return here)

If you missed our Tuesday writeup, click on "Previous report" above.
States are colored in on the map only after they have been called.
Below are real-time results for swing states not yet called.
This page will be updated often. You may have to clear your browser cache to get the latest update.

What a night!

State Democrat Dem % Republican GOP % Reporting Comments
AZ Mark Kelly* 52% Blake Masters 46% 74%
CO Michael Bennet* 55% Joe O`Dea 43% 73% Bennet won
GA Raphael Warnock* 49% Herschel Walker 48% 94%
NC Cheri Beasley 47% Ted Budd 51% 95% Budd won
NH Maggie Hassan* 54% Don Bolduc 44% 81% Hassan won
NV Catherine Cortez Masto* 47% Adam Laxalt 50% 75%
OH Tim Ryan 47% J.D. Vance 53% 96% Vance won
PA John Fetterman 50% Mehmet Oz 47% 94% Fetterman won
WI Mandela Barnes 49% Ron Johnson* 51% 94%

02:30 EST
That's it for us! Thanks to everyone for reading. This one is going to give us a lot to write about over the next few weeks.

02:30 EST
We're not including Alaska, because Republican wins there are certain, even if the races haven't been called yet due to late-closing polls.

02:30 EST
Meanwhile, four gubernatorial races are still undecided: Oregon, Nevada, Arizona, and Kansas. The Republicans are not likely to sweep the four, but the Democrats could.

02:28 EST
Wisconsin is likely to go Republican and Arizona is likely to go Democratic. So, it's going to come down to Nevada and Georgia for control of the Senate. Democrats will need just one; Republicans need both.

02:23 EST
The good news for Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) is that she's up 51-46. The bad news is that 75% of very blue Clark County has already been counted

02:19 EST
Looking like there won't be a result in the Wisconsin Senate race tonights

02:18 EST
#2 Guy in Georgia SoS office thinks there will be a runoff

02:06 EST
The Fox talking heads are now saying that the Republicans need to figure out what went wrong tonight and fix it, and that the solution is definitely not moving leftward.

02:04 EST
DCCC Chairman Sean Patrick Maloney (D-NY) probably lost

02:04 EST
Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) just gave a speech in which the claimed a mandate. Seems dubious to us. Also, he is a horrible public speaker. He sounds like a bad 1970's DJs

01:51 EST
If all the House races go to the party currently leading, it will GOP 219, Dem 216.
Kevin McCarthy will have fun running the House if that happens. There was no red wave.

01:51 EST

More reports and comments from readers:

R.E.M. in Brooklyn, NY: Even with Gov. Tony Evers' (D-WI) re-election, there is a risk that Republicans could obtain gerrymandered supermajorities in both state houses and could override a veto.

J.K. in Dane County, WI: E.H. in Madison is delusional. I had the same delusions working the Madison polls in 2016. I now live in a more MAGA part of Dane County (same country as Madison) and dealt with frustratingly long lines to vote today. Moreover, I hear the same from family in the GOP stronghold suburbs of Milwaukee. As sad as reality is, there are not enough ballots outstanding to carry a left-wing Senate candidate to victory. We're stuck with Ron Johnson.

W.F. in Orlando, FL: The ticket-splitting voter is clearly the white buffalo in politics. Split-ticket voters were a significant difference in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. They also made an impact in Kansas, Oklahoma, and even Ohio. No one appears to know who these voters are, but they are clearly persuadable--if they can be identified.

J.F. in Fort Worth, TX: You wrote: "You know who is having a bad night? Donald Trump."

If I don't wake up tomorrow morning to the headline "Trump Indicted by Justice Department," then AG Merrick Garland should be sued for political malpractice.

D.F. in Norcross, CA: Keeping a close eye on the Georgia Senate race, and it continues to be a nail-biter (as expected). Right now, The New York Times has Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) with an ever-so-slim lead of about 13,000 votes over Herschel Walker (49.36% to 48.85%).

It looks like there are still a decent number of precincts that haven't yet reported in several metro Atlanta counties. Most notably, sizeable numbers of votes are still outstanding in very blue Gwinnett County (13%) and also fairly blue (but less populous) Newton County (16%). Also some pockets left in Fulton (7% still out), Cobb (19%) and DeKalb (6%) counties. Also, there is still about 10% of the vote still out in Chatham County (Savannah). The most populous red counties with outstanding votes appear to be Lowndes, which is near Valdosta on the Florida border (11% out) and Columbia County just outside of Augusta (57% still out, but that's still probably smaller than any of the metro Atlanta counties).

Overall, about 94% of the precinct are in, and it's looking more and more like a run-off, since the Libertarian candidate is pulling in about 2% statewide.

01:39 EST
NBC projects that Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) will be reelected. Another Trumper (Tudor Dixon) bites the dust.
We haven't done the math yet but it looks like a bad night for Trump.
Combined with DeSantis' crushing win in FL, maybe DeSantis will announce for 2024 before Trump

01:29 EST
MSNBC has called the Wisconsin gubernatorial race for Gov. Tony Evers (D). All three upper Midwest incumbent governors thus kept their jobs.

