Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 292   Bush 246

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Battleground states
Info about the states
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dark blue Strong Kerry (168)
light blue Weak Kerry (98)
white and blue Barely Kerry (26)
white Exactly tied (0)
white and red Barely Bush (41)
light red Weak Bush (51)
dark red Strong Bush (154)
July 11 New polls: (none)

News from the Votemaster

Rasmussen released two new tracking polls today, one for Michigan and one for Virginia. These polls covered the 7 days ending June 30. Since we have newer polls for both states, in accordance with our policy of using only the most recent polls, these polls have not be used. Nevertheless, just for the record, here is how they stack up against the current polls

      Our polls:     Kerry 49, Bush 44
      Rasmussen: Kerry 46, Bush 44

      Our polls:     Kerry 43, Bush 49
      Rasmussen: Kerry 45, Bush 48

The conclusion is that Kerry is slightly ahead in Michigan and Bush is slightly ahead in Virginia. With the addition of a southerner to the Democratic ticket, Virginia may become a battleground state, along with Florida, and maybe Louisiana (whose governor and senators are all Democrats). Even Arkansas may be up for grabs. Kerry is currently actually leading there and both senators are Democrats although the governor is a Republican.

A new cartoon of the week has been posted.

To get the dates and sources for the polling data, click on the Excel spreadsheet at the top right. If you like this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.

-- The votemaster