In brown states, Obama does better than Clinton against McCain. In pink states Clinton does better.
Sometimes this means: does not lose as badly
But white centers are statistical ties.
John McCain would like to maintain his image of a maverick who tells the truth and bucks his party
when it is wrong. However, he has another side that is not as well known--McCain, the
guy who helps lobbyists and cronies.
His relationship with Charles Keating and more recently Vicki Iseman is going to be big news during the
campaign. Now the Washington Post is reporting on another
case McCain probably won't want to talk about too much but the Democrats will undoubtedly hit
him over the head with repeatedly.
The GOP brand has been tarred with corruption in recent
years and charges of being too close to lobbyists and cronies could resonate.
The mystery of who fathered Laura Fay's child has been solved.
It was Rep. Vito Fossella of Staten Island.
As the NY tabloids have been putting it: Vito finito. He's dead meat. The only remaining question is whether
he resigns right now (possibly forcing a special election) or just announces he is not running for reelection.
The Republicans want to have him resign now and have a special election just to get rid of him as fast as
possible. The Democrats dream scenario is that he runs for reelection. What's the country coming to?
It was with a woman and he didn't pay for it. Can't a congressman have any fun any more?
Politico has a list
of superdelegates by state and who they are supporting and which ones are uncommitted.
While many Democrats are moaning about how long the process is taking, few are pointing
their finger at the real culprits: the fence-sitting superdelegates. If every superdelegate
whose state has voted already would announce who he or she is for tomorrow, we would have a
candidate. What are the 22 uncommitted superdelegates from California waiting for? They have
known for 3 months how Californians voted. Why can't they make up their minds. Those
superdelegates who want to follow the will of the voters know what their voters want except
in six states and those superdelegates who want to make their own decision surely don't need
any more information. C'mon supers, get off the fence and say who you are for. Here is a
table showing where the superdelegates stand by state.
State
Clinton
Obama
Uncommitted
Alabama
3
2
3
Alaska
1
1
2
American Samoa
4
2
0
Arizona
4
3
4
Arkansas
11
0
1
California
30
14
22
Colorado
4
4
6
Connecticut
2
8
2
Delaware
3
1
4
Democrats Abroad
1.5
2
0.5
District of Columbia
10
10
4
Florida
0
0
0
Georgia
3
7
3
Guam
1
1
3
Hawaii
2
1
5
Idaho
0
3
1
Illinois
0
28
3
Indiana
4
5
3
Iowa
3
6
2
Kansas
1
3
4
Kentucky
3
2
3
Louisiana
2
1
7
Maine
1
2
4
Maryland
11
8
10
Massachusetts
9
11
6
Michigan
0
0
0
Minnesota
3
10
1
Mississippi
0
3
3
Missouri
5
5
6
Montana
0
3
5
Nebraska
0
6
0
Nevada
2
2
4
New Hampshire
3
3
2
New Jersey
13
4
3
New Mexico
6
4
2
New York
45
1
3
North Carolina
3
7
7
North Dakota
0
7
1
Ohio
5
5
9
Oklahoma
1
4
5
Oregon
2
2
8
Pennsylvania
16
5
5
Puerto Rico
4
2
1
Rhode Island
8
2
1
South Carolina
2
3
4
South Dakota
0
6
1
Tennessee
5
4
8
Texas
12
12
8
Utah
1
2
2
Vermont
1
5
1
Virgin Islands
2
2
2
Virginia
6
4
6
Washington
6
4
7
West Virginia
3
2
5
Wisconsin
2
10
4
Wyoming
0
3
2
No new primary polls, but three new general election polls as follows.
State
Clinton
McCain
Start
End
Pollster
Georgia
37%
48%
May 06
May 06
Rasmussen
Missouri
43%
45%
May 06
May 06
Rasmussen
Wisconsin
43%
47%
May 05
May 05
Rasmussen
State
Obama
McCain
Start
End
Pollster
Georgia
39%
53%
May 06
May 06
Rasmussen
Missouri
41%
47%
May 06
May 06
Rasmussen
Wisconsin
43%
47%
May 05
May 05
Rasmussen
The polling results for all primaries and caucuses are available as a
Web page
and in
.csv format.
A few more supers declared yesterday. Here is where we are now. It looks like Obama has about 1850
delegates lined up, so he needs 175 of the remaining 500 or so.
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