01:28 EST
CNN has projected that Gov. Tony Evers (D-WI) will be reelected.
This means the state legislature won't be able to restrict voting

01:19 EST
Sen.-elect John Fetterman (D-PA) is delivering his victory speech. He is perfectly lucid.

01:18 EST

Another update on the three "abortion vote" races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

KS-03 (D+1); Sharice Davids* (D) vs. Amanda Adkins (R): Davids is the winner; she's up 56% to 43% with more than 95% reporting

MI-03 (R+3); Hillary Scholten (D) vs. John Gibbs (R): Scholten is up 53% to 44% with 68% reporting

MI-08 (R+4); Dan Kildee (D) vs. Paul Junge (R): Kildee is up 49% to 46% with 60% reporting

And here is another rundown of what's going on with the various abortion-related ballot initiatives:

Kentucky Constitutional Amendment 2 (Should the state ban abortion?): 53% no, 47% yes with 86% reporting; local media has declared a win for "no."

Vermont Proposal (Should personal reproductive autonomy be a constitutional right?): 78% yes, 22% no with more than 95% reporting; all outlets have declared a win for "yes"

Michigan Proposal 3 (Should reproductive freedom be a constitutional right?): 53% yes, 47% no with 59% reporting; ABC has declared a win for "yes."

Montana Legislative Referendum 131 (Should doctors be required to try to save any infant born alive?): 55% no, 45% yes with 38% reporting

California Proposition 1 (Should reproductive freedom be a constitutional right?): 69% yes, 31% no with 31 reporting; ABC and NBC have both declared a win for "yes."

Clearly, pro-choice is a political winner. The 2024 election is going to be very interesting.

01:14 EST
CNN has now called Pennsylvania for Fetterman

01:09 EST

An update on the three "Latino vote" races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

TX-34 (D+5); Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D) vs. Mayra Flores* (R): Gonzalez has been called as the winner, he's up 53-44 with 92% of the vote in

NV-01 (D+12); Dina Titus* (D) vs. Mark Robertson (R): Titus is up 55-43 with 58% reporting

NM-02 (R+8); Gabriel Vasquez (D) vs. Yvette Herrell* (R): It's a dead heat with 90% reporting

Clearly, the Latino vote turned out, and not particularly for the Republicans. Well, OK, the Cubans went for the Republicans, but the Latinos in the West (mostly Mexican Americans and folks from Central America) didn't.

01:06 EST
Gov. Tony Evers (D-WI) is at 50.9% and the Republican is at 48.0% with 88% counted

01:05 EST
Polls are closed nationwide.

01:03 EST
Assuming Lisa Murkowski wins AK, the Democrats need to win two out of AZ, NV, WI, and GA
to keep their control of the Senate

01:01 EST
And boy will Trump be mad at Fox

01:00 EST
Finally! Votes from Nevada. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto is at 55% and Adam Laxalt (R) is at 41%.
If Masto, Kelly, and Fetterman win, that gets the Democrats to 50 without Georgia

00:59 EST

Fox just called Pennsylvania for Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D-PA). That's the first Senate seat to flip tonight.

00:56 EST
Gov. Steve Sisolak (D-NV) is +10 over the Republican

00:46 EST
Warnock is at 49.1%, Walker is at 48.4% in Georgia

00:45 EST
Brad Raffensperger was reelected secretary of state in Georgia

00:45 EST

Let's take another look at the five swingy races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

VA-07 (D+1); Abigail Spanberger* (D) vs. Yesli Vega (R): Spanberger has won; she's up 52-48 with 95% reporting.

PA-08 (R+4); Matt Cartwright* (D) vs. Jim Bognet (R) : Cartwright is up 51-49 with 93% reporting

IL-17 (D+2); Eric Sorensen (D) vs. Esther King (R): Sorensen is up 52-48 with 92% reporting.

NE-2 (EVEN); Tony Vargas (D) vs. Don Bacon* (R): Bacon is up 51-49 with 79% reporting.

OR-06 (D+4); Andrea Salinas (D) vs. Mike Erickson (R): Salinas is up 50-48 with 58% reporting.

If these results hold, then it's 4-1 for the Democrats. What that says is "no red wave." And that's clearly the case; even if the Republicans retake the House, the Party has clearly had a much worse night than GOP muckety mucks had hoped.

00:44 EST
Democratic governors Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-NM) and Ned Lamont (D-CT) won

00:43 EST
Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) is at 48%, Democrat is at 52 with 80% counted

00:42 EST
Tom Kean Jr (R) son of former Gov.Kean beat Tom Malinowkski (D)

00:41 EST
Republicans have 47 seats in the Senate locked down + Lisa Murkowski = 48

00:37 EST

More reports and comments from readers:

E.H. in Madison, WI: I still have some hope for Mandela Barnes (D). If the 40% of uncounted votes from Milwaukee continue as the counted votes havem namely 2-to-1 for Barnes, he should net 120,000 votes from Milwaukee County when all is said and done. He is only 110,000 down now.

