Wyoming Caucus March 8 1. Obama (61%) 2. Clinton (38%)
Wisconsin Primary on February 19 1. Obama (58%) 2. Clinton (41%)
West Virginia Primary on May 13 (total of 39 delegates) Most recent polls: Mar 13: Clinton 55% Obama 27%
West Virginia Primary on May 13 (total of 39 delegates) Most recent polls: Mar 13: Clinton 55% Obama 27%
Washington Caucus on February 9 1. Obama (68%)
Virginia Primary on February 12 1. Obama (64%) 2. Clinton (35%)
Vermont Primary on March 4 1. Obama (60%) 2. Clinton (38%)
Vermont Primary on March 4 1. Obama (60%) 2. Clinton (38%)
Utah Primary on February 5 1. Obama (57%) 2. Clinton (39%)
Texas Hybrid on March 4 1. Clinton (51%) 2. Obama (47%) Obama won caucuses &most delegates
Tennessee Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (54%) 2. Obama (41%)
South Dakota Primary on June 3 (total of 23 delegates) Most recent polls: Apr 03: Clinton 34% Obama 46%
South Carolina Primary on January 26 1. Barack Obama (55%) 2. Hillary Clinton (27%) 3. John Edwards (18%)
Rhode Island Primary on March 4 1. Clinton (58%) 2. Obama (40%)
Rhode Island Primary on March 4 1. Clinton (58%) 2. Obama (40%)
Pennsylvania Primary on April 22 1. Clinton (55%) 2. Obama (45%)
Oregon Primary on May 20 (total of 65 delegates) Most recent polls: Apr 06: Clinton 42% Obama 52% Jan 29: Clinton 36% Obama 28% Aug 15: Clinton 26% Obama 18%
Oklahoma Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (55%) 2. Obama (31%)
Ohio Primary on March 4 1. Clinton (55%) 2. Obama (44%)
North Dakota Caucus on February 5 1. Obama (61%) 2. Clinton (37%)
North Carolina Primary on May 6 (total of 134 delegates) Most recent polls: Apr 27: Clinton 42% Obama 52% Apr 21: Clinton 41% Obama 50% Apr 15: Clinton 41% Obama 52%
New York Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (57%) 2. Obama (40%)
New Mexico Caucus on February 5 1. Clinton (51%) 2. Obama (49%)
New Jersey Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (54%) 2. Obama (44%)
New Jersey Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (54%) 2. Obama (44%)
New Hampshire Primary on January 8 1. Hillary Clinton (39%) 2. Barack Obama (36%) 3. John Edwards (17%)
New Hampshire Primary on January 8 1. Hillary Clinton (39%) 2. Barack Obama (36%) 3. John Edwards (17%)
Nevada Caucus on January 19 1. Hillary Clinton (51%) 2. Barack Obama (46%) 3. John Edwards (4%)
Nebraska Caucus on February 9 1. Obama 68% Clinton (32%)
Montana Primary on June 3 (total of 25 delegates) Most recent polls: Dec 19: Clinton 29% Obama 17%
Missouri Primary on February 5 1. Obama (49%) 2. Clinton (48%)
Mississippi Primary on March 11 1. Obama (61%) 2. Clinton (37%)
Minnesota Caucus on February 5 1. Obama (67%) 2. Clinton (32%)
Michigan Primary on January 15 No delegates chosen 1. Hillary Clinton (55%) 2. Uncommitted (40%) 3. Dennis Kucinich (4%)
Massachusetts Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (56%) 2. Obama (41%)
Massachusetts Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (56%) 2. Obama (41%)
Maryland Primary on February 12 1. Obama (59%) 2. Clinton (36%)
Maryland Primary on February 12 1. Obama (59%) 2. Clinton (36%)
Maine Caucus on February 10 1. Obama (59%) 2. Clinton (40%)
Louisiana Primary on February 9 1. Obama (57%) 2. Clinton (36%)
Kentucky Primary on May 20 (total of 60 delegates) Most recent polls: Apr 14: Clinton 62% Obama 26% Mar 30: Clinton 58% Obama 29%
Kansas Caucus on February 5 1. Obama (74%) 2. Clinton (26%)
Iowa Caucus on January 3 1. Barack Obama (38%) 2. John Edwards (30%) 3. Hillary Clinton (29%)
