This page contains the current averages for each state for all the Senate races calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Candidate unknown | 39% | Candidate unknown | 61% | Candidate unknown +22 | Nov 03 |
| Alaska | Mary Peltola | 34% | Dan Sullivan* | 62% | Dan Sullivan* +28 | Nov 03 |
| Arkansas | Candidate unknown | 33% | Tom Cotton* | 67% | Tom Cotton* +34 | Nov 03 |
| Colorado | John Hickenlooper* | 53% | Mark Baiseley | 44% | John Hickenlooper* +9 | Nov 03 |
| Delaware | Chris Coons* | 60% | Candidate unknown | 38% | Chris Coons* +22 | Nov 03 |
| Florida | Candidate unknown | 41% | Ashley Moody | 58% | Ashley Moody +17 | Nov 08 |
| Georgia | Jon Ossoff* | 51% | Mike Collins | 49% | Jon Ossoff* +2 | Nov 08 |
| Idaho | David Roth | 33% | Jim Risch* | 62% | Jim Risch* +29 | Nov 03 |
| Illinois | Juliana Stratton | 54% | Don Tracy | 40% | Juliana Stratton +14 | Nov 03 |
| Iowa | Josh Turek | 45% | Ashley Hinson | 52% | Ashley Hinson +7 | Nov 03 |
| Kansas | Candidate unknown | 42% | Roger Marshall | 53% | Roger Marshall +11 | Nov 03 |
| Kentucky | Charles Booker | 38% | Andy Barr | 58% | Andy Barr +20 | Nov 03 |
| Louisiana | Candidate unknown | 21% | Julia Letlow | 59% | Julia Letlow +38 | Nov 03 |
| Maine | Graham Platner | 43% | Susan Collins* | 51% | Susan Collins* +8 | Nov 03 |
| Massachusetts | Ed Markey* | 67% | Candidate unknown | 32% | Ed Markey* +35 | Nov 03 |
| Michigan | Candidate unknown | 50% | Mike Rogers | 48% | Candidate unknown +2 | Nov 03 |
| Minnesota | Candidate unknown | 49% | Candidate unknown | 44% | Candidate unknown +5 | Nov 03 |
| Mississippi | Scott Colom | 40% | Cindy Hyde-Smith* | 58% | Cindy Hyde-Smith* +18 | Nov 03 |
| Montana | Alani Bankhead | 45% | Kurt Alme | 55% | Kurt Alme +10 | Nov 03 |
| Nebraska | No candidate | 26% | Pete Ricketts* | 67% | Pete Ricketts* +41 | Nov 03 |
| New Hampshire | Candidate unknown | 57% | Candidate unknown | 41% | Candidate unknown +16 | Nov 03 |
| New Jersey | Cory Booker* | 61% | Candidate unknown | 38% | Cory Booker* +23 | Nov 03 |
| New Mexico | Ben Ray Lujan* | 51% | Candidate unknown | 46% | Ben Ray Lujan* +5 | Nov 03 |
| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | 47% | Michael Whatley | 49% | Michael Whatley +2 | Nov 03 |
| Ohio | Candidate unknown | 47% | Jon Husted | 53% | Jon Husted +6 | Nov 08 |
| Oklahoma | Candidate unknown | 33% | Kevin Hern | 63% | Kevin Hern +30 | Nov 03 |
| Oregon | Jeff Merkley* | 58% | Candidate unknown | 39% | Jeff Merkley* +19 | Nov 03 |
| Rhode Island | Jack Reed* | 66% | Candidate unknown | 34% | Jack Reed* +32 | Nov 03 |
| South Carolina | Annie Andrews | 42% | Lindsey Graham* | 56% | Lindsey Graham* +14 | Nov 03 |
| South Dakota | Candidate unknown | 32% | Mike Rounds* | 68% | Mike Rounds* +36 | Nov 03 |
| Tennessee | Candidate unknown | 35% | Bill Hagerty | 62% | Bill Hagerty +27 | Nov 03 |
| Texas | James Talarico | 44% | Ken Paxton | 54% | Ken Paxton +10 | Nov 03 |
| Virginia | Mark Warner* | 56% | Candidate unknown | 44% | Mark Warner* +12 | Nov 03 |
| West Virginia | Rachel Anderson | 33% | Shelley Moore Capito* | 65% | Shelley Moore Capito* +32 | Nov 03 |
| Wyoming | Candidate unknown | 27% | Cynthia Lummis | 73% | Cynthia Lummis +46 | Nov 03 |