Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 269   Bush 269


 
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dark blue Strong Kerry (157)
light blue Weak Kerry (68)
white and blue Barely Kerry (44)
white Exactly tied (0)
white and red Barely Bush (87)
light red Weak Bush (38)
dark red Strong Bush (144)
June 27 New polls: (none)


News from the Votemaster

No polls, but two important electoral news items today. First, the Green Party rejected Ralph Nader and nominated David Cobb as its presidential candidate. Cobb has stated that his first priority is defeating George Bush and his second priority is building the Green Party. He also said that he will only campaign in states where either Kerry or Bush is far ahead so a vote for him will not help George Bush. This action by the Green Party means that Nader will not get automatic ballot access in the states where the Greens have it. Nader has been endorsed by Ross Perot's Reform Party, but this gives him ballot access in only 7 or 8 states. For the time being, we will continue to use polls that include Nader where available, but as time goes on and it becomes clear how many states will actually have him on the ballot, we will revisit this decision.

The other major electoral news is that the Constitution Party has nominated a complete unknown, not Roy "The Ten Commandments Judge" Moore. Moore would undoubtedly drawn a few percent of Bush's voters. Karl Rove will sleep easier tonight.

Speaking of Moores, Michael Moore's movie "Farenheit 9/11" is poised to break all attendance records for a documentary, and it is still only in its opening weekend. Briefly summarized, if you hate George Bush, you will love the movie. Conversely, if you love George Bush, you will hate the movie. If you are on the fence, you might still enjoy it. The polemic aside, it is quite funny in places and shows the same style as Moore's earlier movies "Roger and Me" and "Bowling for Columbine."

Finally, there is a new cartoon of the week today


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