B.K. in Dallas, TX: Seems like you guys were closer than Michael Moore. I guess women really don't care if their pu**y is controlled by men.

M.M. in Centralia, IL: It was a pleasure to vote here in the not-Chicago part of Illinois. Our precinct was relocated at the very last minute due to problems at the usual venue, but all the familiar faces were behind the table. It was a quick easy-in, easy-out affair as if nothing out of the ordinary had happened. Everybody was smiling and clearly having a good time, except for the grouch (R-IL) standing guard over the scanner. He was no fun at all. Ladies at the table got my joke, though.

One thing was a personal surprise. If somebody other than folks who already knew me were behind that table, I would likely not have been allowed to vote. My signature, the normal means of voter ID verification in Illinois, is now an illegible scrawl no longer resembling what is on record, due to a stroke. I wouldn't have passed me.

T.B. in Detroit, MI: I'm at an election-watch dance party in Detroit with several hundred of my closest friends. Everyone seems to be waiting in suspense for a call on Michigan Proposal 3 (reproductive freedom) and, to a much lesser extent, Proposal 2 (voter rights). News on the Democratic candidates isn't even turning heads. Conclusion: The proposals motivated a lot of lefty voters to get out and vote.

R.H. in West Grove, PA: I would say the mail-in ballot counting is far from over in Pennsylvania; my wife submitted her ballot to voter services Monday and it's yet to be acknowledged, let alone counted.

Chester County Voter Services is reporting they've received 69,000 mail-in/absentee ballots, of which they have counted 13,000. All in-person ballots have been reported in this county already. Chester County is usually pretty quick on the draw, so the Mehmet Oz (R)/Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D-PA) fight is going to take a while.

That said, the GOP here has spent so much time trash-talking mail-in voting, I would expect the mail-ins to largely go Democratic.

00:23 EST
AP called the Hawaii Senate race for Sen. Brian Schatz (D), Fox called the Utah Senate race for Sen. Mike Lee (R).

00:19 EST
Arizona Gov: Katie Hobbs (57%) vs. Kari Lake (43%) with 51% counted

00:15 EST
Polls have closed in Hawaii. Presumably the Senate race will soon be called for Sen. Brian Schatz (D)

00:14 EST
Marcy Kaptur (D) beat a big-time Trumpist in Ohio

00:13 EST
CNN's John King: Democrats are winning the tough seats

00:12 EST
DCCC Chairman Sean Patrick Maloney (D-NY) is -9 with 75% counted

00:11 EST
The talking heads on Fox are lamenting that would-be Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) is nohwere near as politically skilled as Nancy Pelosi

00:09 EST
CNN'a John King says the Democrats could beat all the historical averages for miderms
and still lose both chambers of Congress

00:09 EST
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) sued to keep polling places open late and was denied

00:08 EST
Rep. Sharice Davids (D-KS) won her race

00:08 EST
Proposal 3 has passed in Michigan. So, all three states that were voting to protect reproductive rights in the state constitution chose to do so

00:08 EST
Greg Landsman (D) knocked off incumbent Rep. Chabot (R) in OH-01

00:05 EST
Gov. Tim Walz (DFL-MN) was reelected easily

00:05 EST
Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-NY) was not in any danger after all and won easily

00:01 EST
The Other Nate (Cohn) says John Fetterman (D) is 95% to win the Pennsylvania Senate race

23:54 EST

An update on the three "youth vote" races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

FL-27 (D+4); Annette Taddeo (D) vs. Maria Elvira Salazar* (R): Salazar has won, 57% to 43%, with more than 95% reporting

NH-01 (EVEN); Chris Pappas* (D) vs. Karoline Leavitt (R): Pappas is leading 55% to 45% with 59% reporting

NC-04 (D+16); Valerie Foushee (D) vs. Courtney Geels (R): Foushee has won, as expected, in a rout. She's up 67-33 with more than 95% reporting.

23:53 EST
Holy cow! Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) is down 48-52 with 75% reporting

23:51 EST
There are five Senate races still in doubt: WI, PA, NV, AZ, GA. There are also five gubernatorial races still in doubt: WI, KS, AZ, NV, OR.

23:47 EST
Mike Lee (R-UT) is crushing Evan McMullin in Utah

23:46 EST
California Proposition 1 will pass; it's up 75-25 with 25% reporting. So, abortion will be a constitutional right in the Golden State

23:44 EST
CNN's Gloria Borger says there is no wave for either party

23:40 EST
Kelly will probably win AZ. Johnson will probably win WI.
If PA and NV split, there will be billion-dollar runoff in GA.

23:40 EST

More reports and comments from readers:

R.H. in Cleveland, OH: While America sends the same Senate back and a red gerrymandered Congress, there appears to be one funny turn of events.

