Still fighting this cold, or flu, or whatever it is (not COVID, though--the test was negative). After a few days of getting better, it got worse yesterday, and if it turns into pneumonia, the consequences will be worse than just one missed day of blog posting. In other words, rest is needed. So, we will push the already-half-done Friday post to Saturday, and then do questions/letters on Sunday. This is non-politics questions weekend, so if you have 'em, send 'em along to questions@electoral-vote.com.

Today's Senate Polls

This is the month where pollsters pay for the kids' Christmas/Hanukkah/Eid al-Fitr/Winter Solstice gifts. The Republicans get a little good news, namely that maybe they don't have to worry about Florida. That said, Sen. Ashley Moody (R) has led in most polls of the state; Angie Nixon's (D) best poll has been a tie (there have been two of those). So, it's not THAT much of a relief. If she loses by double digits in what turns out to be a blue wave where Democrats (almost) win in Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska, the Democrats will tear themselves to bits starting Nov. 4. Moderates will scream: "If you #@!!$#@ progressives had voted for Alex Vindman, the guy who almost took Trump down, we could have won Florida." The response will be: "The people wanted Angie. That's how democracy works. Get used to it."

Also, maybe Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) is only mostly dead. She has more lives than all the cats in Maine combined.

On the other hand, evidence is mounting that Kansas could be in play. The trendlines in Michigan are not good for the GOP and the ones in North Carolina are positively dreadful for them. And two different pollsters, both of whom know New Hampshire, think the Senate race there isn't actually close. To see all the polls in graphical form, click on the Senate graphs link in the menu to the left of the map. If there are blue and red stars on the Y-axis and then horizontal lines all the way to today (e.g., Colorado and Illinois), that means there have been no polls of the state and values shown are from the 2020 Senate election results.

We're not sure why a media company would expend the resources to poll Massachusetts or Rhode Island. Maybe because their readers are nervous because there is no polling in their state. (Z)

State	Democrat	D %	Republican	R %	Start	End	Pollster
Florida	Angie Nixon	40%	Ashley Moody*	51%	Sep 14	Sep 21	Stetson U.
Kansas	Adam Hamilton	50%	Roger Marshall	48%	Sep 22	Sep 24	Wedgewood Polls
Massachusetts	Ed Markey*	53%	John Deaton	30%	Sep 17	Sep 21	U. of New Hampshire
Maine	Troy Jackson	46%	Susan Collins*	49%	Sep 15	Sep 22	Siena U.
Maine	Troy Jackson	48%	Susan Collins*	43%	Aug 28	Sep 14	U. of Massachusetts
Maine	Troy Jackson	51%	Susan Collins*	47%	Sep 17	Sep 21	U. of New Hampshire
Michigan	Abdul El-Sayed	49%	Mike Rogers	44%	Sep 15	Sep 22	Siena U.
North Carolina	Roy Cooper	50%	Michael Whatley	42%	Sep 06	Sep 16	High Point U.
New Hampshire	Chris Pappas	50%	John Sununu	42%	Sep 17	Sep 21	U. of New Hampshire
New Hampshire	Chris Pappas	50%	John Sununu	45%	Sep 15	Sep 22	Siena U.
Rhode Island	Jack Reed*	53%	Raymond McKay	33%	Sep 17	Sep 21	U. of New Hampshire

* Denotes incumbent

---

Previous report         Next report

---

If you wish to contact us, please use one of these addresses. For the first two, please include your initials and city.

• questions@electoral-vote.com    For questions about politics, civics, history, etc. to be answered on a Saturday
• comments@electoral-vote.com   For "letters to the editor" for possible publication on a Sunday
• corrections@electoral-vote.com To tell us about typos or factual errors we should fix
• items@electoral-vote.com            For general suggestions, ideas, etc.
• Guidelines for questions (Saturdays) and letters (Sundays)

To download a poster about the site to hang up, please click here.

---

Email a link to a friend.

---The Votemaster and Zenger