This page contains the current averages for each state for all the Senate races calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 50% | Kari Lake | 48% | Ruben Gallego +2 | Nov 15 |
| California | Adam Schiff | 59% | Steve Garvey | 41% | Adam Schiff +18 | Nov 15 |
| Connecticut | Chris Murphy* | 59% | Matt Corey | 40% | Chris Murphy* +19 | Nov 15 |
| Delaware | Lisa Rochester | 56% | Eric Hansen | 40% | Lisa Rochester +16 | Nov 15 |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 43% | Rick Scott* | 56% | Rick Scott* +13 | Nov 15 |
| Hawaii | Mazie Hirono* | 65% | Bob McDermott | 32% | Mazie Hirono* +33 | Nov 15 |
| Indiana | Valerie McCray | 39% | Jim Banks | 59% | Jim Banks +20 | Nov 15 |
| Maine | Angus King* | 52% | Demi Kouzounas | 34% | Angus King* +18 | Nov 15 |
| Maryland | Angela Alsobrooks | 54% | Larry Hogan | 44% | Angela Alsobrooks +10 | Nov 15 |
| Massachusetts | Elizabeth Warren* | 60% | John Deaton | 40% | Elizabeth Warren* +20 | Nov 15 |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 49% | Mike Rogers | 48% | Elissa Slotkin +1 | Nov 15 |
| Minnesota | Amy Klobuchar* | 56% | Royce White | 41% | Amy Klobuchar* +15 | Nov 15 |
| Mississippi | Ty Pinkins | 37% | Roger Wicker* | 63% | Roger Wicker* +26 | Nov 15 |
| Missouri | Lucas Kunce | 42% | Josh Hawley* | 56% | Josh Hawley* +14 | Nov 15 |
| Montana | Jon Tester* | 46% | Tim Sheehy | 53% | Tim Sheehy +7 | Nov 15 |
| Nebraska | Dan Osborn (I) | 46% | Deb Fischer* | 54% | Deb Fischer* +8 | Nov 15 |
| Nebraska-special | Preston Love | 37% | Pete Ricketts* | 63% | Pete Ricketts* +26 | Nov 15 |
| Nevada | Jacky Rosen* | 48% | Sam Brown | 46% | Jacky Rosen* +2 | Nov 15 |
| New Jersey | Andy Kim | 53% | Curtis Bashaw | 45% | Andy Kim +8 | Nov 15 |
| New Mexico | Martin Heinrich* | 55% | Nella Domenici | 45% | Martin Heinrich* +10 | Nov 15 |
| New York | Kirsten Gillibrand* | 58% | Mike Sapraicone | 41% | Kirsten Gillibrand* +17 | Nov 15 |
| North Dakota | Katrina Christiansen | 34% | Kevin Cramer* | 66% | Kevin Cramer* +32 | Nov 15 |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown* | 46% | Bernie Moreno | 50% | Bernie Moreno +4 | Nov 15 |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 49% | David McCormick | 50% | David McCormick +1 | Nov 15 |
| Rhode Island | Sheldon Whitehouse* | 60% | Patricia Morgan | 40% | Sheldon Whitehouse* +20 | Nov 15 |
| Tennessee | Gloria Johnson | 34% | Marsha Blackburn* | 64% | Marsha Blackburn* +30 | Nov 15 |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 45% | Ted Cruz* | 53% | Ted Cruz* +8 | Nov 15 |
| Utah | Carolyn Gleich | 32% | John Curtis | 63% | John Curtis +31 | Nov 15 |
| Vermont | Bernie Sanders* | 63% | Gerald Malloy | 32% | Bernie Sanders* +31 | Nov 15 |
| Virginia | Tim Kaine* | 54% | Hung Cao | 46% | Tim Kaine* +8 | Nov 15 |
| Washington | Maria Cantwell* | 59% | Raul Garcia | 41% | Maria Cantwell* +18 | Nov 15 |
| West Virginia | Glenn Elliott | 28% | Jim Justice | 69% | Jim Justice +41 | Nov 15 |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 49% | Eric Hovde | 48% | Tammy Baldwin* +1 | Nov 15 |
| Wyoming | Scott Morrow | 24% | John Barrasso* | 75% | John Barrasso* +51 | Nov 15 |