Can the Tea Party Govern?     Permalink

While most of the media's attention to the tea party has focused on Senate candidates like Sharron Angle in Nevada, Rand Paul in Kentucky, and Ken Buck in Colorado, even if they are all elected, they will be backbenchers, probably in the minority. While this will give them the freedom to rant and rave about anything they want--free of the responsibility for bearing the consequences of what they are demanding--there are other races where actions, not words, will be required. In particular, there are multiple tea party candidates running for governor, and if they win, they will be forced to either scale back their rhetoric or try to carry it out. It is one thing to say you favor tax cuts, but something totally different to enact tax cuts as governor when state law requires a balanced budget and every attempt to cut some spending item is met with massive resistance from one group or another.

Among the key laboratories where we may discover how tea party candidates would govern are Minnesota, where Tom Emmer (R), an uncompromising conservative has a decent shot to succeed Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN). Another is Illinois, where Bill Brady (R) wants to cut the minimum wage in a state where labor has a lot of clout and such a move would unleash strikes all over the place. Yet another testbed is Maine, where businessman and gubernatorial candidate Paul LePage (R) is raging against the federal government--in a state long dependent on the federal government for subsidies and military bases. It will be interesting to see how long the rhetoric lasts if any of these or their ideological brethren have to actually balance budgets and deal with highly uncooperative state legislatures in some cases.

California Governor's Race Upended by Maid     Permalink

On Tuesday, the California gubernatorial candidates Meg Whitman (R) and Jerry Brown had a televised debate. Whitman came out strongly for punishing employers who hire illegal aliens. The next day, her own former maid, Nicky Diaz Santillan held a tearful press conference saying that she has worked for Whitman for 9 years, was an illegal alien, and Whitman knew it. Whitman claimed that she didn't know that her maid was illegal until the summer of 2009, at which time she fired Diaz Santillan.

However, Diaz Santillan's attorney, Gloria Allred, then said that Whitman knew the maid was illegal and she could prove it by releasing a letter from the Social Security Administration to Whitman notifying her that Diaz Santillan was illegal. Whitman responded that she never got any such letter because the maid always brought in the mail and must have kept the letter. When Allred released the letter as promised, the bombshell hit: it contained a handwritten message in Whitman's husband's handwriting telling Diaz Santillan to fix the problem. This means that Whitman's husband knew that the maid was illegal and it is hardly believable that he never mentioned this to his wife.

Whitman's response to the bombshell was to stop talking about the maid and the fact that knowingly hiring an illegal alien is a crime, but instead to attack Allred and Brown for bringing up the subject. She also offered to take a polygraph test. If she does and passes, her credibility may be restored, but if she refuses to take it or insists on using her house polygrapher, or fails the test, she is going to take a huge hit, probably enough to hand Brown the keys to the governer's mansion (again)--as he was governor from 1975 to 1983.

Poll: Romney and Palin are the Early 2012 GOP Favorites     Permalink

While the midterms aren't even over yet, some forward-looking people are already interested in the 2012 presidential contest. Accordingly, Gallup ran a poll of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents asking who they wanted as their presidential nominee in 2012. Former governors did well, with Mitt Romney coming in first at 19%, Sarah Palin came in second at 16% and Mike Huckabee came in third at 12%. Following them were Newt Gingrich at 9%, Ron Paul at 7% and Haley Barbour and Tim Pawlenty tied at 3%. In the past, early polls are mostly about name recognition and don't mean a lot.

List of Wealthiest Members of Congress Published     Permalink

Many people wonder why Congress often passes laws that favor the rich but the answer is simple: large numbers of senators and congressmen are fabulously wealthy. An example is the big fight currently going on about extending the Bush tax cuts for the rich. Many in Congress care passionately about this issue because it affects their own tax bill. Roll Call has compiled a list of the richest members of Congress, the top 10 of which are given below. The information has been gleaned from disclosure forms the members are by law required to fill out. However, due to the nature of the questions, certain assets do not have to be reported, so the list is not entirely correct. For example, while members have to list the value of their stocks, bonds, and real estate, they don't have to list the value of any sports teams they happen to own, so Sen. Herb Kohl's ownership of the NBA's Milwaukee Bucks (worth $230 million) doesn't count. Nevertheless, the list is a real eye opener. The amounts in column 3 are given in millions of dollars.

Today's Polls: AK CA FL KY NH WA WI AK-AL CA-44 NJ-03     Permalink

New Senate Polls

Polling Alaska is going to be tricky on account of Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) running as a write-in. What Ivan Moore did is first ask people who they are going to vote for. Then he told them that Murkowski was running as a write in and asked again. Her numbers shot up from 18% the first time to 36% the second time. The truth is probably somewhere in between. Accordingly, we have averaged the two sets of numbers. Noteworthy is that most of her support comes from Democrats, not Republicans. In other words, a lot of people were voting against Joe Miller (R), not for her.

Today's Polls: AK CA FL KY NH WA WI AK-AL CA-44 NJ-03     Permalink

New Senate Polls

New House Polls

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