Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 241 Bush 273
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| Sept. 29 | New polls: AR CA FL MI MN MO NJ NY NC OH OK PA |
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Enhancements News from the Votemaster
New polls put Kerry ahead in Oregon by 6%, by 49% to 43%, and in Florida.html by 1%. The latter means nothing, of course. With all the hurricanes in Florida, the outcome is more in doubt than ever. Will it effect the election? Maybe turnout will be depressed. Maybe people will be angry at the government for not providing more aid. Who knows.
Tony Blair has admitted that Saddam did not have WMD. In a speech to his Labor party he said: "The evidence about Saddam having actual biological and chemical weapons as opposed to the capability to develop them has turned out to be wrong." I wonder if the moderator of tomorrow's debate will ask President Bush if he still maintains that Saddam had WMD. Could be interesting.
The New York Times has an article today about how many of the swing states have been late in mailing absentee ballots to overseas voters, a group many experts see as the key to this election. As a consequence, many ballots are expected to arrive late, which will probably result in legal wrangling about whether ballots arriving Nov. 3 should be counted. In the Florida 2000 election, some late ballots were counted and others were not, leading to suspicions that election officials were counting those ballots (e.g., military ones) that they thought would be in their favor and ignoring those (e.g., civilian ones) that they thought would go against them. If you are an overseas voter who hasn't registered yet, go to www.overseasvote2004.com and register right now, then follow the instructions on the Americans abroad page, but do it right now.
Family values, Part I: Former governor Tony Knowles (D) has increased his lead over Lisa Murkowski (R) in the race for the Alaska Senate seat. Knowles is now ahead by 6%. Ms. Murkowski, as you may recall, was appointed to the Senate by her dad, the governor.
Family values, Part II: Marylander Alan Keyes, who is running for senator of Illinois, has based his entire Senate campaign on the theme that homosexuals are sinful, selfish people. He even condemned Cheney's lesbian daughter, Mary. Guess what? Keyes own 19-year-old daughter, Maya, is also a lesbian and has been outed. The story is all over the blogosphere. One good place to look is www.politics1.com, one of my favorite political blogs. Another favorite of mine is www.politicalwire.com.
Projected Senate: 49 Democrats, 50 Republicans, 1 independent
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