Jun. 28 absentee ballot for overseas voters
Kerry 252   Bush 286  
Senate: Dem 51   GOP 49  
House: Dem 233   GOP 202  
 
Senate map with polls
Downloadable polling data
Previous report
Next report
News


strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (37)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (37)
weak GOP Weak GOP (66)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
  Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
Welcome FAQs Donations Icons for bloggers Previous elections
Electoral coll. graph Poll graphs Cartogram Animated maps Data galore
All Senate races Hot House races Political websites Articles and books Political humor

News from the Votemaster

Here are the latest polls. An interesting development is the rise of Mitt Romney in Iowa and New Hampshire and the decline of John McCain in multiple states. In the most recent Iowa poll, Romney is polling at 25% and McCain is polling at a miserable 6%. In New Hampshire, a Suffolk University poll puts Romney at 26% and McCain at 13%. Romney victories in these states would not guarantee him the nomination, but coming in at 13% and worse in these key states would certainly finish off McCain, who is already very unpopular with the Republican base for his support of the immgration bill, which was defeated for a second time today. If and when Fred Thompson enters the race, we will start adding him to the polls too. He could shake things up enormously.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is edging up on John Edwards in Iowa, but otherwise nothing much has changed.

A potentially significant development in the Senate is a poll from ARG about the New Hampshire Senate race. If former governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) were to enter the race against incumbent Sen. John Sununu (R), she would crush him, 57% to 29% according to an ARG poll released today. Coming after the Democrats sweep of virtually everything in 2006 in New Hampshire (governor, both House seats, and both houses of the state legislature), this poll has to be keeping Sununu up nights. DSCC chairman Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has been lobbying Shaheen mightily to get her to run.

Rumors that Sen. John Warner (R-VA) is going to retire rather than run again are getting stronger. This has to be worrisome to NRSC chairman Sen. John Ensign (R-NV) because while Warner is a shoo-in for reelection if he runs, the seat has to be rated a tossup if he retires, and if former Virginia governor Mark Warner (D) (no relation) runs, he is probably the favorite, in part because Mark Warner has already demonstrated that he can win statewide office in Virginia and in part because Democrats have won the most recent statewide races there (Jim Webb to the Senate in 2006 and Tim Kaine to the governorship in 2005). If the Republicans lose the open seat in Colorado, an open seat in Virginia, and Sununu goes down to defeat in New Hampshire, the Republicans have virtually no chance of retaking the Senate because only two Democrats are in danger, Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) and Sen. Tim Johnson (D-SD).