When Ohio was going to lose a seat post-census, I didn't really think the GOP had the balls to gerrymander the state any further. I keep being proven wrong by the GOP and what their limits are. They did try and it was rejected. They moved on to option two: two jam-packed districts for the Democrats in Cleveland and Columbus. Then they diluted Cincinnati (OH-1), Toledo (OH-9), and Canton-Akron (OH-13). As things stand now, it appears that the Democrats actually are going to gain a seat, sweeping the gerrymandered districts while the Republicans will lose 2 seats in Ohio.

So, while the GOP might be able to warm up their House investigation machine to look into what Hunter Biden's laptop knew about the Kennedy Assassination (and when it knew it), there is a little humor to take in the GOP's failed gerrymandering in Ohio. Hopefully this holds by the morning, otherwise, it wouldn't be as funny.

J.K. in Boston, MA: Exciting returns here in Massachusetts when it comes to women in office. To wit: My governor-elect, lieutenant governor-elect, U.S. House rep, one of my two U.S. Senators, mayor, and Boston city representative are all women. Couldn't be prouder of our blue bubble!

M.S. in Las Vegas, NV: Pennsylvania got smart and reported mail-in voting first. By that token, if I was a MAGA-moron-type liberal, I would declare Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D-PA) had completely annihilated Mehmet Oz (R) and I would declare Fetterman the clear winner and anything else to be obviously fraud at the ballot box. But I'm not a moron and I realize that is not the case. Why can't the other side?

Democrats need to look at better places to waste money than Florida going forward. Georgia, North Carolina and even Texas seem like better places to target.

If Democrats were to gain two seats in the Senate, what are the chances they would grow a pair, add 6 seats to the Supreme Court, and at least attempt to get gerrymandering overturned? They should.

By the way, here in Las Vegas it is cold, very windy and rainy. Does this hurt same-day voting? Does that mean it would hurt Adam Laxalt (R) more than Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D)? I have no idea. But that would be just fine with me. I mailed my vote in weeks ago and received confirmation it had been received and accepted.

P.B. in Chicago, IL: I am often glad I vote in Chicago. It is so easy and nice.

I voted on a Saturday about 10 days ago. I went to my local library for early voting. A nice older lady welcomed me and had me sign the voting document. No voter ID needed at all. Just my signature. Then she passed me on to another lady who looked me up in the database and verified my signature. Just minutes after I arrived, I had my voting card in hand and waited about 5 minutes for a machine to open up.

When it did, I took a seat and slid the card in. Then I voted and printed my ballot. I passed this to the person at the scanner and he checked it out and then had me slide it into the scanner. I then got my "I Voted" sticker and left.

Very pleasant time.

I do sometimes wish I was in a deep-red area so I could pitch a fit if I saw anything bad happening. I would have recorded and walked all around those idiots who patrol drop boxes. Mostly I am glad I don't have to deal with those authoritarian morons!

B.W. in Suwanee, GA: I voted early last week and it was a piece of cake.

My county has turned blue in the last few election cycles but I did not see any armed "poll verifiers" anywhere.

The original voting machines when I moved to this county were optical scanners so you filled out your choices and then submitted it. That seemed very accurate to me, being a tech support engineer for a few decades. Then they replaced that with touch-screen systems. Those seemed a lot more vulnerable to me, since we all know how computers are prone to being hacked and they had no paper trail.

I voted absentee last election cycle because of... well... the pandemic. The GOP here in Georgia made voting absentee a lot more difficult this cycle so I decided to vote early and in person. Having gotten both of my COVID shots along with my three boosters and the flu shot, I'm very comfortable being indoors.

So anyway, my county now has voting machines where you pick your candidates and after you're done, you hit "print" and get a sheet showing who you voted for. You then take that to a scanner and submit it. The scanner then tells you through a small LCD screen that your ballot has been accepted. A huge improvement, in my view.

23:38 EST
It's going to come down to AZ, GA, PA, NV, and WI

23:33 EST
CNN projects that incumbent Democrats Patty Murray (WA) and Ron Wyden (OR) will be reelected

23:32 EST
DCCC Chairman Sean Maloney is down by double digits in NY

23:31 EST
In WA, Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) is 14 points ahead of Tiffany Smiley (R)

23:29 EST
In the Oregon gubernatorial race, Tina Kotek (D) is ahead of Christine Drazan (R) by 2 points

23:28 EST
Gov. Laura Kelly (D-KS) is leading the Republican 50-47 with 84% counted

23:27 EST
Fox has called the Michigan gubernatorial race for Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) and the New York gubernatorial race for Gov. Kathy Hochul (D)

23:24 EST
CNN projects that Rep. Ted. Budd (R-NC) will win in North Carolina

23:21 EST
Fox has called the Oregon Senate race for Sen. Ron Wyden (D)

23:19 EST
Stacey Abrams (D) has just conceded.

