absentee ballot for overseas voter

Projected New Senate:     49 Democrats     50 Republicans     1 tie

Polling data in Excel
Battleground states
Previous report
Next report

strong Dem Strong Dem (41)
weak Dem Weak Dem (5)
barely Dem Barely Dem (3)
tied Exactly tied (1)
barely GOP Barely GOP (2)
weak GOP Weak GOP (1)
strong GOP Strong GOP (47)
No Senate race No Senate race
  Map algorithm explained
Oct. 03 New polls: CA MD MO NJ PA RI TN VA WA RSS
  Pickups: Montana Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee

News from the Votemaster

Lots of new Senate polls in key states today. First let's look at Rasmussen. He has Rep. Harold Ford (D) leading former Chattanooga mayor Bob Corker (R) 48% to 43%, the largest lead Ford has ever had. Rasmussen also has a poll in Virginia showing that incumbent Sen. George Allen (R-VA) has recovered from the macaca incident and is now leading Jim Webb 49% to 43%.

Mason-Dixon has seven new polls today, so it is easier to present them in table form:

State Democrat Dem % Republican GOP %
California Dianne Feinstein* 53% Dick Mountjoy 23%
Maryland Ben Cardin 47% Michael Steele 41%
Missouri Claire McCaskill 43% Jim Talent* 43%
New Jersey Bob Menendez* 44% Tom Kean, Jr. 41%
Pennsylvania Bob Casey 49% Rick Santorum* 40%
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse 42% Lincoln Chafee* 41%
Washington Maria Cantwell* 50% Mike McGavick 40%

The interesting ones are Missouri, which is now a tie (Talent was ahead), New Jersey, where Menendez has now got a small lead, and Rhode Island, where Chafee is pulling even with Whitehouse and has a chance to hang onto his job. As usual, note that many of the values used for the map are averages of multiple polls taken within a week of the most recent one.

The Foley case continues to draw attention far beyond FL-16. The FBI is now investigating the case. The Florida Republican party has named state representative Joe Negron, a 45-year-old lawyer as their candidate in FL-16. Although this district is heavily Republican, Florida law makes it impossible to replace Foley's name on the ballot so close to the election, so Negron will have to tell the voters to vote for Foley. While a vote for Foley is actually a vote for Negron, many voters may not realize this and not vote for Foley out of disgust with his behavior.

Projected New House*:     216 Democrats     218 Republicans     1 Tie
* Where no independent polls exist, the 2004 election results have been used. See complete House polls.
Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 See the details of the Senate and House races with photos, maps, links, polls, etc.
If you like this site, please announce it to news groups and blogs and tell your friends about it. If you have your own blog, please click on "For bloggers" above.

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com

absentee ballot for overseas voter
    Directory of Politics Blogs