Indiana Primary on May 6 (total of 85 delegates) Most recent polls: Apr 27: Clinton 52% Obama 43% Apr 24: Clinton 47% Obama 48% Apr 24: Clinton 50% Obama 45%
Illinois Primary on February 5 1. Obama (64%) 2. Clinton (33%)
Idaho Caucus on February 5 1. Obama (80%) 2. Clinton (17%)
Hawaii Caucus on February 19 1. Obama (76%) 2. Clinton (24%)
Georgia Primary on February 5 1. Obama (66%) 2. Clinton (31%)
Florida Primary on January 29 No delegates chosen 1. Hillary Clinton (50%) 2. Barack Obama (33%) 3. John Edwards (14%)
Delaware Primary on February 5 1. Obama (53%) 2. Clinton (42%)
Delaware Primary on February 5 1. Obama (53%) 2. Clinton (42%)
D.C. Primary on February 12 1. Obama (75%) 2. Clinton (24%)
D.C. Primary on February 12 1. Obama (75%) 2. Clinton (24%)
Connecticut Primary on February 5 1. Obama (51%) 2. Clinton (47%)
Connecticut Primary on February 5 1. Obama (51%) 2. Clinton (47%)
Colorado Caucus on February 5 1. Obama (67%) 2. Clinton (32%)
California Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (52%) 2. Obama (43%)
Arkansas Primary on February 5 1. Clinton (69%) 2. Obama (27%)
Arizona Primary on February 5 Clinton (51%) Obama (42%)
Alaska Caucus on February 5 1. Obama (74%) 2. Clinton (25%)
Alabama Primary on February 5 1. Obama (56%) 2. Clinton (42%)
Indiana, like North Carolina, chooses its elected delegates to the Democratic National Convention
by congressional district, of which it has nine. Here is the map of the Indiana congressional districts.
Indiana will send 85 delegates to the Democratic National Convention
as follows:
Type of delegate
Number
Pledged?
Selection date
Selected by
District-level
47
Yes
June 212
State convention
PLEO
9
Yes
June 21
State convention
At-large
16
Yes
June 21
State convention
Add-ons
1
No
June 21
State convention
DNC members
7
No
N/A
Ex officio
Representatives
5
No
N/A
Ex officio
The first step in the selection of delegates is the primary tomorrow, where the
number of district-level delegates for each candidate will be chosen. The actual
delegates will not be chosen tomorrow, but at the state convention next month.
Here is the breakdown per congressional district along with CQ Politics'
prediction
of how the delegate allocation will go.
CD
Delegates
Cities
PVI
Party
Rep
Notes
Obama
Clinton
1
6
Gary
D+8
D
Peter Visclosky
"Near Chicago, large black population
3
3
2
6
South Bend
R+4
D
Joe Donnelly
"Universities, blacks, and blue-collar Catolics
3
3
3
4
Fort Wayne
R+16
R
Mark Souder
Dan Quayle's home base
2
2
4
4
Lafayette
R+17
R
Steve Buyer
Heavy Republican district + Purdue University
2
2
5
4
Indianapolis suburbs
R+20
R
Dan Burton
Very heavy Republican
1
3
6
5
Muncie
R+11
R
Mike Pence
Low-income, high unemployment district"
2
3
7
6
Indianapolis suburbs
D+9
D
Andre Carson
30% black
4
2
8
6
Evansville
R+9
D
Brad Ellsworth
Culturally conservative area
3
3
9
6
Bloomington
R+7
D
Baron Hill
Conservative district + Indiana university
3
3
Totals
47
23
24
If this scenario holds, Hillary Clinton will get 24 district-level delegates and
Barack Obama will get 23. As usual, the problem in getting more is that so many
districts have an even number of delegates, so you need a landslide to get more than
half the delegates. The PLEOs and at-large delegates are divvied up according to
the statewide totals. Suppose Clinton gets 55% of the vote. Then she gets 5 PLEOs
and Obama gets 4 and she gets 9 at-large delegates to his 7. Thus a substantial
win for Clinton nets her four delegates.