This page contains the current averages for each state for both the presidential race and senatorial race (if there is one), calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
President
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 44 Bernie Sanders: 9 |
| Alaska | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Sat. April 4 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 3 Bernie Sanders: 13 |
| Arizona | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 17 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 42 Bernie Sanders: 33 |
| Arkansas | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 22 Bernie Sanders: 10 |
| California | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 269 Bernie Sanders: 206 |
| Colorado | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 25 Bernie Sanders: 41 |
| Connecticut | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Tue. April 28 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 28 Bernie Sanders: 27 |
| D.C. | Clinton | 39% | Trump | 49% | +10% | Primary Tue. June 16 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 12 Bernie Sanders: 9 |
| Delaware | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Tue. April 28 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 16 Bernie Sanders: 4 |
| Florida | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 17 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 141 Bernie Sanders: 73 |
| Georgia | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 24 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 73 Bernie Sanders: 29 |
| Hawaii | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Sat. April 4 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 8 Bernie Sanders: 17 |
| Idaho | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 10 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 5 Bernie Sanders: 18 |
| Illinois | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 17 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 79 Bernie Sanders: 77 |
| Indiana | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 46% | +6% | Primary Tue. May 5 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 39 Bernie Sanders: 44 |
| Iowa | Clinton | 50% | Trump | 0% | +50% | Caucus Mon. February 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 23 Bernie Sanders: 21 |
| Kansas | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 46% | +6% | Primary Sat. May 2 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 10 Bernie Sanders: 23 |
| Kentucky | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 46% | +6% | Primary Tue. May 19 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 28 Bernie Sanders: 27 |
| Louisiana | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Sat. April 4 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 37 Bernie Sanders: 14 |
| Maine | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 8 Bernie Sanders: 17 |
| Maryland | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Tue. April 28 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 60 Bernie Sanders: 35 |
| Massachusetts | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 46 Bernie Sanders: 45 |
| Michigan | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 10 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 63 Bernie Sanders: 67 |
| Minnesota | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 31 Bernie Sanders: 46 |
| Mississippi | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 10 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 31 Bernie Sanders: 5 |
| Missouri | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 10 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 36 Bernie Sanders: 35 |
| Montana | Clinton | 39% | Trump | 49% | +10% | Primary Tue. June 2 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 10 Bernie Sanders: 11 |
| Nebraska | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 46% | +6% | Primary Tue. May 12 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 10 Bernie Sanders: 15 |
| Nevada | Clinton | 50% | Trump | 0% | +50% | Caucus Sat. February 22 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 20 Bernie Sanders: 15 |
| New Hampshire | Clinton | 50% | Trump | 0% | +50% | Primary Tue February 11 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 9 Bernie Sanders: 15 |
| New Jersey | Clinton | 39% | Trump | 49% | +10% | Primary Tue June 2 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 79 Bernie Sanders: 47 |
| New Mexico | Clinton | 39% | Trump | 49% | +10% | Primary Tue June 2 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 18 Bernie Sanders: 16 |
| New York | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Tue April 28 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 139 Bernie Sanders: 108 |
| North Carolina | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 60 Bernie Sanders: 47 |
| North Dakota | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Caucus Tue. March 10 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 5 Bernie Sanders: 13 |
