This page contains the current averages for each state for both the presidential race and senatorial race (if there is one), calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
President
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Biden | 37% | Trump | 62% | +25% | Nov 03 |
| Alaska | Biden | 43% | Trump | 54% | +11% | Nov 03 |
| Arizona | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Arkansas | Biden | 35% | Trump | 63% | +28% | Nov 03 |
| California | Biden | 64% | Trump | 34% | +30% | Nov 03 |
| Colorado | Biden | 52% | Trump | 40% | +12% | Nov 03 |
| Connecticut | Biden | 59% | Trump | 39% | +20% | Nov 03 |
| D.C. | Biden | 92% | Trump | 5% | +87% | Nov 03 |
| Delaware | Biden | 59% | Trump | 40% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| Florida | Biden | 48% | Trump | 51% | +3% | Nov 03 |
| Georgia | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Hawaii | Biden | 65% | Trump | 34% | +31% | Nov 03 |
| Idaho | Biden | 33% | Trump | 64% | +31% | Nov 03 |
| Illinois | Biden | 57% | Trump | 41% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Indiana | Biden | 41% | Trump | 57% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Iowa | Biden | 45% | Trump | 53% | +8% | Nov 03 |
| Kansas | Biden | 41% | Trump | 57% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Kentucky | Biden | 36% | Trump | 62% | +26% | Nov 03 |
| Louisiana | Biden | 40% | Trump | 59% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| Maine | Biden | 53% | Trump | 44% | +9% | Nov 03 |
| Maryland | Biden | 65% | Trump | 33% | +32% | Nov 03 |
| Massachusetts | Biden | 65% | Trump | 33% | +32% | Nov 03 |
| Michigan | Biden | 51% | Trump | 48% | +3% | Nov 03 |
| Minnesota | Biden | 53% | Trump | 45% | +8% | Nov 03 |
| Mississippi | Biden | 40% | Trump | 59% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| Missouri | Biden | 41% | Trump | 57% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Montana | Biden | 40% | Trump | 57% | +17% | Nov 03 |
| Nebraska | Biden | 39% | Trump | 59% | +20% | Nov 03 |
| Nevada | Biden | 50% | Trump | 48% | +2% | Nov 03 |
| New Hampshire | Biden | 53% | Trump | 46% | +7% | Nov 03 |
| New Jersey | Biden | 57% | Trump | 41% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| New Mexico | Biden | 54% | Trump | 44% | +10% | Nov 03 |
| New York | Biden | 61% | Trump | 38% | +23% | Nov 03 |
| North Carolina | Biden | 49% | Trump | 50% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| North Dakota | Biden | 32% | Trump | 65% | +33% | Nov 03 |
| Ohio | Biden | 45% | Trump | 53% | +8% | Nov 03 |
| Oklahoma | Biden | 32% | Trump | 65% | +33% | Nov 03 |
| Oregon | Biden | 57% | Trump | 40% | +17% | Nov 03 |
| Pennsylvania | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Rhode Island | Biden | 60% | Trump | 39% | +21% | Nov 03 |
| South Carolina | Biden | 43% | Trump | 55% | +12% | Nov 03 |
| South Dakota | Biden | 36% | Trump | 62% | +26% | Nov 03 |
| Tennessee | Biden | 37% | Trump | 61% | +24% | Nov 03 |
| Texas | Biden | 46% | Trump | 52% | +6% | Nov 03 |
| Utah | Biden | 38% | Trump | 58% | +20% | Nov 03 |
| Vermont | Biden | 66% | Trump | 31% | +35% | Nov 03 |
| Virginia | Biden | 54% | Trump | 44% | +10% | Nov 03 |
| Washington | Biden | 58% | Trump | 39% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| West Virginia | Biden | 30% | Trump | 69% | +39% | Nov 03 |
| Wisconsin | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Wyoming | Biden | 27% | Trump | 70% | +43% | Nov 03 |
Senate
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Candidate unknown | 36% | Candidate unknown | 64% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Alaska | Candidate unknown | 11% | Lisa Murkowski* | 44% | +33% | Nov 08 |
| Arizona | Mark Kelly* | 51% | Candidate unknown | 49% | +2% | Nov 03 |
| Arkansas | Candidate unknown | 36% | John Boozman* | 60% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| California | Alex Padilla* | 63% | Candidate unknown | 37% | +26% | Nov 08 |
| Colorado | Michael Bennet* | 49% | Candidate unknown | 45% | +4% | Nov 08 |
| Connecticut | Richard Blumenthal* | 63% | Candidate unknown | 35% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Florida | Candidate unknown | 44% | Marco Rubio* | 50% | +6% | Nov 08 |
| Georgia | Raphael Warnock* | 51% | Candidate unknown | 49% | +2% | Jan 05 |
| Hawaii | Brian Schatz* | 74% | Candidate unknown | 22% | +52% | Nov 08 |
| Idaho | Candidate unknown | 28% | Mike Crapo* | 66% | +38% | Nov 08 |
| Illinois | Tammy Duckworth* | 54% | Candidate unknown | 40% | +14% | Nov 08 |
| Indiana | Candidate unknown | 42% | Todd Young* | 52% | +10% | Nov 08 |
| Iowa | Candidate unknown | 36% | Chuck Grassley* | 60% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| Kansas | Candidate unknown | 32% | Jerry Moran* | 62% | +30% | Nov 08 |
| Kentucky | Candidate unknown | 43% | Rand Paul* | 57% | +14% | Nov 08 |
| Louisiana | Candidate unknown | 18% | John Kennedy* | 25% | +7% | Nov 08 |
| Maryland | Chris Van_Hollen* | 60% | Candidate unknown | 36% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| Missouri | Candidate unknown | 46% | Candidate unknown | 49% | +3% | Nov 08 |
| Nevada | Catherine Cortez_Masto* | 47% | Adam Laxalt | 44% | +3% | Nov 08 |
| New Hampshire | Maggie Hassan* | 48% | Candidate unknown | 47% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| New York | Chuck Schumer* | 70% | Candidate unknown | 27% | +43% | Nov 08 |
| North Carolina | Candidate unknown | 45% | Candidate unknown | 51% | +6% | Nov 08 |
| North Dakota | Candidate unknown | 17% | John Hoeven* | 79% | +62% | Nov 08 |
| Ohio | Candidate unknown | 40% | Candidate unknown | 58% | +18% | Nov 08 |
| Oklahoma | Candidate unknown | 25% | James Lankford* | 67% | +42% | Nov 08 |
| Oregon | Ron Wyden* | 57% | Candidate unknown | 34% | +23% | Nov 08 |
| Pennsylvania | Candidate unknown | 47% | Candidate unknown | 49% | +2% | Nov 08 |
| South Carolina | Candidate unknown | 37% | Tim Scott* | 61% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| South Dakota | Candidate unknown | 28% | John Thune* | 72% | +44% | Nov 08 |
| Utah | Candidate unknown | 27% | Mike Lee* | 68% | +41% | Nov 08 |
| Vermont | Candidate unknown | 61% | Candidate unknown | 33% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Washington | Patty Murray* | 60% | Candidate unknown | 40% | +20% | Nov 08 |
| Wisconsin | Candidate unknown | 47% | Ron Johnson* | 50% | +3% | Nov 08 |