23:18 EST
Multiple outlets have called the New Hampshire Senate race for Sen. Maggie Hassan (D), and the Georgia gubernatorial race for Gov. Brian Kemp (R)

23:15 EST
Tim Ryan has conceded in Ohio. The Democrats better find a place for him, by forcing the GOP to spend tens of millions to save what is supposed to be a safe seat, he did the Party a lot of good

23:15 EST
Many more races have been called, most notable is that Chuck Grassley(R-IA) has won another term in the Senate

23:13 EST
CNN is projecting that Josh Shapiro (D) will be governor of PA, defeating Trumpist Doug Mastriano

23:12 EST
With Kemp's win, Kemp has poked Trump in the eye with a sharp stick

23:11 EST
CNN is projecting that Gov. Brian Kemp (R-GA) will beat Stacey Abrams (D), who has conceded

23:09 EST
CNN is projecting that Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) will be relected

23:07 EST
Fox has called the Oklahoma governor's race for Kevin Stitt (R)

23:07 EST
ABC has called 202 seats for the Republicans, 173 for the Democrats

23:06 EST
Gov. Brad Little (R-ID) was reelected

23:04 EST
CNN projects that Democratic governors Gavin Newsom (CA), J.B. Pritzker (IL), and Janet Mills (ME) will be reelected

23:01 EST
CA just closed and CNN took 30 seconds to project that Sen. Alex Padilla (D) will be elected

23:01 EST
Polls are now closed everywhere except Hawaii and Alaska.

23:00 EST
In Wisconsin, Tony Evers and Mandela Barnes are underperforming Joe Biden in Milwaukee and Biden barely won WI

23:00 EST

Another update on the five swingy races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

VA-07 (D+1); Abigail Spanberger* (D) vs. Yesli Vega (R): Spanberger has been declared the winner by multiple outlets, she's up 52%-48% with 95% of the votes in.

PA-08 (R+4); Matt Cartwright* (D) vs. Jim Bognet (R) : Cartwright is up 54%-46% with 62% reporting.

IL-17 (D+2); Eric Sorensen (D) vs. Esther King (R): Sorensen is up 51%-49% with 65% reporting.

NE-2 (EVEN); Tony Vargas (D) vs. Don Bacon* (R): The gap between them is 20 votes with 69% of the votes (about 148,000) reporting

OR-06 (D+4); Andrea Salinas (D) vs. Mike Erickson (R): Polls in Oregon are still open

22:54 EST
Kansans don't seem tp have gotten the message that people don't split tickets anymore. Sen. Jerry Moran (R) won handily, but Gov. Laura Kelly (D) is up 51-46 with 80% in, and Democrat Chris Mann is leading Republican nutter Kris Kobach in the AG race, 52-48, with 78% reporting.

22:46 EST
With 50% of the vote counted, Katie Hobbs (D) leads Kari Lake (R) in Arizona

22:46 EST
CNN projects that Gov. Mark Gordon (R-WY) will be relected

22:45 EST
CNN projects that Jim Pillen (R) will be elected governor of Nebraska

22:45 EST
You know who is having a bad night? Donald Trump. Ron DeSantis romped in Florida, while Trump's candidates are definitely not romping

22:45 EST
CNN projects that Gov. Kim Reynolds (R-IA) will be reelected

22:43 EST

More reports and comments from readers:

S.H. in Hanoi, Vietnam: Since you are a Vote From Abroad site at heart, just to let you know that my vote in MA-04, from Southeast Asia, went smoothly. It was counted in the primary with no problems, and I foresee none this time around. Thanks to the election workers in Newton, MA!

M.T. in Ann Arbor, MI: The city of Ann Arbor has set up a satellite clerks' office on the University of Michigan campus. As of 8:30 p.m., half an hour after the polls closed, there were still several hundred people waiting in line to register and vote. Pizza and blankets were being provided, and Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-MI) was hanging out. Anyone who was in line by 8 p.m. will be allowed to vote. There was a 3-hour wait in this register-and-vote line for much of the day, with similar at the other two city registration sites.

R.H. in Cleveland, OH: While the house shifts to the Republicans, it appears that the Democrats can take Pennsylvania (eventually, whenever that vote count is finished), the Republicans take Georgia (maybe in a runoff) and everything else remains the same.

America is angry and they ain't gonna take it no more... and so it re-elected the U.S. Senate. The U.S. electorate gets an F for elections.

M.B. in Overland Park, KS: Gov. Laura Kelly (D) is winning in Sedgwick County, KS. That's home to Wichita. Usually this is a red county, even though it's more urban than most counties in KS. The rest of the areas she's expecting to do well in are holding, and Johnson County hasn't reported yet.

She's likely to carry this election this time. Pretty amazing how different this is than the last time (Trump) ran.

J.K. in Short Hills, NJ: S&P 500 futures are mostly quiet and up slightly (+0.2%) as of 8:45 PM EST. This is unsurprising as everything appears to be still in play. With a Republican majority in the House believed to be mostly "priced in" by investors, the market will move much more (presumably lower) if the Democrats hold than if the GOP flips the chamber. History suggests that stocks perform better under a split government.

