This page contains the current averages for each state for both the presidential race and senatorial race (if there is one), calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
President
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Clinton | 35% | Trump | 63% | +28% | Nov 30 |
| Alaska | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 53% | +15% | Nov 30 |
| Arizona | Clinton | 45% | Trump | 50% | +5% | Nov 30 |
| Arkansas | Clinton | 34% | Trump | 60% | +26% | Nov 30 |
| California | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 34% | +27% | Nov 30 |
| Colorado | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 45% | +2% | Nov 30 |
| Connecticut | Clinton | 54% | Trump | 42% | +12% | Nov 30 |
| D.C. | Clinton | 93% | Trump | 4% | +89% | Nov 30 |
| Delaware | Clinton | 53% | Trump | 42% | +11% | Nov 30 |
| Florida | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 30 |
| Georgia | Clinton | 46% | Trump | 51% | +5% | Nov 30 |
| Hawaii | Clinton | 65% | Trump | 28% | +37% | Nov 30 |
| Idaho | Clinton | 29% | Trump | 58% | +29% | Nov 30 |
| Illinois | Clinton | 55% | Trump | 39% | +16% | Nov 30 |
| Indiana | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 57% | +19% | Nov 30 |
| Iowa | Clinton | 42% | Trump | 52% | +10% | Nov 30 |
| Kansas | Clinton | 36% | Trump | 58% | +22% | Nov 30 |
| Kentucky | Clinton | 33% | Trump | 63% | +30% | Nov 30 |
| Louisiana | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 58% | +20% | Nov 30 |
| Maine | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 45% | +3% | Nov 30 |
| Maryland | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 35% | +26% | Nov 30 |
| Massachusetts | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 34% | +27% | Nov 30 |
| Michigan | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 48% | +1% | Nov 30 |
| Minnesota | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 46% | +1% | Nov 30 |
| Mississippi | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 58% | +18% | Nov 30 |
| Missouri | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 57% | +19% | Nov 30 |
| Montana | Clinton | 34% | Trump | 58% | +24% | Nov 30 |
| Nebraska | Clinton | 33% | Trump | 61% | +28% | Nov 30 |
| Nevada | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 45% | +2% | Nov 30 |
| New Hampshire | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 47% | +1% | Nov 30 |
| New Jersey | Clinton | 55% | Trump | 42% | +13% | Nov 30 |
| New Mexico | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 40% | +8% | Nov 30 |
| New York | Clinton | 59% | Trump | 38% | +21% | Nov 30 |
| North Carolina | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 51% | +4% | Nov 30 |
| North Dakota | Clinton | 28% | Trump | 64% | +36% | Nov 30 |
| Ohio | Clinton | 44% | Trump | 52% | +8% | Nov 30 |
| Oklahoma | Clinton | 29% | Trump | 65% | +36% | Nov 30 |
| Oregon | Clinton | 52% | Trump | 41% | +11% | Nov 30 |
| Pennsylvania | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 30 |
| Rhode Island | Clinton | 55% | Trump | 40% | +15% | Nov 30 |
| South Carolina | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 56% | +16% | Nov 30 |
| South Dakota | Clinton | 32% | Trump | 62% | +30% | Nov 30 |
| Tennessee | Clinton | 35% | Trump | 61% | +26% | Nov 30 |
| Texas | Clinton | 43% | Trump | 53% | +10% | Nov 30 |
| Utah | Clinton | 29% | Trump | 45% | +16% | Nov 30 |
| Vermont | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 33% | +28% | Nov 30 |
| Virginia | Clinton | 50% | Trump | 45% | +5% | Nov 30 |
| Washington | Clinton | 56% | Trump | 38% | +18% | Nov 30 |
| West Virginia | Clinton | 27% | Trump | 69% | +42% | Nov 30 |
| Wisconsin | Clinton | 46% | Trump | 49% | +3% | Nov 30 |
| Wyoming | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 70% | +47% | Nov 30 |
Senate
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Arizona | Kyrsten Sinema | 46% | Candidate unknown | 50% | +4% | Jan 01 |
| California | Dianne Feinstein* | 61% | Candidate unknown | 39% | +22% | Jan 01 |
| Connecticut | Chris Murphy* | 55% | Candidate unknown | 43% | +12% | Jan 01 |
| Delaware | Tom Carper* | 66% | Candidate unknown | 29% | +37% | Jan 01 |
| Florida | Bill Nelson* | 55% | Candidate unknown | 42% | +13% | Jan 01 |
| Hawaii | Mazie Hirono* | 63% | Candidate unknown | 37% | +26% | Jan 01 |
| Indiana | Joe Donnelly* | 50% | Candidate unknown | 44% | +6% | Jan 01 |
| Maine | ACandidate unknownD | 53% | ACandidate unknownR | 31% | +22% | Jan 01 |
| Maryland | Ben Cardin* | 55% | Candidate unknown | 27% | +28% | Jan 01 |
| Massachusetts | Elizabeth Warren* | 54% | Candidate unknown | 46% | +8% | Jan 01 |
| Michigan | Debbie Stabenow* | 59% | Candidate unknown | 38% | +21% | Jan 01 |
| Minnesota | Amy Klobuchar* | 65% | Candidate unknown | 31% | +34% | Jan 01 |
| Minnesota-special | _Minnesota-special!D | 53% | _Minnesota-special!R | 43% | +10% | Jan 01 |
| Mississippi | Candidate unknown | 40% | Roger Wicker* | 57% | +17% | Jan 01 |
| Missouri | Claire McCaskill* | 55% | Candidate unknown | 39% | +16% | Jan 01 |
| Montana | Jon Tester* | 49% | Candidate unknown | 45% | +4% | Jan 01 |
| Nebraska | Candidate unknown | 42% | Deb Fischer* | 58% | +16% | Jan 01 |
| Nevada | Jacky Rosen | 45% | Dean Heller* | 46% | +1% | Jan 01 |
| New Jersey | Bob Menendez* | 59% | Candidate unknown | 40% | +19% | Jan 01 |
| New Mexico | Martin Heinrich* | 51% | Candidate unknown | 45% | +6% | Jan 01 |
| New York | Kirsten Gillibrand* | 72% | Candidate unknown | 27% | +45% | Jan 01 |
| North Dakota | Heidi Heitkamp* | 50% | Candidate unknown | 49% | +1% | Jan 01 |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown* | 50% | Candidate unknown | 45% | +5% | Jan 01 |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 54% | Candidate unknown | 45% | +9% | Jan 01 |
| Rhode Island | Sheldon Whitehouse* | 65% | Candidate unknown | 35% | +30% | Jan 01 |
| Tennessee | Phil Bredesen | 30% | Candidate unknown | 65% | +35% | Jan 01 |
| Texas | Candidate unknown | 41% | Ted Cruz* | 57% | +16% | Jan 01 |
| Utah | Candidate unknown | 30% | Orrin Hatch* | 65% | +35% | Jan 01 |
| Vermont | _VT!D | 71% | Candidate unknown | 25% | +46% | Jan 01 |
| Virginia | Tim Kaine* | 53% | Candidate unknown | 47% | +6% | Jan 01 |
| Washington | Maria Cantwell* | 60% | Candidate unknown | 40% | +20% | Jan 01 |
| West Virginia | Joe Manchin* | 61% | Candidate unknown | 37% | +24% | Jan 01 |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 52% | Candidate unknown | 46% | +6% | Jan 01 |
| Wyoming | Candidate unknown | 22% | John Barrasso* | 76% | +54% | Jan 01 |