Projected New Senate: 48 Democrats 52 Republicans
News from the Votemaster
If you are new to the site today, also take a look at Friday's posting as it contains some fascinating data (or click on the 'Previous report' link above to travel backward in time).
Only two polls today. A Marist College polls shows Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) maintaining her large lead in NY over John Spencer, the likely Republican nominee, 62% to 32%. Also, Sen. George Allen (R-VA) is still hurting from the "macaca" incident, with his previous double-digit lead over Democrat (and former Reagan Navy Secretary) Jim Webb reduced to 46% to 42% according to Mason-Dixon. Worse yet, Allen's favorable rating is only 41%, very dangerous for an incumbent--since in a race with an incumbent, the undecideds almost always end up breaking strongly for the challenger.
The NY Times has a nice article about Tuesday's Republican primary in Rhode Island. The Republican National Committee is pulling out all stops to help incumbent Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R-RI), even though he voted against the war in Iraq, the Bush tax cuts, and almost everything else the administration holds dear. Although he did vote for George Bush in 2004, it was a write-in for former president George H.W. Bush. But party officials know all too well that if Cranston mayor Stephen Laffey wins the primary on Tuesday, Laffey has no chance of winning the general election against Democratic challenger Sheldon Whitehouse in this very Democratic state and they can kiss the seat goodbye.
I just came across a fantasy Republican Website: www.race42008.com. It ranks the Republican candidates for 2008 based on current polls. Now I love polls, but anyone who puts any stock in polls taken more than two years before the election has been smoking something and inhaling it. Still it is interesting to take a peek into the Republican kitchen. Currently the top six are:
Although the site doesn't rate her, they are salivating at the prospect of a Condi candi, even though she has never held elective office and has repeatedly ruled out a run. She is clearly very intelligent and it would be nice to think that a never-married, pro-choice, black woman with a Ph.D. could win her native state of Alabama, but I am not holding my breath.
All this is (fun) nonsense, of course, but what I really like about the site is its attractive graphical layout, optimized for expensive, large, 1600x1200 monitors--the kind of kit Republicans favor.
So much for going after Republicans. Now it is time to go after Democrats. Check out today's new cartoon of the week on the political humor page.
Be sure to come back tomorrow. Lots of new data coming up.
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-- The Votemaster