Feb. 23 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Kerry 252   Bush 286  
Senate: Dem 51   GOP 49  
House: Dem 233   GOP 202  

Senate map with polls
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strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (37)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (37)
weak GOP Weak GOP (66)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
  Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  

News from the Votemaster

Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-CT) enjoys flirting with the idea of becoming a Republican, thinking it will put the fear of God in majority leader Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV). It won't and Lieberman knows it. If Lieberman flips, Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) will become majority leader with the help of Vice President Cheney's tie-breaking vote, but the Democrats who run the committees will continue to do so until the end of 2008. It says so in the organizing resolution passed in January 2007. In 2001, when the Senate was split 50-50, the situation was different: the organizing resolution contained a clause then that said if the majority changed, the organizing resolution would terminate and a new one would be needed. The one passed at the start of this Senate session contains no such provision. Read the full story at Political Insider.

Furthermore, Reid would then be bringing flowers and chocolate to Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) twice a day in an effort to get her to switch too, to nullify Joe's efforts. She is facing a tough reelection campaign in 2008 and is keenly aware of how fellow moderate Republican from New England, Lincoln Chafee (R-RI), went down to defeat in 2006. She is also aware of how much of a local hero former Sen. Jim Jeffords (R-VT, I-VT) became when he jumped ship. If she became an independent aligned with the Democrats (like Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)), she would win reelection easily instead of having a tough fight on her hands. Joe knows this very well and probably wouldn't want to tempt fate. Even a 50% chance that he would end up as a member of the minority and much hated by the majority, should give him pause.

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

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-- The Votemaster
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