This page contains the current averages for each state for all the Senate races calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Will Boyd | 31% | Katie Britt | 67% | +36% | Nov 08 |
| Alaska | Pat Chesbro | 10% | Lisa Murkowski* | 87% | +77% | Nov 08 |
| Arizona | Mark Kelly* | 52% | Blake Masters | 46% | +6% | Nov 08 |
| Arkansas | Natalie James | 31% | John Boozman* | 66% | +35% | Nov 08 |
| California | Alex Padilla* | 60% | Mark Meuser | 40% | +20% | Nov 08 |
| Colorado | Michael Bennet* | 55% | Joe O`Dea | 42% | +13% | Nov 08 |
| Connecticut | Richard Blumenthal* | 58% | Leora Levy | 42% | +16% | Nov 08 |
| Florida | Val Demings | 41% | Marco Rubio* | 58% | +17% | Nov 08 |
| Georgia | Raphael Warnock* | 50% | Herschel Walker | 48% | +2% | Dec 04 |
| Hawaii | Brian Schatz* | 71% | Bob McDermott | 26% | +45% | Nov 08 |
| Idaho | David Roth | 29% | Mike Crapo* | 61% | +32% | Nov 08 |
| Illinois | Tammy Duckworth* | 56% | Kathy Salvi | 43% | +13% | Nov 08 |
| Indiana | Thomas McDermott | 38% | Todd Young* | 59% | +21% | Nov 08 |
| Iowa | Michael Franken | 44% | Chuck Grassley* | 56% | +12% | Nov 08 |
| Kansas | Mark Holland | 37% | Jerry Moran* | 60% | +23% | Nov 08 |
| Kentucky | Charles Booker | 38% | Rand Paul* | 62% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| Louisiana | Candidate unknown | 18% | John Kennedy* | 62% | +44% | Nov 08 |
| Maryland | Chris Van Hollen* | 63% | Chris Chaffee | 37% | +26% | Nov 08 |
| Missouri | Trudy Valentine | 42% | Eric Schmitt | 55% | +13% | Nov 08 |
| Nevada | Catherine Cortez Masto* | 49% | Adam Laxalt | 48% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| New Hampshire | Maggie Hassan* | 54% | Don Bolduc | 44% | +10% | Nov 08 |
| New York | Chuck Schumer* | 56% | Joe Pinion | 43% | +13% | Nov 08 |
| North Carolina | Cheri Beasley | 47% | Ted Budd | 51% | +4% | Nov 08 |
| North Dakota | Katrina Christiansen | 25% | John Hoeven* | 56% | +31% | Nov 08 |
| Ohio | Tim Ryan | 47% | J.D. Vance | 53% | +6% | Nov 08 |
| Oklahoma | Madison Horn | 32% | James Lankford* | 64% | +32% | Nov 08 |
| Oklahoma-special | Kendra Horn | 35% | Markwayne Mullin | 62% | +27% | Nov 08 |
| Oregon | Ron Wyden* | 56% | Jo-Rae Perkins | 41% | +15% | Nov 08 |
| Pennsylvania | John Fetterman | 51% | Mehmet Oz | 47% | +4% | Nov 08 |
| South Carolina | Krystle Matthews | 37% | Tim Scott* | 63% | +26% | Nov 08 |
| South Dakota | Brian Bengs | 26% | John Thune* | 70% | +44% | Nov 08 |
| Utah | Evan McMullin (I) | 42% | Mike Lee* | 55% | +13% | Nov 08 |
| Vermont | Peter Welch | 68% | Gerald Malloy | 28% | +40% | Nov 08 |
| Washington | Patty Murray* | 57% | Tiffany Smiley | 43% | +14% | Nov 08 |
| Wisconsin | Mandela Barnes | 49% | Ron Johnson* | 50% | +1% | Nov 08 |