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REPUBLICAN PRIMARIES AND CAUCUSES 2008 Click for Democratic primaries and caucuses

 
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News: Updated Mar. 29


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News from the Votemaster

Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT) has called for Hillary Clinton to drop out of the race to avoid damaging the party. Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) has endorsed Sen. Barack Obama. These senators are superdelegates but their votes hardly matter. Also, endorsements rarely sway voters. The significance of this is that Leahy has been in the Senate more than a quarter of a century. He understands politics like few others. He and Casey know Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama well. The most important thing to note is that heavyweights like Leahy do not say things that will antagonize presidential candidats lightly. He knows that the Clintons have excellent memories and this slight will not be forgotten. Leahy is privy to all the inside baseball going on and is clearly convinced that Obama will be the nominee and wants to get on his good side by helping him now. Casey is a newcomer to the Senate but held several statewide offices in Pennsylvania, whose primary is next.

There is one new primary poll today, in Pennsylvania. Clinton is holding onto the state solidly, as she has for weeks. How this will translate into delegates is another matter. Check back Monday for that story.

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama McCain Huckabee Paul
Pennsylvania ARG Mar. 27 51% 39%      

The polling results for all states are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

Here are the delegate totals from various news sources rounded to integers (Democrats Abroad has 22 delegates, each with 1/2 vote). The sources differ because in most caucus states, no delegates to the national conventions have been chosen yet, just delegates to the district, county, or state convention so there is some guesswork involved. Furthermore, some of the unpledged delegates are elected at state conventions in May or June. Finally, the PLEOs (Party Leaders and Elected Officials) sometimes waver and may tell different reporters slightly different stories that they interpret differently.

Delegates

Source Clinton Obama BHO-HRC Edwards McCain Romney Huckabee Paul
Washington Post 1499 1623 +124   1334   278  
NY Times 1473 1623 +150 12 1162 142 232 5
AP 1498 1617 +119 18 1334 257 278 14
CNN 1486 1625 +139 26 1325 255 267 16
ABC 1493 1622 +129 32 1267 273 272 14
CBS 1491 1620 +129 26 1241 149 231 10
MSNBC 1506 1629 +123 26 1266 293 262 14

Needed to win: Democrats 2024, Republicans 1191.

Here is another source for delegate totals.



-- The Votemaster
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