Jun. 18 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Kerry 252   Bush 286  
Senate: Dem 51   GOP 49  
House: Dem 233   GOP 202  

 
Senate map with polls
Downloadable polling data
Previous report
Next report
News


strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (37)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (37)
weak GOP Weak GOP (66)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
  Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  


News from the Votemaster

Here is more polling data. Again, take it with a grain of salt. If Fred Thompson jumps in in July, I'll start tracking him of course.

Also of interest is the enormous progress that has been made in the past two years in making sure electronic voting machines produce paper trails and that these paper trails are subject to random audits. Fifteen states require both paper trails and random audits and another 15 require paper trails but no random audits. In addition, a bill (HR 811) sponsored by congressman Rush Holt (D-NJ) is making its way through the House and if passed into law would require paper trails for all federal elections. Paper trails are extremely important to prevent insiders (mostly the company that makes the voting machines) from rigging elections. With voter verified paper trails this kind of insider rigging is difficult, if not impossible. For the state of play on this subject, see the Website of verifiedvoting.org.

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Alabama U. of South Alabama Apr. 19 33% 25% 12% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Mar. 6 35% 19% 9% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama ARG Feb. 13 44% 13% 11% 31% 19% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Jan. 17 27% 14% 19% 20% 24% 3%
 
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll May 29 26% 22% 7% 20% 35% 7%
Arizona Arizona State U. Apr. 22 25% 20% 18% 27% 32% 11%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Mar. 21 27% 20% 9% 25% 34% 11%
Arizona Arizona State U. Feb. 25 28% 24% 14% 25% 44% 6%
Arizona ARG Feb. 13 33% 24% 13% 21% 45% 2%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Jan. 22 32% 15% 18% 13% 40% 11%
 
Arkansas ARG Mar. 23 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
Arkansas ARG Mar. 19 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
 
California ARG May 8 37% 28% 15% 27% 24% 11%
California Field Poll Mar. 31 41% 28% 13% 36% 24% 7%
California SurveyUSA Mar. 6 44% 31% 10% 41% 23% 8%
California Datamar Feb. 15 34% 24% 16% 41% 17% 11%
California ARG Jan. 17 36% 33% 6% 33% 18% 3%
 
Colorado ARG Apr. 2 34% 23% 17% 25% 23% 9%
 
Connecticut Quinnipiac U. May 7 28% 20% 8% 36% 15% 9%
Connecticut Quinnipiac U. Feb. 12 33% 21% 5% 43% 27% 4%
Connecticut ARG Feb. 6 40% 8% 10% 32% 21% 14%
 
Delaware FDU Feb. 25 34% 19% 10% 0% 0% 0%
 
Florida Zogby June 6 36% 16% 11% 31% 12% 12%
Florida Quinnipiac U. June 4 34% 16% 11% 31% 10% 8%
Florida Schroth/Polling Co. May 9 42% 19% 12% 29% 15% 14%
Florida ARG May 8 45% 17% 15% 31% 18% 11%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 13% 11% 38% 15% 7%
Florida U. of North Florida Apr. 13 35% 20% 9% 31% 14% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 27 36% 13% 11% 35% 15% 5%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 38% 13% 6% 38% 18% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Feb. 4 49% 13% 7% 29% 23% 6%
Florida ARG Jan. 9 30% 14% 15% 30% 15% 2%
 
Illinois ARG Jan. 14 30% 36% 5% 33% 24% 12%
 
Iowa ARG May 27 31% 11% 25% 23% 25% 16%
Iowa Selzer May 16 21% 23% 29% 17% 18% 30%
Iowa Research 2000 May 15 28% 22% 26% 17% 18% 16%
Iowa Zogby May 15 24% 22% 26% 16% 18% 17%
Iowa ARG Apr. 30 23% 19% 27% 19% 26% 14%
Iowa U. of Iowa Mar. 31 28% 19% 34% 21% 20% 17%
Iowa Zogby Mar. 26 25% 23% 27% 25% 19% 11%
Iowa ARG Mar. 23 34% 16% 33% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa ARG Mar. 22 34% 33% 16% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa Zogby Feb. 9 24% 24% 18% 19% 17% 5%
Iowa Zogby Jan. 16 16% 27% 17% 19% 17% 5%
 
Kansas Research 2000 May 23 27% 22% 21% 13% 13% 17%
Kansas Research 2000 May 23 27% 22% 21% 13% 13% 17%
 
Maine Critical Insights Apr. 27 39% 22% 16% 24% 21% 12%
Maine ARG Feb. 6 41% 14% 17% 33% 22% 13%
 
Massachusetts Suffolk U. Apr. 15 32% 18% 19% 0% 0% 0%
Massachusetts ARG Feb. 6 35% 24% 19% 29% 30% 7%
 
Michigan ARG May 7 38% 25% 14% 19% 22% 24%
Michigan EPIC/MRA Mar. 18 45% 29% 16% 26% 30% 21%
Michigan ARG Mar. 4 35% 30% 14% 30% 35% 0%
Michigan EPIC/MRA Feb. 4 49% 20% 8% 32% 28% 8%
Michigan ARG Jan. 7 30% 30% 17% 34% 24% 10%
 