22:39 EST
MSNBC is projecting that Josh Shapiro (D-PA) will be elected governor

22:39 EST
MSNBC is projecting that J.D. Vance will win the Ohio Senate election

22:38 EST
MSNBC is projecting that Gov. Greg Abbott (R-TX) will be reelected

22:37 EST
In Iowa, Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is ahead by 4 points with 53% counted

22:32 EST
In Georgia, Walker is ahead by 24,000 votes with most of the early votes already counted

22:30 EST
Republicans have flipped a third seat, TN-05. That makes a grand total of three flips so far tonight, according to ABC News

22:28 EST

An update on the three "abortion vote" races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

KS-03 (D+1); Sharice Davids* (D) vs. Amanda Adkins (R): Davids is up 56% to 42% with 66% reporting

MI-03 (R+3); Hillary Scholten (D) vs. John Gibbs (R): Scholten is up 54% to 43% with 39% reporting

MI-08 (R+4); Dan Kildee (D) vs. Paul Junge (R): Junge is up 49% to 46% with 25% reporting

And here is what's going on with the various abortion-related ballot initiatives:

Kentucky Constitutional Amendment 2 (Should the state ban abortion?): 54% no, 46% yes with 72% reporting

Vermont Proposal (Should personal reproductive autonomy be a constitutional right?): 76% yes, 24% no with 27% reporting; various outlets have already declared a win for "yes"

Michigan Proposal 3 (Should reproductive freedom be a constitutional right?): 57% yes, 43% no with 16% reporting

Montana Legislative Referendum 131 (Should doctors be required to try to save any infant born alive?): 62% no, 38% yes with 1% reporting

California Proposition 1 (Should reproductive freedom be a constitutional right?): Polls in California are still open

22:24 EST
DeSantis beat Crist by 20 points, next stop 1600 Pennsylvania Ave

22:22 EST
For the first time since Reconstruction, no Democrat will hold statewide office in Florida

22:21 EST
In Arizona, Katie Hobbs is at 56% and Kari Lake is at 44% with 40% counted

22:20 EST
The Libertarian in Georgia is at 1.8%, which could mean a runoff there Dec. 6

22:19 EST
First big batch of votes in from Arizona. Sen. Mark Kelly (D) is up by 15

22:15 EST
CNN projects that Jen Kiggans (R) will defeat Rep. Elaine Luria (D) in VA-02

22:14 EST
CNN projects that Abigail Spanberger (D) will be reelected in VA-7

22:11 EST
CNN's John King doesn't think there will be a red wave

22:10 EST
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) is +4 with 16% counted

22:09 EST
In competitive VA-7, Abigail Spanberger (D-VA) is barely ahead

22:08 EST
CNN has 83 competitive House districts. Right now Democrats are leading in 39, GOP in 12

22:03 EST
CNN has projected that Republican governors Kristi Noem (SD), Kevin Stitt (OK) and Phil Scott (VT) will be reelected

22:01 EST
Polls are now closed in Montana, Nevada, Arizona and Utah

21:59 EST
Herschel Walker is underperforming Brian Kemp by 4 points

21:54 EST
There are huge lines to vote in Las Vegas

21:52 EST
75 Democrats have won House seats vs. 129 Republicans, including 3 pickups

21:42 EST
MSNBC and ABC have called the Senate race in Colorado for Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO)

21:40 EST

An update on the three "Black vote" races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

GA-02 (D+6); Sanford Bishop* (D) vs. Chris West (R): Bishop is up 50.4% to 49.6% with 49% reporting

NC-01 (D+3); Donald Davis (D) vs. Sandy Smith (R): Davis is up 53% to 47% with 84% reporting

NC-13 (R+2); Wiley Nickel (D) vs. Bo Hines (R): Nickel is up 54% to 46% with 65% reporting

21:29 EST
As of right now, Democrats have won 5 Senate races and Republicans have won 13

21:27 EST
NYT says Massachusetts has elected its first woman and first lesbian governor, Democrat Maura Healey

21:23 EST
CNN has called NY for Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY)

21:15 EST
Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D-VA) has won reelection in VA-10

21:14 EST
Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is giving his victory speech right now. Anyone playing a drinking game where you take a shot anytime he says "woke" has already passed out

21:13 EST

An update on the five swingy races we listed in our 'bellwether' item yesterday:

VA-07 (D+1); Abigail Spanberger* (D) vs. Yesli Vega (R): Vega is up 51% to 49% with 87% reporting

PA-08 (R+4); Matt Cartwright* (D) vs. Jim Bognet (R) : Cartwright is up 76% to 24% with 12% reporting

IL-17 (D+2); Eric Sorensen (D) vs. Esther King (R): King is up 63% to 37% but with just 1% reporting

NE-2 (EVEN); Tony Vargas (D) vs. Don Bacon* (R): Vargas is up 57% to 43% with 42% reporting

