Jun. 28

Wyoming (3 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 40% John McCain: 53% Source: Research 2000-2 (May 21) 2004: Kerry 29%      Bush 69% 2000: Gore 28%       Bush 69% 1996: Clinton 37%   Dole 50% 1992: Clinton 34%   Bush 40% Wisconsin (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 52% John McCain: 41% Source: Quinn+Surve (Jun 24) 2004: Kerry 50%      Bush 49% 2000: Gore 49%       Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 49%   Dole 39% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 37% West Virginia (5 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 37% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 02) 2004: Kerry 43%      Bush 56% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 52% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 48%   Bush 35% Washington (11 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 55% John McCain: 40% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Jun 19) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 46% 2000: Gore 50%       Bush 45% 1996: Clinton 50%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 32% Virginia (13 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 44% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 12) 2004: Kerry 45%      Bush 54% 2000: Gore 45%       Bush 53% 1996: Clinton 45%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 45% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 63% John McCain: 29% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 59%      Bush 39% 2000: Gore 51%       Bush 41% 1996: Clinton 53%   Dole 31% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 30% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 63% John McCain: 29% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 59%      Bush 39% 2000: Gore 51%       Bush 41% 1996: Clinton 53%   Dole 31% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 30% Utah (5 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 31% John McCain: 55% Source: Rasmu+Dan J (Jun 19) 2004: Kerry 26%      Bush 71% 2000: Gore 27%       Bush 67% 1996: Clinton 33%   Dole 54% 1992: Clinton 25%   Bush 43% Texas (34 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 48% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 25) 2004: Kerry 38%      Bush 61% 2000: Gore 38%       Bush 59% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 49% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 41% Tennessee (11 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 36% John McCain: 51% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 24) 2004: Kerry 43%      Bush 57% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 48%   Dole 46% 1992: Clinton 47%   Bush 42% South Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 34% John McCain: 51% Source: Dakota Wesleyan U.-11 (Apr 03) 2004: Kerry 38%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 38%       Bush 60% 1996: Clinton 43%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 41% South Carolina (8 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 48% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 05) 2004: Kerry 41%      Bush 58% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 50% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 47% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 38% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 60%      Bush 39% 2000: Gore 61%       Bush 32% 1996: Clinton 60%   Dole 27% 1992: Clinton 47%   Bush 29% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 38% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 60%      Bush 39% 2000: Gore 61%       Bush 32% 1996: Clinton 60%   Dole 27% 1992: Clinton 47%   Bush 29% Pennsylvania (21 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 46% John McCain: 42% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 22) 2004: Kerry 51%      Bush 49% 2000: Gore 51%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 49%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 45%   Bush 36% Oregon (7 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 45% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Jun 19) 2004: Kerry 52%      Bush 48% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 47%   Dole 39% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 33% Oklahoma (7 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 38% John McCain: 52% Source: Research 2000-3 (Jun 11) 2004: Kerry 34%      Bush 66% 2000: Gore 38%       Bush 60% 1996: Clinton 40%   Dole 48% 1992: Clinton 34%   Bush 43% Ohio (20 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 46% John McCain: 45% Source: Surve+Rasmu (Jun 22) 2004: Kerry 49%      Bush 51% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 47%   Dole 41% 1992: Clinton 40%   Bush 38% North Dakota (3 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 38% John McCain: 44% Source: Dakota Wesleyan U.-11 (Apr 03) 2004: Kerry 36%      Bush 63% 2000: Gore 33%       Bush 61% 1996: Clinton 40%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 32%   Bush 44% North Carolina (15 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 10) 2004: Kerry 44%      Bush 56% 2000: Gore 43%       Bush 56% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 49% 1992: Clinton 42%   Bush 43% New York (31 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 51% John McCain: 34% Source: Siena+NY Ti+Quinn (Jun 11) 2004: Kerry 58%      Bush 41% 2000: Gore 60%       Bush 35% 1996: Clinton 58%   Dole 30% 1992: Clinton 47%   Bush 29% New Mexico (5 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 43% Source: Rasmu+Surve (Jun 18) 2004: Kerry 49%      Bush 50% 2000: Gore 48%       Bush 47% 1996: Clinton 49%   Dole 42% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 37% New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 39% Source: Quinn+Rasmu (Jun 08) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 47% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 36% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 41% New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 39% Source: Quinn+Rasmu (Jun 08) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 47% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 36% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 41% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 51% John McCain: 39% Source: Rasmu+ARG-5 (Jun 18) 2004: Kerry 50%      Bush 49% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 50%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 39%   Bush 38% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 51% John McCain: 39% Source: Rasmu+ARG-5 (Jun 18) 2004: Kerry 50%      Bush 49% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 50%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 39%   Bush 38% Nevada (5 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 42% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 18) 2004: Kerry 48%      Bush 51% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 43% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 35% Nebraska (5 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 36% John McCain: 52% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 23) 2004: Kerry 32%      Bush 67% 2000: Gore 33%       Bush 62% 1996: Clinton 35%   Dole 54% 1992: Clinton 29%   Bush 47% Montana (3 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 47% Source: Mason-Dixon-3 (May 21) 2004: Kerry 39%      Bush 59% 2000: Gore 33%       Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 41%   Dole 44% 1992: Clinton 38%   Bush 35% Missouri (11 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 50% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Jun 22) 2004: Kerry 46%      Bush 53% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 48%   Dole 41% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 34% Mississippi (6 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 44% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 24) 2004: Kerry 40%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 49% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 50% Minnesota (10 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 51% John McCain: 42% Source: Quinn+Surve (Jun 24) 2004: Kerry 51%      Bush 48% 2000: Gore 48%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 51%   Dole 35% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 32% Michigan (17 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 42% Source: Quinnipiac U.