Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 285   Bush 249

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dark blue Strong Kerry (157)
light blue Weak Kerry (17)
white and blue Barely Kerry (111)
white Exactly tied (4)
white and red Barely Bush (45)
light red Weak Bush (60)
dark red Strong Bush (144)
June 18 New polls: FL TN WA WV

News from the Votemaster

Bush has gained ground in WA and WV, but lost ground in TN and FL. The loss in FL is just enough to tip the scales to Kerry again. Once again, all the states with a white core in the map are essentially tossups no matter what the border is, since leads of less than 5% (indicated by white in the map) are within the margin of error of most of the polls.

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-- The votemaster