Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 292   Bush 246

Data in Excel format
Battleground states
Info about the states
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dark blue Strong Kerry (168)
light blue Weak Kerry (98)
white and blue Barely Kerry (26)
white Exactly tied (0)
white and red Barely Bush (41)
light red Weak Bush (51)
dark red Strong Bush (154)
July 10 New polls: MI MO NM OH PA VA

News from the Votemaster

A big switch today: Kerry has taken the lead in Pennsylvania and Bush has taken the lead in Ohio, exactly the opposite of yesterday. Since Pennsylvania has 1 electoral vote more than Ohio, this switch is a net gain of 1 for Kerry. Two new polls in Michigan show Kerry is still ahead. Since they cover the same time period, we have averaged them.

To get the dates and sources for the polling data, click on the Excel spreadsheet at the top right. If you like this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.

-- The votemaster