Missouri ARG Jan. 9 30% 18% 17% 18% 31% 2%
 
Nevada Mason-Dixon May 1 37% 12% 13% 12% 19% 15%
Nevada Zogby Apr. 12 35% 21% 15% 37% 15% 15%
Nevada Research 2000 Mar. 8 32% 20% 11% 38% 18% 4%
 
New Hampshire U of New Hampshire June 11 36% 22% 12% 22% 20% 29%
New Hampshire Mason-Dixon June 7 26% 21% 18% 15% 16% 27%
New Hampshire Franklin Pierce Coll. June 6 41% 17% 15% 20% 18% 30%
New Hampshire ARG May 27 34% 15% 18% 21% 30% 23%
New Hampshire Zogby May 16 28% 26% 15% 19% 19% 35%
New Hampshire ARG Apr. 29 37% 14% 26% 17% 29% 24%
New Hampshire Zogby Apr. 3 29% 23% 23% 19% 25% 25%
New Hampshire U. of New Hampshire Apr. 3 27% 20% 21% 29% 29% 17%
New Hampshire ARG Mar. 23 37% 23% 20% 19% 23% 17%
New Hampshire Franklin Pierce Coll. Mar. 12 32% 25% 16% 28% 29% 22%
New Hampshire Suffolk U. Feb. 28 28% 26% 17% 37% 27% 17%
New Hampshire Zogby/UNH Feb. 8 27% 23% 13% 27% 28% 13%
New Hampshire Zogby Jan. 17 19% 19% 23% 20% 26% 13%
 
New Jersey Monmouth U. Apr. 16 41% 22% 13% 49% 19% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Apr. 16 38% 16% 9% 49% 18% 6%
New Jersey FDU Mar. 4 46% 18% 10% 59% 20% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Feb. 25 41% 19% 5% 58% 15% 2%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Jan. 22 30% 8% 16% 39% 21% 5%
 
New Mexico ARG Jan. 13 22% 17% 12% 38% 20% 7%
 
New York Siena Coll. May 25 42% 13% 7% 50% 12% 7%
New York Siena Coll. Apr. 20 39% 17% 11% 47% 16% 8%
New York Blum+Weprin Apr. 7 49% 17% 11% 56% 15% 5%
New York ARG Apr. 2 41% 20% 16% 50% 14% 7%
New York Quinnipiac U. Apr. 2 44% 14% 9% 52% 13% 6%
New York Siena Coll. Mar. 22 43% 11% 7% 31% 20% 6%
New York Quinnipiac U. Feb. 11 47% 16% 7% 51% 17% 1%
 
North Carolina Elon U. Apr. 19 20% 20% 26% 32% 22% 10%
North Carolina ARG Jan. 15 26% 19% 30% 34% 26% 2%
 
Ohio Quinnipiac U. May 13 38% 19% 11% 23% 17% 11%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 37% 14% 17% 23% 21% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 19 32% 22% 11% 31% 20% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 32% 19% 13% 35% 18% 3%
Ohio U. of Akron Feb. 21 42% 16% 17% 36% 28% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Jan. 28 38% 11% 13% 30% 22% 4%
 
Oklahoma Sooner Apr. 30 29% 13% 29% 32% 23% 6%
Oklahoma ARG Feb. 13 40% 15% 16% 37% 21% 2%
 
Oregon Riley Research Mar. 13 31% 21% 8% 33% 20% 5%
 
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 14% 13% 29% 17% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 25 36% 17% 9% 33% 18% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 29% 18% 11% 43% 17% 6%
Pennsylvania Susquehanna Feb. 20 42% 16% 11% 37% 29% 6%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Feb. 5 37% 11% 11% 30% 20% 4%
Pennsylvania ARG Jan. 8 32% 12% 13% 35% 25% 1%
 
Rhode Island Brown U. Jan. 27 33% 8% 15% 0% 0% 0%
 
South Carolina Winthrop U. May 27 29% 21% 11% 19% 14% 12%
South Carolina ARG May 26 34% 18% 30% 23% 32% 10%
South Carolina ARG Apr. 30 36% 24% 18% 23% 36% 6%
South Carolina Hamilton/McHenry Apr. 19 31% 27% 16% 15% 24% 10%
South Carolina Zogby Apr. 17 33% 26% 21% 19% 22% 10%
South Carolina ARG Feb. 27 36% 25% 20% 29% 35% 5%
 
Texas U. of Texas May 7 33% 21% 8% 23% 27% 6%
Texas ARG Mar. 19 34% 32% 11% 30% 20% 13%
 
Utah ARG Feb. 13 31% 18% 9% 13% 21% 40%
 
Vermont ARG Feb. 6 37% 19% 14% 29% 30% 7%
 
West Virginia ARG Apr. 2 37% 22% 19% 29% 33% 8%
 
Wisconsin St. Norbert Coll. Apr. 17 33% 30% 18% 26% 24% 9%

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

Preview of the 2008 races:           President       Senate       House      

This map shows the current governors. Put your mouse on a state for more information.




This map shows the current Senate. Put your mouse on a state for more information.




This map shows the current House. Put your mouse on a state for more information.



-- The Votemaster
Google
WWW www.electoral-vote.com

absentee ballot for overseas voter