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Alabama U. of South Alabama Apr. 19 33% 25% 12% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Mar. 6 35% 19% 9% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama ARG Feb. 13 44% 13% 11% 31% 19% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Jan. 17 27% 14% 19% 20% 24% 3%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll May 29 26% 22% 7% 20% 35% 7%
Arizona Arizona State U. Apr. 22 25% 20% 18% 27% 32% 11%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Mar. 21 27% 20% 9% 25% 34% 11%
Arizona Arizona State U. Feb. 25 28% 24% 14% 25% 44% 6%
Arizona ARG Feb. 13 33% 24% 13% 21% 45% 2%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Jan. 22 32% 15% 18% 13% 40% 11%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Arkansas ARG Mar. 23 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
Arkansas ARG Mar. 19 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
California San Jose State U. June 22 37% 15% 15% 25% 14% 5%
California Public Policy Inst. June 19 41% 25% 12% 31% 16% 13%
California ARG May 8 37% 28% 15% 27% 24% 11%
California Field Poll Mar. 31 41% 28% 13% 36% 24% 7%
California SurveyUSA Mar. 6 44% 31% 10% 41% 23% 8%
California Datamar Feb. 15 34% 24% 16% 41% 17% 11%
California ARG Jan. 17 36% 33% 6% 33% 18% 3%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Colorado ARG Apr. 2 34% 23% 17% 25% 23% 9%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Connecticut Quinnipiac U. May 7 28% 20% 8% 36% 15% 9%
Connecticut Quinnipiac U. Feb. 12 33% 21% 5% 43% 27% 4%
Connecticut ARG Feb. 6 40% 8% 10% 32% 21% 14%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Delaware FDU Feb. 25 34% 19% 10% 0% 0% 0%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Florida Quinnipiac U. June 25 43% 16% 11% 29% 13% 8%
Florida Zogby June 6 36% 16% 11% 31% 12% 12%
Florida Quinnipiac U. June 4 34% 16% 11% 31% 10% 8%
Florida Schroth/Polling Co. May 9 42% 19% 12% 29% 15% 14%
Florida ARG May 8 45% 17% 15% 31% 18% 11%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 13% 11% 38% 15% 7%
Florida U. of North Florida Apr. 13 35% 20% 9% 31% 14% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 27 36% 13% 11% 35% 15% 5%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 38% 13% 6% 38% 18% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Feb. 4 49% 13% 7% 29% 23% 6%
Florida ARG Jan. 9 30% 14% 15% 30% 15% 2%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Illinois ARG Jan. 14 30% 36% 5% 33% 24% 12%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Iowa Mason-Dixon June 16 22% 18% 21% 15% 6% 25%
Iowa ARG May 27 31% 11% 25% 23% 25% 16%
Iowa Selzer May 16 21% 23% 29% 17% 18% 30%
Iowa Research 2000 May 15 28% 22% 26% 17% 18% 16%
Iowa Zogby May 15 24% 22% 26% 16% 18% 17%
Iowa ARG Apr. 30 23% 19% 27% 19% 26% 14%
Iowa U. of Iowa Mar. 31 28% 19% 34% 21% 20% 17%
Iowa Zogby Mar. 26 25% 23% 27% 25% 19% 11%
Iowa ARG Mar. 23 34% 16% 33% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa ARG Mar. 22 34% 33% 16% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa Zogby Feb. 9 24% 24% 18% 19% 17% 5%
Iowa Zogby Jan. 16 16% 27% 17% 19% 17% 5%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Kansas Research 2000 May 23 27% 22% 21% 13% 13% 17%
Kansas Research 2000 May 23 27% 22% 21% 13% 13% 17%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Maine Critical Insights Apr. 27 39% 22% 16% 24% 21% 12%
Maine ARG Feb. 6 41% 14% 17% 33% 22% 13%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Massachusetts Suffolk U. Apr. 15 32% 18% 19% 0% 0% 0%
Massachusetts ARG Feb. 6 35% 24% 19% 29% 30% 7%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Michigan ARG May 7 38% 25% 14% 19% 22% 24%
Michigan EPIC/MRA Mar. 18 45% 29% 16% 26% 30% 21%
Michigan ARG Mar. 4 35% 30% 14% 30% 35% 0%
Michigan EPIC/MRA Feb. 4 49% 20% 8% 32% 28% 8%
Michigan ARG Jan. 7 30% 30% 17% 34% 24% 10%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Missouri ARG Jan. 9 30% 18% 17% 18% 31% 2%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Nevada Mason-Dixon June 22 39% 17% 12% 17% 8% 20%
Nevada ARG June 19 40% 16% 16% 21% 16% 23%
Nevada Mason-Dixon May 1 37% 12% 13% 12% 19% 15%
Nevada Zogby Apr. 12 35% 21% 15% 37% 15% 15%
Nevada Research 2000 Mar. 8 32% 20% 11% 38% 18% 4%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
New Hampshire Suffolk U. June 24 37% 19% 9% 22% 13% 26%
New Hampshire U of New Hampshire June 11 36% 22% 12% 22% 20% 29%
New Hampshire Mason-Dixon June 7 26% 21% 18% 15% 16% 27%
New Hampshire Franklin Pierce Coll. June 6 41% 17% 15% 20% 18% 30%
