Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 322   Bush 205

Data in Excel format
Battleground states
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dark blue Strong Kerry (120)
light blue Weak Kerry (123)
white and blue Barely Kerry (79)
white Exactly tied (11)
white and red Barely Bush (11)
light red Weak Bush (59)
dark red Strong Bush (135)
July 19 New polls: (none)

News from the Votemaster

No new polls today. Sunday is a slow news day. Pollsters don't like to announce new polls when nobody is listening.

After yesterday's ministudy of which universities are the most interested in the election (click on Previous report above if you missed it), several people asked for other statistics, so here goes. The total number of unique visitors to this site since June 1 is estimated to be 105,000. As with polling itself, there are all kinds of methodological issues involved in counting visitors, such as the effects of caches. Friday we had 14,500 visitors, many of whom come back daily. Weekends are always slow.

The approximate breakdown by top-level domain is: .net (44%), .com (29%), unknown (14%), .edu (6%), .gov (1%), .org (1%), .mil (1%). The rest is scattered over the other domains.

The top 20 countries are: US, Canada, Netherlands, UK, Australia, France, Japan, New Zealand, Germany, Norway, Belgium, Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland, Finland, Italy, Austria, Brazil, Mexico, and Taiwan.

If you type "electoral vote" to Google, Yahoo, Lycos, or metacrawler, this site is #1. If you type it to msn.com's search engine, it is not listed, unless you include the quotation marks, in which case it is #1.

To get the dates and sources for the polling data, click on the Excel spreadsheet at the top right. To bookmark this page, type CTRL-D. To help publicize this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.

-- The votemaster Electoral college

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