This page contains the current averages for each state for all the Senate races calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Everett Wess | 32% | Barry Moore | 47% | Barry Moore +15 | Jul 11 |
| Alaska | Mary Peltola | 48% | Dan Sullivan* | 47% | Mary Peltola +1 | Oct 15 |
| Arkansas | Hallie Shoffner | 41% | Tom Cotton* | 50% | Tom Cotton* +9 | Oct 15 |
| Colorado | John Hickenlooper* | 53% | Mark Baiseley | 44% | John Hickenlooper* +9 | 2020 Election |
| Delaware | Chris Coons* | 60% | Michael Katz | 38% | Chris Coons* +22 | 2020 Election |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 44% | Ashley Moody* | 51% | Ashley Moody* +7 | Oct 15 |
| Georgia | Jon Ossoff* | 54% | Mike Collins | 46% | Jon Ossoff* +8 | Oct 20 |
| Idaho | No Candidate | 33% | Jim Risch* | 62% | Jim Risch* +29 | 2020 Election |
| Illinois | Juliana Stratton | 49% | Don Tracy | 36% | Juliana Stratton +13 | Oct 01 |
| Iowa | Josh Turek | 46% | Ashley Hinson | 46% | Tied | Oct 12 |
| Kansas | Adam Hamilton | 48% | Roger Marshall | 47% | Adam Hamilton +1 | Oct 04 |
| Kentucky | Charles Booker | 38% | Andy Barr | 58% | Andy Barr +20 | 2020 Election |
| Louisiana | Jamie Davis | 37% | Julia Letlow | 41% | Julia Letlow +4 | Jul 22 |
| Maine | Troy Jackson | 49% | Susan Collins* | 47% | Troy Jackson +2 | Oct 11 |
| Massachusetts | Ed Markey* | 58% | John Deaton | 31% | Ed Markey* +27 | Oct 18 |
| Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed | 53% | Mike Rogers | 47% | Abdul El-Sayed +6 | Oct 09 |
| Minnesota | Peggy Flanagan | 46% | Michele Tafoya | 42% | Peggy Flanagan +4 | Oct 12 |
| Mississippi | Scott Colom | 48% | Cindy Hyde-Smith* | 52% | Cindy Hyde-Smith* +4 | Oct 14 |
| Montana | Alani Bankhead | 13% | Kurt Alme | 35% | Independent +2 | Oct 08 |
| Nebraska | No Democrat | 0% | Pete Ricketts* | 47% | Pete Ricketts* +47 | Oct 05 |
| New Hampshire | Chris Pappas | 50% | John Sununu | 43% | Chris Pappas +7 | Oct 12 |
| New Jersey | Cory Booker* | 61% | Justin Murphy | 38% | Cory Booker* +23 | 2020 Election |
| New Mexico | Ben Ray Lujan* | 54% | Larry Marker | 36% | Ben Ray Lujan* +18 | Sep 30 |
| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | 57% | Michael Whatley | 43% | Roy Cooper +14 | Oct 20 |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown | 48% | Jon Husted* | 43% | Sherrod Brown +5 | Oct 17 |
| Oklahoma | Jasmine Thomas | 33% | Kevin Hern | 63% | Kevin Hern +30 | 2020 Election |
| Oregon | Jeff Merkley* | 58% | David Smith | 39% | Jeff Merkley* +19 | 2020 Election |
| Rhode Island | Jack Reed* | 57% | Raymond McKay | 29% | Jack Reed* +28 | Oct 11 |
| South Carolina | Annie Andrews | 38% | Darline Graham | 51% | Darline Graham +13 | Aug 28 |
| South Dakota | No Democrat | 18% | Mike Rounds* | 43% | Mike Rounds* +25 | May 30 |
| Tennessee | Marquita Bradshaw | 35% | Bill Hagerty | 62% | Bill Hagerty +27 | 2020 Election |
| Texas | James Talarico | 50% | Ken Paxton | 47% | James Talarico +3 | Oct 18 |
| Virginia | Mark Warner* | 55% | Bert Mizusawa | 29% | Mark Warner* +26 | May 05 |
| West Virginia | Rachel Anderson | 33% | Shelley Moore Capito* | 65% | Shelley Moore Capito* +32 | 2020 Election |
| Wyoming | James Byrd | 27% | Harriet Hageman | 73% | Harriet Hageman +46 | 2020 Election |