OR-06 (D+4); Andrea Salinas (D) vs. Mike Erickson (R): Polls haven't closed yet

21:08 EST
CNN has called Kansas for Sen. Jerry Moran (R-KS)

21:08 EST
CNN has called South Dakota for Sen. John Thune (R-SD)

21:07 EST
CNN has called North Dakota for Sen. John Hoeven (R-ND)

21:06 EST
ABC has called the Kansas race for Sen. Jerry Moran (R-KS) and the New York race for Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY)

21:02 EST
Polls just closed in Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, not including those places that have been compelled to extend their hours

20:55 EST
Reader C.M. in Frisco, TX reports that Harris County (largest county in Texas) is keeping certain polling sites open late due to problems during the day and is currently not reporting and its numbers are not included in totals reported by the state secretary of state.

20:51 EST
In competitive VA-10, Wexton (D) 51%, Cao (R) 49%. Republican win here would mean red wave

20:49 EST

Some reports from readers:

K.L. in Incline Village, NV: This morning, going to work in Carson City, the line was out the door and around the building to vote at the community center. This despite bad weather that you could literally see the snow moving in.

Prediction: not enough Democrats in Clark County to overcome the red-leaning north this year.

K.J. in Knoxville, TN: I'm working a polling place in rural TN. We were expecting 300 voters. We are at 426 with two hours left, and a line out the door.

M.M. in Bethlehem, PA: I'm a judge of election in Bethlehem, PA, in the core of the Lehigh Valley ... Which is the fulcrum upon which Pennsylvania will rise or fall. For the past 8 weeks, I've also been the the staging director for Congresswoman Susan Wild's GOTV efforts (coordinating with Josh Shapiro and John Fetterman). This past weekend we knocked nearly 15,000 Democratic doors from our location alone.

Traffic at our precinct today (now, at 5pm, at a slight lull) has been steady, with lots of traffic from first-time voters of all ages... on a par only slightly less than a presidential year. (I've been JoE here for 6 years now.) Both sides are energized, but the Democrats have a significant bank from mail-ins and early voting. I'm a pessimist at heart, but I don't think this is lost, and I just don't see the kind of red wave they would need to take us completely out.

R.L.S. in Portland, ME: In Portland, the lunar eclipse reached totality around 5:15 a.m., so I set my alarm to experience it. When I first awoke, there was still a small sliver of a silver lunar crescent to be seen, which gradually vanished. The total eclipse was wonderful to see, but the reports predicting a blood red moon turned out to be a marked exaggeration. Taking this as an omen, I'm hoping the predictions of a red wave similarly fizzle.

My wife and I voted in person, and there were long lines of very-well-behaved citizens. It took about an hour, most of the time waiting to have the ballots scanned. The only break in the monotony occurred when one voter walked out after casting her ballot. She had on a shirt that read "Roe, Roe, Roe Your Vote." The long line erupted in cheers and applause. I am taking that as an omen, as well.

O.L. in Valley Forge, PA: I had a fine voting experience in Valley Forge, PA, which is part of Chester County—one of the closely watched suburban/rural counties surrounding Philadelphia.

The precinct was located inside of a volunteer fire department. There were two tables outside—one staffed with three conservatives, the other with a lone liberal. Everyone was gracious, and the conservatives even asked me if I needed a sample ballot to use as a cheat-sheet. (I said, "no thank you.")

I had to surrender the mail-in ballot I had ordered, which I obtained online just in case I couldn't make it in person. PA's drop-dead mail-in ballot deadline is 8 p.m., by which time the ballot has to be dropped into a ballot box because it's too late for the mail. Had I not been able to physically surrender the mail-in ballot, I would have been given a provisional ballot, which would have been counted once election officials determined that I had not voted using a mail-in ballot.

The entire experience was smooth and pleasant, and all the poll workers and voters and sundry volunteers were all behaving well. Go democracy!

20:48 EST
In OK gubernatorial race, Republican is at 49%, Democrat at 48%

20:46 EST
CNN is reporting that Democrats are leading in 18 competitive House races, GOP in 9.
But these are early votes

20:42 EST
Accoring to reader N.B. in Luzerne County, PA, some polling locations ran out of ballots and had to ask voters to return later in the day. Polling hours have been extended.