-8 (Jun 24) 2004: Kerry 51%      Bush 48% 2000: Gore 51%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 39% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 36% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 30% Source: Suffolk U.-3 (Jun 10) 2004: Kerry 62%      Bush 37% 2000: Gore 60%       Bush 33% 1996: Clinton 62%   Dole 28% 1992: Clinton 48%   Bush 29% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 30% Source: Suffolk U.-3 (Jun 10) 2004: Kerry 62%      Bush 37% 2000: Gore 60%       Bush 33% 1996: Clinton 62%   Dole 28% 1992: Clinton 48%   Bush 29% Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 52% John McCain: 39% Source: Surve+Gonza (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 56%      Bush 43% 2000: Gore 57%       Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 38% 1992: Clinton 50%   Bush 36% Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 52% John McCain: 39% Source: Surve+Gonza (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 56%      Bush 43% 2000: Gore 57%       Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 38% 1992: Clinton 50%   Bush 36% Maine (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 55% John McCain: 33% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 16) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 45% 2000: Gore 49%       Bush 44% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 31% 1992: Clinton 39%   Bush 30% Louisiana (9 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 28) 2004: Kerry 42%      Bush 57% 2000: Gore 45%       Bush 53% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 41% Kentucky (8 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 35% John McCain: 51% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 25) 2004: Kerry 40%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 56% 1996: Clinton 46%   Dole 45% 1992: Clinton 45%   Bush 41% Kansas (6 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 37% John McCain: 47% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 11) 2004: Kerry 37%      Bush 62% 2000: Gore 37%       Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 36%   Dole 54% 1992: Clinton 34%   Bush 39% Iowa (7 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 42% Source: Surve+Rasmu (Jun 16) 2004: Kerry 49%      Bush 50% 2000: Gore 49%       Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 50%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 37% Indiana (11 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 47% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Jun 23) 2004: Kerry 39%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 42%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 43% Illinois (21 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 60% John McCain: 31% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 55%      Bush 45% 2000: Gore 55%       Bush 43% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 49%   Bush 34% Idaho (4 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 52% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 30%      Bush 69% 2000: Gore 28%       Bush 67% 1996: Clinton 34%   Dole 52% 1992: Clinton 28%   Bush 42% Hawaii (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 61% John McCain: 31% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 54%      Bush 45% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 38% 1996: Clinton 57%   Dole 32% 1992: Clinton 48%   Bush 37% Georgia (15 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 44% Source: Insider Advantage-1 (Jun 18) 2004: Kerry 41%      Bush 58% 2000: Gore 43%       Bush 55% 1996: Clinton 46%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 43% Florida (27 EVs) Tied Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmu+ARG-5+Quinn (Jun 18) 2004: Kerry 47%      Bush 52% 2000: Gore 48%       Bush 49% 1996: Clinton 48%   Dole 42% 1992: Clinton 39%   Bush 41% Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 41% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 46% 2000: Gore 55%       Bush 42% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 35% Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 41% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 46% 2000: Gore 55%       Bush 42% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 35% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 90% John McCain: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry 90%      Bush 9% 2000: Gore 86%       Bush 9% 1996: Clinton 85%   Dole 9% 1992: Clinton 85%   Bush 9% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 90% John McCain: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry 90%      Bush 9% 2000: Gore 86%       Bush 9% 1996: Clinton 85%   Dole 9% 1992: Clinton 85%   Bush 9% Connecticut (7 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 44% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 29) 2004: Kerry 54%      Bush 44% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 38% 1996: Clinton 53%   Dole 35% 1992: Clinton 42%   Bush 36% Connecticut (7 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 44% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 29) 2004: Kerry 54%      Bush 44% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 38% 1996: Clinton 53%   Dole 35% 1992: Clinton 42%   Bush 36% Colorado (9 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 46% John McCain: 43% Source: Quinn+Rasmu (Jun 24) 2004: Kerry 47%      Bush 52% 2000: Gore 42%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 46% 1992: Clinton 40%   Bush 36% California (55 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 56% John McCain: 36% Source: Rasmu+Surve (Jun 23) 2004: Kerry 55%      Bush 44% 2000: Gore 53%       Bush 42% 1996: Clinton 51%   Dole 38% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 33% Arkansas (6 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 40% John McCain: 47% Source: Rasmu+Rasmu (Jun 16) 2004: Kerry 45%      Bush 54% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 53%   Bush 36% Arizona (10 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 28% John McCain: 38% Source: Arizona State U.-2 (Jun 21) 2004: Kerry 45%      Bush 55% 2000: Gore 45%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 47%   Dole 44% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 39% Alaska (3 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 16) 2004: Kerry 35%      Bush 62% 2000: Gore 28%       Bush 59% 1996: Clinton 33%   Dole 51% 1992: Clinton 30%   Bush 40% Alabama (9 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 33% John McCain: 59% Source: Capit+Rasmu (Jun 02) 2004: Kerry 37%      Bush 63% 2000: Gore 42%       Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 43%   Dole 50% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 48%

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