Feb. 01

Wyoming Caucus on January 5 1. Mitt Romney (67%) 2. Fred Thompson (25%) 3. Duncan Hunter (8%) Wisconsin Primary on February 19 Most recent polls: Dec 05: McCain 15% Romney 5% Huckabee 8% Nov 08: McCain 13% Romney 8% Huckabee 11% Apr 17: McCain 24% Romney 9% West Virginia Convention on February 5 Most recent polls: Apr 02: McCain 33% Romney 8% West Virginia Convention on February 5 Most recent polls: Apr 02: McCain 33% Romney 8% Washington Caucus on February 9 Most recent polls: Oct 28: McCain 19% Romney 15% Huckabee 9% Virginia Primary on February 12 Most recent polls: Oct 08: McCain 20% Romney 9% Vermont Primary on March 4 Most recent polls: Oct 19: McCain 13% Romney 7% Huckabee 2% Vermont Primary on March 4 Most recent polls: Oct 19: McCain 13% Romney 7% Huckabee 2% Utah Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Oct 04: McCain 6% Romney 65% Huckabee 2% Texas Hybrid on March 4 Most recent polls: May 07: McCain 27% Romney 6% Mar 19: McCain 20% Romney 13% Tennessee Primary on February 5 No polls have been published Tennessee Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 21: McCain 12% Romney 7% South Dakota Primary on June 3 No polls have been published South Carolina Primary on January 19 1. John McCain (33%) 2. Mike Huckabee (30%) 3. Fred Thompson (16%) Rhode Island Primary on March 4 No polls have been published Rhode Island Primary on March 4 No polls have been published Pennsylvania Primary on April 22 Most recent polls: Jan 14: McCain 30% Romney 7% Huckabee 17% Dec 03: McCain 13% Romney 6% Huckabee 13% Nov 05: McCain 12% Romney 7% Huckabee 6% Oregon Primary on May 20 Most recent polls: Aug 15: McCain 8% Romney 15% Huckabee 3% Mar 13: McCain 20% Romney 5% Oklahoma Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 27: McCain 37% Romney 19% Jan 13: McCain 29% Romney 8% Huckabee 31% Dec 19: McCain 17% Romney 9% Huckabee 29% Ohio Primary on March 4 Most recent polls: Dec 03: McCain 13% Romney 7% Huckabee 10% Nov 11: McCain 14% Romney 11% Huckabee 7% Oct 08: McCain 10% Romney 8% Huckabee 4% North Dakota Caucus on February 5 No polls have been published North Carolina Primary on May 6 Most recent polls: Jan 14: McCain 27% Romney 10% Huckabee 28% Sep 27: McCain 12% Romney 8% Huckabee 2% Apr 19: McCain 22% Romney 10% New York Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 26: McCain 42% Romney 14% Jan 21: McCain 24% Romney 14% Huckabee 7% Jan 21: McCain 30% Romney 9% New Mexico Nonbinding primary on June 3 Most recent polls: Sep 06: McCain 20% Romney 7% New Jersey Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 22: McCain 29% Romney 14% Jan 15: McCain 29% Romney 10% Huckabee 10% Jan 13: McCain 29% Romney 9% Huckabee 11% New Jersey Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 22: McCain 29% Romney 14% Jan 15: McCain 29% Romney 10% Huckabee 10% Jan 13: McCain 29% Romney 9% Huckabee 11% New Hampshire Primary on January 8 1. John McCain (37%) 2. Mitt Romney (31%) 3. Mike Huckabee (11%) New Hampshire Primary on January 8 1. John McCain (37%) 2. Mitt Romney (31%) 3. Mike Huckabee (11%) Nevada Caucus on January 19 1. Mitt Romney (51%) 2. Ron Paul (14%) 3. John McCain (13%) Nebraska Caucus on February 9 No polls have been published Montana Caucus on February 5 Most recent polls: Dec 19: McCain 5% Romney 13% Huckabee 16% Missouri Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 24: McCain 31% Romney 21% Huckabee 6% Jan 24: McCain 26% Romney 18% Nov 15: McCain 14% Romney 17% Huckabee 12% Mississippi Primary on March 11 No polls have been published Minnesota Caucus on February 5 Most recent polls: Sep 23: McCain 22% Romney 5% Huckabee 2% Michigan Primary on January 15 1.Mitt Romney (39%) 2. John McCain (30%) 3. Mike Huckabee (16%) Massachusetts Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 22: McCain 29% Romney 50% Massachusetts Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 22: McCain 29% Romney 50% Maryland Primary on February 12 Most recent polls: Oct 22: McCain 18% Romney 10% Huckabee 2% Aug 26: McCain 13% Romney 8% Maryland Primary on February 12 Most recent polls: Oct 22: McCain 18% Romney 10% Huckabee 2% Aug 26: McCain 13% Romney 8% Maine Caucus on February 1 Most recent polls: Oct 30: McCain 7% Romney 15% Apr 27: McCain 21% Romney 12% Louisiana Primary on February 9 No polls have been published Kentucky Primary on May 20 No polls have been published Kansas Caucus on February 9 Most recent polls: May 23: McCain 13% Romney 17% Huckabee 1% Iowa Caucus on January 3 1. Mike Huckabee (34%) 2. Mitt Romney (25%) 3. Fred Thompson (13%) Indiana Primary on May 6 No polls have been published Illinois Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Dec 13: McCain 12% Romney 14% Huckabee 21% Jul 09: McCain 12% Romney 11% Huckabee 2% Idaho Primary/convention on May 27/June 12 Most recent polls: Jul 13: McCain 14% Romney 38% Hawaii Caucus on February 19 No polls have been published Georgia Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 10: McCain 18% Romney 14% Huckabee 31% Aug 06: McCain 7% Romney 14% Huckabee 3% Florida Primary on January 29 1.John McCain (36%) 2. Mitt Romney (31%) Rudy Giuliani (15%) Delaware Primary on February 5 No polls have been published Delaware Primary on February 5 No polls have been published D.C. Primary on February 12 No polls have been published D.C. Primary on February 12 No polls have been published Connecticut Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 17: McCain 39% Romney 11% Huckabee 8% Nov 05: McCain 12% Romney 13% Huckabee 4% Oct 15: McCain 14% Romney 9% Huckabee 2% Connecticut Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 17: McCain 39% Romney 11% Huckabee 8% Nov 05: McCain 12% Romney 13% Huckabee 4% Oct 15: McCain 14% Romney 9% Huckabee 2% Colorado Caucus on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 23: McCain 24% Romney 43% Sep 18: McCain 12% Romney 8% Huckabee 2% Jul 18: McCain 11% Romney 9% California Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 27: McCain 37% Romney 25% Jan 27: McCain 39% Romney 26% Jan 27: McCain 29% Romney 21% Arkansas Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Mar 19: McCain 21% Romney 4% Arizona Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 24: McCain 40% Romney 23% Jan 21: McCain 41% Romney 18% Huckabee 7% Nov 15: McCain 18% Romney 11% Huckabee 3% Alaska Caucus on February 5 No polls have been published Alabama Primary on February 5 Most recent polls: Jan 23: McCain 27% Romney 15% Jan 10: McCain 22% Romney 8% Huckabee 25% Nov 27: McCain 9% Romney 5% Huckabee 17%