20:37 EST
J.B. Pritzker (D) has won the Illinois gubernatorial race

20:36 EST
NYT has called Arkansas for Sen. John Boozman (R-AR)

20:31 EST
Wes Moore (D) has won the Maryland gubernatorial race, Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) has won the Arkansas gubernatorial race

20:28 EST
AP has called Connecticut for Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)

20:27 EST
with 25% reporting, Kentucky's anti-abortion initiative is losing big, 59-41

20:24 EST
CBS has called Indiana for Todd Young (R)

20:24 EST
Republicans have flipped two seats in Florida, FL-13 and FL-07

20:22 EST
Fox has called the Florida gubernatorial race for Ron DeSanctimonious... er, DeSantis (R-FL)

20:21 EST
CNN has called the Florida governor's race for Ron DeSantis (R)

20:18 EST
NYT has called Maryland for Chris Van Hollen (D)

20:17 EST
NYT has called Illinois for Tammy Duckworth (D)

20:08 EST
CNN has called Alabama for Katie Britt (R)

20:06 EST
CNN has called both Oklahoma races for the Republicans

20:06 EST
CNN has called Florida for Marco Rubio (R)

20:03 EST
VA-10: Wexton (D) 53%, Cao (R) 47%. A Republican win here would mean a huge red wave

19:50 EST
Democrats leading in 5 competitive House seats, Republicans leading in 7

19:42 EST
Raphael Warnock has 80,000 more votes than Stacey Abrams

19:39 EST
Ron DeSantis is crushing Charlie Crist

19:38 EST
Raphael Warnock is overperforming Stacey Abrams

19:34 EST
NYT has called Vermont for its new U.S. Senator , Democrat Peter Welch

19:28 EST
Maricopa has voluntarily extended voting hours without waiting for a judge to weigh in

19:27 EST
AZ GOP suing to extend voting hours in Maricopa City due to issues with voting machines

19:24 EST
Only about 10% of the vote is in from Georgia, but Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) is running about 4 points ahead of Stacey Abrams (68-64). It would seem that Warnock-Kemp voters are a real thing.

19:20 EST
NYT has called Kentucky for Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY)

19:09 EST
CNN has called South Carolina: Tim Scott will be reelected

19:01 EST
Polls are now closed in Georgia

18:41 EST
CNN has already called 36 Senate seats for the Democrats versus just 29 for the Republicans. Liberal bias?
Or just holdovers?

18:41 EST
CNN exit poll: 40% of Pennsylvania voters have a positive view of Trump

18:22 EST
CNN exit poll on electorate: white coll. 40%, white noncoll. 36%, nonwhite coll. 11%, nonwhite noncoll. 13%

18:21 EST
CNN exit poll on top issues: inflation (32%), abortion (27%), crime (12%)

18:20 EST
First polls close at 6:00 p.m. in parts of IN and KY; at 7 we get FL, GA, SC, VA, and VT

18:19 EST
45,718,945 People voted early

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---The Votemaster and Zenger
Nov08 Let the Shenanigans Begin...
Nov08 ...And the Quiet End
Nov08 Election Workers in Arizona Threatened
Nov08 Reports From the Front Lines
Nov08 The Root of All Evil
Nov08 Bellwether House Races
Nov08 The Wisdom of the Crowd
Nov08 Today's Senate Polls
Nov07 Last Look at the Senate Races
Nov07 Latinos Won't Save the GOP
Nov07 Generic Poll Is Nearly Tied
Nov07 Fetterman Didn't Blow It at the Debate
Nov07 Who Are the Biggest Donors This Cycle?
Nov07 RNC Won't Pay Trump's Legal Bills after He Announces His Candidacy
Nov07 Trump and DeSantis Have Been Avoiding Each Other
Nov07 Abortion Is on the Ballot
Nov07 More than 40 Million People Have Already Voted
Nov07 Twitter Is Suffering a Massive Loss of Advertising Revenue
Nov07 "Where Are We a Week Before the Election?": Readers Who Think We Were Right
Nov07 Today's Senate Polls
Nov06 Sunday Mailbag
Nov06 Today's Senate Polls
Nov05 Saturday Q&A
Nov05 Today's Senate Polls
Nov04 Who Aggregates the Aggregators?
Nov04 Pollsters Are Worried about 2022
Nov04 Fixing Polling
Nov04 But Wait, There's More!
Nov04 Oprah Picks Her Horse in Pennsylvania
Nov04 Today's Trump Legal News
Nov04 This Week in Schadenfreude: ¡Abucheo Zapata!
Nov04 This Week in Freudenfreude: Here's What a Healthy Father-Son Relationship Looks Like
Nov04 Jolly Olde English Politics, Part IV
Nov04 Today's Senate Polls
Nov03 Control of the Senate Will Depend on This Strange Tradeoff
Nov03 Conspiracy Theories about Paul Pelosi Are Running Wild
Nov03 Hand-Counting of Ballots Is on the Ballot
Nov03 Pennsylvania Will Not Count Undated Ballots
Nov03 Where Are the Heavyweights Campaigning?
Nov03 Flood of New Poll Workers Is Raising Concerns
Nov03 Who Are the Most Vulnerable House Members?
Nov03 Trump Lawyers Hoped Clarence Thomas Would Help Them Overturn Georgia
Nov03 Jolly Olde English Politics, Part III
Nov03 Today's Senate Polls
Nov02 Graham Must Testify
Nov02 Sasse Is In, So He's Out
Nov02 The Seven People With the Most at Stake on Tuesday
Nov02 Today's Trump Legal News
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