This page contains the current averages for each state for both the presidential race and senatorial race (if there is one), calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
President
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Biden | 37% | Trump | 62% | +25% | Nov 03 |
| Alaska | Biden | 43% | Trump | 54% | +11% | Nov 03 |
| Arizona | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Arkansas | Biden | 35% | Trump | 63% | +28% | Nov 03 |
| California | Biden | 64% | Trump | 34% | +30% | Nov 03 |
| Colorado | Biden | 52% | Trump | 40% | +12% | Nov 03 |
| Connecticut | Biden | 59% | Trump | 39% | +20% | Nov 03 |
| D.C. | Biden | 92% | Trump | 5% | +87% | Nov 03 |
| Delaware | Biden | 59% | Trump | 40% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| Florida | Biden | 48% | Trump | 51% | +3% | Nov 03 |
| Georgia | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Hawaii | Biden | 65% | Trump | 34% | +31% | Nov 03 |
| Idaho | Biden | 33% | Trump | 64% | +31% | Nov 03 |
| Illinois | Biden | 57% | Trump | 41% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Indiana | Biden | 41% | Trump | 57% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Iowa | Biden | 45% | Trump | 53% | +8% | Nov 03 |
| Kansas | Biden | 41% | Trump | 57% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Kentucky | Biden | 36% | Trump | 62% | +26% | Nov 03 |
| Louisiana | Biden | 40% | Trump | 59% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| Maine | Biden | 53% | Trump | 44% | +9% | Nov 03 |
| Maryland | Biden | 65% | Trump | 33% | +32% | Nov 03 |
| Massachusetts | Biden | 65% | Trump | 33% | +32% | Nov 03 |
| Michigan | Biden | 51% | Trump | 48% | +3% | Nov 03 |
| Minnesota | Biden | 53% | Trump | 45% | +8% | Nov 03 |
| Mississippi | Biden | 40% | Trump | 59% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| Missouri | Biden | 41% | Trump | 57% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| Montana | Biden | 40% | Trump | 57% | +17% | Nov 03 |
| Nebraska | Biden | 39% | Trump | 59% | +20% | Nov 03 |
| Nevada | Biden | 50% | Trump | 48% | +2% | Nov 03 |
| New Hampshire | Biden | 53% | Trump | 46% | +7% | Nov 03 |
| New Jersey | Biden | 57% | Trump | 41% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| New Mexico | Biden | 54% | Trump | 44% | +10% | Nov 03 |
| New York | Biden | 56% | Trump | 43% | +13% | Nov 03 |
| North Carolina | Biden | 49% | Trump | 50% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| North Dakota | Biden | 32% | Trump | 65% | +33% | Nov 03 |
| Ohio | Biden | 45% | Trump | 53% | +8% | Nov 03 |
| Oklahoma | Biden | 32% | Trump | 65% | +33% | Nov 03 |
| Oregon | Biden | 57% | Trump | 40% | +17% | Nov 03 |
| Pennsylvania | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Rhode Island | Biden | 60% | Trump | 39% | +21% | Nov 03 |
| South Carolina | Biden | 43% | Trump | 55% | +12% | Nov 03 |
| South Dakota | Biden | 36% | Trump | 62% | +26% | Nov 03 |
| Tennessee | Biden | 37% | Trump | 61% | +24% | Nov 03 |
| Texas | Biden | 46% | Trump | 52% | +6% | Nov 03 |