| Ohio | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 17 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 81 Bernie Sanders: 62 |
| Oklahoma | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 17 Bernie Sanders: 21 |
| Oregon | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 46% | +6% | Primary Tue. May 19 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 25 Bernie Sanders: 36 |
| Pennsylvania | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Tue. April 28 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 106 Bernie Sanders: 83 |
| Rhode Island | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Tue. April 28 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 11 Bernie Sanders: 13 |
| South Carolina | Clinton | 50% | Trump | 0% | +50% | Primary Sat. February 29 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 39 Bernie Sanders: 14 |
| South Dakota | Clinton | 39% | Trump | 49% | +10% | Primary Tue. June 2 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 10 Bernie Sanders: 10 |
| Tennessee | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 44 Bernie Sanders: 23 |
| Texas | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 147 Bernie Sanders: 75 |
| Utah | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 6 Bernie Sanders: 27 |
| Vermont | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 0 Bernie Sanders: 16 |
| Virginia | Clinton | 41% | Trump | 34% | +7% | Primary Tue. March 3 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 62 Bernie Sanders: 33 |
| Washington | Clinton | 30% | Trump | 32% | +2% | Primary Tue. March 10 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 27 Bernie Sanders: 74 |
| West Virginia | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 46% | +6% | Primary Tue. May 12 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 11 Bernie Sanders: 18 |
| Wisconsin | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Primary Tue. April 7 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 38 Bernie Sanders: 48 |
| Wyoming | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 25% | +2% | Caucus Sat. April 4 2016 Delegates: Hillary Clinton: 7 Bernie Sanders: 7 |
Senate
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Doug Jones | 50% | Candidate unknown | 48% | +2% | Nov 04 |
| Alaska | Candidate unknown | 45% | Dan Sullivan | 49% | +4% | Nov 04 |
| Arizona | Mark Kelly | 41% | Martha McSally | 53% | +12% | Nov 04 |
| Arkansas | Candidate unknown | 40% | Tom Cotton | 57% | +17% | Nov 04 |
| Colorado | John Hickenlooper | 45% | Cory Gardner | 50% | +5% | Nov 04 |
| Delaware | Chris Coons | 56% | Candidate unknown | 42% | +14% | Nov 04 |
| Georgia | Candidate unknown | 45% | David Perdue | 53% | +8% | Nov 04 |
| Georgia-special | _Georgia-special!D | 41% | _Georgia-special!R | 54% | +13% | Nov 04 |
| Idaho | Candidate unknown | 34% | Jim Risch | 66% | +32% | Nov 04 |
| Illinois | Dick Durbin | 53% | Candidate unknown | 43% | +10% | Nov 04 |
| Iowa | Candidate unknown | 44% | Joni Ernst | 52% | +8% | Nov 04 |
| Kansas | Candidate unknown | 43% | Candidate unknown | 52% | +9% | Nov 04 |
| Kentucky | Candidate unknown | 41% | Mitch McConnell | 56% | +15% | Nov 04 |
| Louisiana | Candidate unknown | 43% | Bill Cassidy | 57% | +14% | Nov 04 |
| Maine | Candidate unknown | 32% | Susan Collins | 68% | +36% | Nov 04 |
| Massachusetts | Ed Markey | 62% | Candidate unknown | 38% | +24% | Nov 04 |
| Michigan | Gary Peters | 55% | John James | 41% | +14% | Nov 04 |
| Minnesota | Tina Smith | 53% | Candidate unknown | 43% | +10% | Nov 04 |
| Mississippi | Candidate unknown | 39% | Cindy Hyde-Smith | 59% | +20% | Nov 04 |
| Montana | Candidate unknown | 40% | Steve Daines | 58% | +18% | Nov 04 |
| Nebraska | Candidate unknown | 31% | Ben Sasse | 65% | +34% | Nov 04 |
| New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen | 52% | Candidate unknown | 48% | +4% | Nov 04 |
| New Jersey | Cory Booker | 56% | Candidate unknown | 42% | +14% | Nov 04 |
| New Mexico | Candidate unknown | 55% | Candidate unknown | 45% | +10% | Nov 04 |
| North Carolina | Candidate unknown | 47% | Thom Tillis | 49% | +2% | Nov 04 |
| Oklahoma | Candidate unknown | 29% | Jim Inhofe | 68% | +39% | Nov 04 |
| Oregon | Jeff Merkley | 55% | Candidate unknown | 38% | +17% | Nov 04 |
| Rhode Island | Jack Reed | 71% | Candidate unknown | 29% | +42% | Nov 04 |
| South Carolina | Candidate unknown | 39% | Lindsey Graham | 55% | +16% | Nov 04 |
| South Dakota | Candidate unknown | 29% | Mike Rounds | 51% | +22% | Nov 04 |
| Tennessee | Candidate unknown | 32% | Candidate unknown | 62% | +30% | Nov 04 |
| Texas | Candidate unknown | 34% | John Cornyn | 62% | +28% | Nov 04 |
| Virginia | Mark Warner | 49% | Candidate unknown | 48% | +1% | Nov 04 |
| West Virginia | Candidate unknown | 35% | Shelley Moore Capito | 62% | +27% | Nov 04 |
| Wyoming | Candidate unknown | 18% | Candidate unknown | 72% | +54% | Nov 04 |