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Projected New Senate:     49 Democrats     50 Republicans     1 tie

Polling data in Excel
Battleground states
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strong Dem Strong Dem (41)
weak Dem Weak Dem (6)
barely Dem Barely Dem (2)
tied Exactly tied (1)
barely GOP Barely GOP (0)
weak GOP Weak GOP (1)
strong GOP Strong GOP (49)
No Senate race No Senate race
  Map algorithm explained
Aug. 17 New polls: CT MI NE RSS
  Pickups: Missouri Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island

News from the Votemaster

Republicans love Democrats. At least in Nebraska and Connecticut. In Nebraska, which voted for Bush by a 34% margin, Ben Nelson (D-NE) holds a commanding 23% lead over his Republican challenger, Pete Ricketts, 55% to 32%.

In Connecticut, the Republican party has simply abandoned both their candidates, Alan Schlesinger and Alan Gold, who are at an incredible 4%. Sort-of-Democrat Joe Lieberman is at 53% while actual Democrat Ned Lamont is at 41%.

Finally, Michael Bouchard has closed the gap with incumbent Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) to 5%, trailing now by 49% to 44%, but this may simply reflect the usual post-primary bounce.

Note that the values given on the map and spreadsheet average all the state polls during the previous 7 days, so the above numbers are not shown on the map. Whenever you see a "+" in the poll source, that means multiple recent polls are being averaged.

This site has far more about the election than just the map. See the Welcome page for more details. If you like the site, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com

absentee ballot for overseas voter