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News from the Votemaster

All eyes are on Superduper Tuesday now. Except Republicans in Maine, who are caucusing today. Nationally, John McCain is the front runner on the Republican side. He has the enormous advantage that most of the Republican primaries are winner-take-all events, meaning that he can get 35% of the votes (i.e., 2/3 of the voters against him) and still get the nomination. The extreme right wing of the Republican party is going all out to attack him this week. Rush Limbaugh is going wild. James Dobson reiterated his stand that he could never vote for McCain. If it becomes McCain vs. Clinton or McCain vs. Obama, crow will be served for dinner.

On the Democratic side, it is getting closer. A new Gallup poll shows Obama within 4% of Clinton (43% to 39%), with a fair number still undecided. In California, the biggest trove of delegates to be chosen Tuesday, Obama is within 3% (43% to 40%) according to the latest Rasmussen poll. All the Democratic primaries are proportional, so it is possible (even likely) that Clinton wins more delegates Tuesday, but not that many more, causing the race to go on well into the Spring. This is a nightmare scenario for the Democrats: McCain the uncontested nominee raising money like crazy while Clinton and Obama are spitting at each other for months. History shows that the first party to select their nominee usually wins the general election, but this year is not typical.

Here are today's new polls:

Here is a summary of the January polls for the states voting on Tuesday. The most recent poll is always used. If other polls were taken with in a week of it, all of them are averaged together.

Democrats

Republicans

The money numbers are starting to dribble in. The DCCC has a net worth of $34 million to the NRCC's net worth of $3 million. On the Senate side, the DSCC has $29 million vs. the NRSC's $12 million. We might have more numbers tomorrow.

The polling results for all states are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

CNN is keeping track of the delegates for the Democrats and for the Republicans. Note that other sources may differ because CNN is trying to count the PLEOs (Party Leaders and Elected Officials) and other unpledged delegates. When different reporters call a PLEO and hear "Well, I like Hillary, but Barack has his charms too" they may score it differently. Here is CNN's count:

Delegates

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