New Hampshire ARG May 27 34% 15% 18% 21% 30% 23%
New Hampshire Zogby May 16 28% 26% 15% 19% 19% 35%
New Hampshire ARG Apr. 29 37% 14% 26% 17% 29% 24%
New Hampshire Zogby Apr. 3 29% 23% 23% 19% 25% 25%
New Hampshire U. of New Hampshire Apr. 3 27% 20% 21% 29% 29% 17%
New Hampshire ARG Mar. 23 37% 23% 20% 19% 23% 17%
New Hampshire Franklin Pierce Coll. Mar. 12 32% 25% 16% 28% 29% 22%
New Hampshire Suffolk U. Feb. 28 28% 26% 17% 37% 27% 17%
New Hampshire Zogby/UNH Feb. 8 27% 23% 13% 27% 28% 13%
New Hampshire Zogby Jan. 17 19% 19% 23% 20% 26% 13%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
New Jersey Monmouth U. Apr. 16 41% 22% 13% 49% 19% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Apr. 16 38% 16% 9% 49% 18% 6%
New Jersey FDU Mar. 4 46% 18% 10% 59% 20% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Feb. 25 41% 19% 5% 58% 15% 2%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Jan. 22 30% 8% 16% 39% 21% 5%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
New Mexico ARG Jan. 13 22% 17% 12% 38% 20% 7%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
New York Siena Coll. June 21 43% 11% 9% 48% 13% 6%
New York Quinnipiac U. June 17 44% 14% 6% 46% 8% 3%
New York Siena Coll. May 25 42% 13% 7% 50% 12% 7%
New York Siena Coll. Apr. 20 39% 17% 11% 47% 16% 8%
New York Blum+Weprin Apr. 7 49% 17% 11% 56% 15% 5%
New York ARG Apr. 2 41% 20% 16% 50% 14% 7%
New York Quinnipiac U. Apr. 2 44% 14% 9% 52% 13% 6%
New York Siena Coll. Mar. 22 43% 11% 7% 31% 20% 6%
New York Quinnipiac U. Feb. 11 47% 16% 7% 51% 17% 1%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
North Carolina Elon U. Apr. 19 20% 20% 26% 32% 22% 10%
North Carolina ARG Jan. 15 26% 19% 30% 34% 26% 2%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Ohio Quinnipiac U. June 25 46% 14% 15% 26% 16% 8%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. May 13 38% 19% 11% 23% 17% 11%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 37% 14% 17% 23% 21% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 19 32% 22% 11% 31% 20% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 32% 19% 13% 35% 18% 3%
Ohio U. of Akron Feb. 21 42% 16% 17% 36% 28% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Jan. 28 38% 11% 13% 30% 22% 4%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Oklahoma Sooner Apr. 30 29% 13% 29% 32% 23% 6%
Oklahoma ARG Feb. 13 40% 15% 16% 37% 21% 2%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Oregon Riley Research Mar. 13 31% 21% 8% 33% 20% 5%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. June 25 38% 22% 10% 29% 16% 4%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 14% 13% 29% 17% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 25 36% 17% 9% 33% 18% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 29% 18% 11% 43% 17% 6%
Pennsylvania Susquehanna Feb. 20 42% 16% 11% 37% 29% 6%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Feb. 5 37% 11% 11% 30% 20% 4%
Pennsylvania ARG Jan. 8 32% 12% 13% 35% 25% 1%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Rhode Island Brown U. Jan. 27 33% 8% 15% 0% 0% 0%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
South Carolina Mason-Dixon June 15 25% 34% 12% 21% 7% 11%
South Carolina Winthrop U. May 27 29% 21% 11% 19% 14% 12%
South Carolina ARG May 26 34% 18% 30% 23% 32% 10%
South Carolina ARG Apr. 30 36% 24% 18% 23% 36% 6%
South Carolina Hamilton/McHenry Apr. 19 31% 27% 16% 15% 24% 10%
South Carolina Zogby Apr. 17 33% 26% 21% 19% 22% 10%
South Carolina ARG Feb. 27 36% 25% 20% 29% 35% 5%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Texas U. of Texas May 7 33% 21% 8% 23% 27% 6%
Texas ARG Mar. 19 34% 32% 11% 30% 20% 13%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Utah ARG Feb. 13 31% 18% 9% 13% 21% 40%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Vermont ARG Feb. 6 37% 19% 14% 29% 30% 7%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
West Virginia ARG Apr. 2 37% 22% 19% 29% 33% 8%
 
State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Wisconsin St. Norbert Coll. Apr. 17 33% 30% 18% 26% 24% 9%

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

Preview of the 2008 races:           President       Senate       House      

This map shows the current governors. Put your mouse on a state for more information.



This map shows the current Senate. Put your mouse on a state for more information.



This map shows the current House. Put your mouse on a state for more information.



-- The Votemaster
Google
WWW www.electoral-vote.com
absentee ballot for overseas voter