Averaged Nonpartisan Polls:   Kerry 245   Bush 278

 
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electoral college strong kerry Strong Kerry (146)
electoral college weak kerry Weak Kerry (56)
electoral college barely kerry Barely Kerry (43)
electoral college tied Exactly tied (15)
electoral college barely bush Barely Bush (73)
electoral college weak bush Weak Bush (48)
electoral college strong bush Strong Bush (157)
Needed to win: 270
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Notes

This map always uses the most recent poll for each state. In addition, if there are other polls from within a 3-day lookback window, they all these polls are averaged. However, a pollster is only used once.

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