| Utah | Biden | 38% | Trump | 58% | +20% | Nov 03 |
| Vermont | Biden | 66% | Trump | 31% | +35% | Nov 03 |
| Virginia | Biden | 54% | Trump | 44% | +10% | Nov 03 |
| Washington | Biden | 58% | Trump | 39% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| West Virginia | Biden | 30% | Trump | 69% | +39% | Nov 03 |
| Wisconsin | Biden | 50% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 03 |
| Wyoming | Biden | 27% | Trump | 70% | +43% | Nov 03 |
Senate
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Doug Jones* | 39% | Tommy Tuberville | 61% | +22% | Nov 03 |
| Alaska | Al Gross | 34% | Dan Sullivan* | 62% | +28% | Nov 03 |
| Arizona | Mark Kelly | 51% | Martha McSally* | 49% | +2% | Nov 03 |
| Arkansas | No Democrat filed | 33% | Tom Cotton* | 67% | +34% | Nov 03 |
| Colorado | John Hickenlooper | 53% | Cory Gardner* | 44% | +9% | Nov 03 |
| Delaware | Chris Coons* | 60% | Lauren Witzke | 38% | +22% | Nov 03 |
| Georgia | Jon Ossoff | 46% | David Perdue* | 50% | +4% | Dec 27 |
| Georgia-special | _Georgia-special!D | 46% | _Georgia-special!R | 50% | +4% | Dec 27 |
| Idaho | Paulette Jordan | 33% | Jim Risch* | 62% | +29% | Nov 03 |
| Illinois | Dick Durbin* | 54% | Mark Curran | 40% | +14% | Nov 03 |
| Iowa | Theresa Greenfield | 45% | Joni Ernst* | 52% | +7% | Nov 03 |
| Kansas | Barbara Bollier | 42% | Roger Marshall | 53% | +11% | Nov 03 |
| Kentucky | Amy McGrath | 38% | Mitch McConnell* | 58% | +20% | Nov 03 |
| Louisiana | Candidate unknown | 21% | Bill Cassidy* | 59% | +38% | Nov 03 |
| Maine | Sara Gideon | 43% | Susan Collins* | 51% | +8% | Nov 03 |
| Massachusetts | Ed Markey* | 67% | Kevin O`Connor | 32% | +35% | Nov 03 |
| Michigan | Gary Peters* | 50% | John James | 48% | +2% | Nov 03 |
| Minnesota | Tina Smith* | 49% | Jason Lewis | 44% | +5% | Nov 03 |
| Mississippi | Mike Espy | 40% | Cindy Hyde-Smith* | 58% | +18% | Nov 03 |
| Montana | Steve Bullock | 45% | Steve Daines* | 55% | +10% | Nov 03 |
| Nebraska | Chris Janicek | 26% | Ben Sasse* | 67% | +41% | Nov 03 |
| New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen* | 57% | Corky Messner | 41% | +16% | Nov 03 |
| New Jersey | Cory Booker* | 61% | Rik Mehta | 38% | +23% | Nov 03 |
| New Mexico | Ben Ray Lujan | 51% | Mark Ronchetti | 46% | +5% | Nov 03 |
| North Carolina | Cal Cunningham | 47% | Thom Tillis* | 49% | +2% | Nov 03 |
| Oklahoma | Abby Broyles | 33% | Jim Inhofe* | 63% | +30% | Nov 03 |
| Oregon | Jeff Merkley* | 58% | Jo Rae Perkins | 39% | +19% | Nov 03 |
| Rhode Island | Jack Reed* | 66% | Allen Waters | 34% | +32% | Nov 03 |
| South Carolina | Jaime Harrison | 42% | Lindsey Graham* | 56% | +14% | Nov 03 |
| South Dakota | Daniel Ahlers | 32% | Mike Rounds* | 68% | +36% | Nov 03 |
| Tennessee | Marquita Bradshaw | 35% | Bill Hagerty | 62% | +27% | Nov 03 |
| Texas | Mary Hegar | 44% | John Cornyn* | 54% | +10% | Nov 03 |
| Virginia | Mark Warner* | 56% | Daniel Gade | 44% | +12% | Nov 03 |
| West Virginia | Paula Swearengin | 33% | Shelley Moore Capito* | 65% | +32% | Nov 03 |
| Wyoming | Merav Ben-David | 27% | Cynthia Lummis | 73% | +46% | Nov 03 |