Indiana, like North Carolina, chooses its elected delegates to the Democratic National Convention
by congressional district, of which it has nine. Here is the map of the Indiana congressional districts.
Indiana will send 85 delegates to the Democratic National Convention
as follows:
Type of delegate
Number
Pledged?
Selection date
Selected by
District-level
47
Yes
June 212
State convention
PLEO
9
Yes
June 21
State convention
At-large
16
Yes
June 21
State convention
Add-ons
1
No
June 21
State convention
DNC members
7
No
N/A
Ex officio
Representatives
5
No
N/A
Ex officio
The first step in the selection of delegates is the primary tomorrow, where the
number of district-level delegates for each candidate will be chosen. The actual
delegates will not be chosen tomorrow, but at the state convention next month.
Here is the breakdown per congressional district along with CQ Politics'
prediction
of how the delegate allocation will go.
CD
Delegates
Cities
PVI
Party
Rep
Notes
Obama
Clinton
1
6
Gary
D+8
D
Peter Visclosky
"Near Chicago, large black population
3
3
2
6
South Bend
R+4
D
Joe Donnelly
"Universities, blacks, and blue-collar Catolics
3
3
3
4
Fort Wayne
R+16
R
Mark Souder
Dan Quayle's home base
2
2
4
4
Lafayette
R+17
R
Steve Buyer
Heavy Republican district + Purdue University
2
2
5
4
Indianapolis suburbs
R+20
R
Dan Burton
Very heavy Republican
1
3
6
5
Muncie
R+11
R
Mike Pence
Low-income, high unemployment district"
2
3
7
6
Indianapolis suburbs
D+9
D
Andre Carson
30% black
4
2
8
6
Evansville
R+9
D
Brad Ellsworth
Culturally conservative area
3
3
9
6
Bloomington
R+7
D
Baron Hill
Conservative district + Indiana university
3
3
Totals
47
23
24
If this scenario holds, Hillary Clinton will get 24 district-level delegates and
Barack Obama will get 23. As usual, the problem in getting more is that so many
districts have an even number of delegates, so you need a landslide to get more than
half the delegates. The PLEOs and at-large delegates are divvied up according to
the statewide totals. Suppose Clinton gets 55% of the vote. Then she gets 5 PLEOs
and Obama gets 4 and she gets 9 at-large delegates to his 7. Thus a substantial
win for Clinton nets her four delegates.
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