This page contains the current averages for each state for both the presidential race and senatorial race (if there is one), calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
President
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Clinton | 35% | Trump | 63% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Alaska | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 53% | +15% | Nov 08 |
| Arizona | Clinton | 45% | Trump | 50% | +5% | Nov 08 |
| Arkansas | Clinton | 34% | Trump | 60% | +26% | Nov 08 |
| California | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 34% | +27% | Nov 08 |
| Colorado | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 45% | +2% | Nov 08 |
| Connecticut | Clinton | 54% | Trump | 42% | +12% | Nov 08 |
| D.C. | Clinton | 93% | Trump | 4% | +89% | Nov 08 |
| Delaware | Clinton | 53% | Trump | 42% | +11% | Nov 08 |
| Florida | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| Georgia | Clinton | 46% | Trump | 51% | +5% | Nov 08 |
| Hawaii | Clinton | 65% | Trump | 28% | +37% | Nov 08 |
| Idaho | Clinton | 29% | Trump | 58% | +29% | Nov 08 |
| Illinois | Clinton | 55% | Trump | 39% | +16% | Nov 08 |
| Indiana | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 57% | +19% | Nov 08 |
| Iowa | Clinton | 42% | Trump | 52% | +10% | Nov 08 |
| Kansas | Clinton | 36% | Trump | 58% | +22% | Nov 08 |
| Kentucky | Clinton | 33% | Trump | 63% | +30% | Nov 08 |
| Louisiana | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 58% | +20% | Nov 08 |
| Maine | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 45% | +3% | Nov 08 |
| Maryland | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 35% | +26% | Nov 08 |
| Massachusetts | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 34% | +27% | Nov 08 |
| Michigan | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 48% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| Minnesota | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 46% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| Mississippi | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 58% | +18% | Nov 08 |
| Missouri | Clinton | 38% | Trump | 57% | +19% | Nov 08 |
| Montana | Clinton | 34% | Trump | 58% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| Nebraska | Clinton | 33% | Trump | 61% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Nevada | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 45% | +2% | Nov 08 |
| New Hampshire | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 47% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| New Jersey | Clinton | 55% | Trump | 42% | +13% | Nov 08 |
| New Mexico | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 40% | +8% | Nov 08 |
| New York | Clinton | 59% | Trump | 38% | +21% | Nov 08 |
| North Carolina | Clinton | 47% | Trump | 51% | +4% | Nov 08 |
| North Dakota | Clinton | 28% | Trump | 64% | +36% | Nov 08 |
| Ohio | Clinton | 44% | Trump | 52% | +8% | Nov 08 |
| Oklahoma | Clinton | 29% | Trump | 65% | +36% | Nov 08 |
| Oregon | Clinton | 52% | Trump | 41% | +11% | Nov 08 |
| Pennsylvania | Clinton | 48% | Trump | 49% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| Rhode Island | Clinton | 55% | Trump | 40% | +15% | Nov 08 |
| South Carolina | Clinton | 40% | Trump | 56% | +16% | Nov 08 |
| South Dakota | Clinton | 32% | Trump | 62% | +30% | Nov 08 |
| Tennessee | Clinton | 35% | Trump | 61% | +26% | Nov 08 |
| Texas | Clinton | 43% | Trump | 53% | +10% | Nov 08 |
| Utah | Clinton | 29% | Trump | 45% | +16% | Nov 08 |
| Vermont | Clinton | 61% | Trump | 33% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Virginia | Clinton | 50% | Trump | 45% | +5% | Nov 08 |
| Washington | Clinton | 56% | Trump | 38% | +18% | Nov 08 |
| West Virginia | Clinton | 27% | Trump | 69% | +42% | Nov 08 |
| Wisconsin | Clinton | 46% | Trump | 49% | +3% | Nov 08 |
| Wyoming | Clinton | 23% | Trump | 70% | +47% | Nov 08 |
Senate
| State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
| Alabama | Ron Crumpton | 36% | Richard Shelby* | 64% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Alaska | Ray Metcalfe | 11% | Lisa Murkowski* | 44% | +33% | Nov 08 |
| Arizona | Ann Kirkpatrick | 41% | John McCain* | 53% | +12% | Nov 08 |
| Arkansas | Conner Eldridge | 36% | John Boozman* | 60% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| California | Kamala Harris | 63% | Loretta Sanchez (D) | 37% | +26% | Nov 08 |
| Colorado | Michael Bennet* | 49% | Darryl Glenn | 45% | +4% | Nov 08 |
| Connecticut | Richard Blumenthal* | 63% | Dan Carter | 35% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Florida | Patrick Murphy | 44% | Marco Rubio* | 50% | +6% | Nov 08 |
| Georgia | Jim Barksdale | 41% | Johnny Isakson* | 55% | +14% | Nov 08 |
| Hawaii | Brian Schatz* | 74% | John Carroll | 22% | +52% | Nov 08 |
| Idaho | Jerry Sturgill | 28% | Mike Crapo* | 66% | +38% | Nov 08 |
| Illinois | Tammy Duckworth | 54% | Mark Kirk* | 40% | +14% | Nov 08 |
| Indiana | Evan Bayh | 42% | Todd Young | 52% | +10% | Nov 08 |
| Iowa | Patty Judge | 36% | Chuck Grassley* | 60% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| Kansas | Patrick Wiesner | 32% | Jerry Moran* | 62% | +30% | Nov 08 |
| Kentucky | Jim Gray | 43% | Rand Paul* | 57% | +14% | Nov 08 |
| Louisiana | Unknown - election is Nov. 8 | 18% | Unknown - election is Nov. 8 | 25% | +7% | Nov 08 |
| Maryland | Chris Van Hollen | 60% | Kathy Szeliga | 36% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| Missouri | Jason Kander | 46% | Roy Blunt* | 49% | +3% | Nov 08 |
| Nevada | Catherine Cortez-Masto | 47% | Joe Heck | 44% | +3% | Nov 08 |
| New Hampshire | Maggie Hassan | 48% | Kelly Ayotte* | 47% | +1% | Nov 08 |
| New York | Chuck Schumer* | 70% | Wendy Long | 27% | +43% | Nov 08 |
| North Carolina | Deborah Ross | 45% | Richard Burr* | 51% | +6% | Nov 08 |
| North Dakota | Eliot Glassheim | 17% | John Hoeven* | 79% | +62% | Nov 08 |
| Ohio | Ted Strickland | 40% | Rob Portman* | 58% | +18% | Nov 08 |
| Oklahoma | Mike Workman | 25% | James Lankford* | 67% | +42% | Nov 08 |
| Oregon | Ron Wyden* | 57% | Mark Callahan | 34% | +23% | Nov 08 |
| Pennsylvania | Katie McGinty | 47% | Pat Toomey* | 49% | +2% | Nov 08 |
| South Carolina | Thomas Dixon | 37% | Tim Scott* | 61% | +24% | Nov 08 |
| South Dakota | Jay Williams | 28% | John Thune* | 72% | +44% | Nov 08 |
| Utah | Misty Snow | 27% | Mike Lee* | 68% | +41% | Nov 08 |
| Vermont | Patrick Leahy* | 61% | Scott Milne | 33% | +28% | Nov 08 |
| Washington | Patty Murray* | 60% | Chris Vance | 40% | +20% | Nov 08 |
| Wisconsin | Russ Feingold | 47% | Ron Johnson* | 50% | +3% | Nov 08 |