Mayor Mike Bloomberg
announced
today that his leaving the Republican party to become an independent. Prior to his 2001 run
for mayor of New York City, he was a lifelong Democrat. This move has encouraged speculation
that Bloomberg is planning to run for President as an independent.
I discussed such a run on May 16.
Those considerations are still valid. Added to the mix now are some actual data about
who a Bloomberg candidacy would hurt most. Survey USA polling suggests Bloomberg would
attract both Democrats and Republicans, but sightly more Republicans than Democrats. This
polling data also suggests Bloomberg comes nowhere near enough votes to actually win any electoral
votes, but don't underestimate the effect of Mayor Mike's spending $500 million of his own
fortune (estimated at more than $5 billion) on the race. The data and a discusion of it
can be found at MyDD.
For what this very early data is worth, a Bloomberg run would change the outcome of
two states, Missouri and Washington, flipping both from Republican to Democratic.
But don't take this very seriously just yet.
The Wyoming Republican party has chosen three nominees to replace the late Sen. Craig Thomas.
Gov. Dave Freudenthal (D) gets five days to pick one of them. Here is the
story from CQ Politics.
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