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Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 311   Bush 227

Final polls
Election:poll comparison
Polling data     Key
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electoral college strong kerry Strong Kerry (113)
electoral college weak kerry Weak Kerry (132)
electoral college barely kerry Barely Kerry (66)
electoral college tied Exactly tied (0)
electoral college barely bush Barely Bush (42)
electoral college weak bush Weak Bush (40)
electoral college strong bush Strong Bush (145)
Needed to win: 270
Nov. 17 Exit polls at 4 p.m. RSS

News from the Votemaster

Here are the 4 p.m. exit poll data. The 4 p.m. exit polls were slightly skewed towards women since women tend to vote earlier in the day than men. The 4 p.m. polls had 58% women and 42% men, whereas the actual vote consisted of 52% women and 48% men. Since women are slightly more Democratic than men (by 7%), the exit poll at 4 p.m. is biased by a small amount towards Kerry. If 6% of the sample is made 7% more Republican, Bush gains about 0.4%. The later exit polls are not as pure a sample because actual tallied results were blended in as they became available.

New Senate: 44 Democrats, 55 Republicans, 1 independent
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Statistics Collector (via University of Kentucky)