It's been a little less than a week since the Paris attacks, and the Republican presidential candidates are in an all-out race to see who can do the best job of posturing in an effort to curry political favor. Their responses fall into five basic categories:
Meanwhile, as the various dramatics unfold on the home front, President Obama is in Turkey working on a potential alliance with Vladimir Putin to defeat ISIS, which recently blew up a Russian airliner. The possibilities for what Donald Trump will do with that are just endless. (Z)
In a sharp speech yesterday, President Obama said that Republican attacks on Islam and their willingness to admit Christian Syrian refugees to the U.S. but not Muslim ones is helping ISIS. The President noted that ISIS wants to exploit the idea of a war between Islam and the West and by making these remarks, the Republicans are doing precisely what ISIS wants, which helps them recruit new terrorists. Obama also said that refugees are thoroughly vetted before they are let in to the U.S., which greatly reduces the chance of a terrorist getting in. He also mocked the Republicans for telling him to stand up to ISIS while they are scared of Muslim widows and orphans, many of whom are fleeing ISIS. (V)
While the majority of the angry post-Paris rhetoric may be coming from the red team, Republicans certainly don't have a monopoly on ill-conceived, knee-jerk reactions. It was a Democrat—Roanoke, Va. Mayor David Bowers—who delivered what is surely yesterday's prizewinner for most absurd and offensive statement of the day. As quoted in the Roanoke Times:
I'm reminded that President Franklin D. Roosevelt felt compelled to sequester Japanese foreign nationals after the bombing of Pearl Harbor, and it appears that the threat of harm to America from [ISIS] now is just as real and serious as that from our enemies then.It is not easy to squeeze so many different types of wrong into such a short statement. Among the obvious issues:
If Bowers had any knowledge of the history he's referencing, he would know that Japanese internment was about (illegally) imprisoning American citizens for partisan political purposes. and had nothing to do with admitting refugees from anywhere. (Z)
The U.S. government is in a running battle with Apple, Google, and other tech companies about encyrption. The government wants mobile devices that use encryption to come with a back door built in so the government can read everyone's email and text messages and listen in on all phone calls. The tech companies oppose this because they say if they give the government all the keys, their users won't trust them and foreign customers who don't want the U.S. government snooping on them won't buy American products any more.
The government's argument that it needs to read all email and text messages to catch terrorists took a hit yesterday when French police found the phones the Paris terrorists were using to communicate. None of them used encryption, so even if the government had the ability to decipher all messages, it wouldn't have been needed and it wouldn't have helped. The battle between the government and the tech companies has become political, with Republicans siding with the government and the Democrats supporting the private sector. Politics makes for strange bedfellows sometimes. (V)
Yesterday, members of the Senate Intelligence Committee, of which Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) is a member, were given a special classified briefing not available to other senators. At that briefing, the intelligence community officials presented what they knew of the Paris attacks to the senators. However, Rubio was not present as he was at a high-dollar fundraiser in Newport Beach, California. Rubio is already under attack for his poor Senate attendance record. Up until now, it was just his voting record that was under attack, but now his Democratic and Republican opponents are going to say he puts fundraising above American security. (V)
After the disastrous 2012 election, RNC chairman Reince Priebus commissioned an "autopsy" of the election. The report said the party had to change and stop emphasizing issues that were driving away minorities, women, and younger voters. The party completely ignored the report. Now the Democrats have issued an autopsy report of the disastrous 2014 election. It is 1/5 the length of the Republican report and basically tells how wonderful the party is. The only actionable advice in it is that the party needs to build a three-cycle strategy for taking back state legislatures so the Republicans can't gerrymander state and federal districts. However, the report doesn't explain how this is to be accomplished. Two things are needed, but are not mentioned in the report. First, Democrats need to find a way to get their voters to the polls for all elections, not just presidential elections. Second, Democrats need to get their big donors interested in financing races for state senate and state assembly/house races as the Republicans do. (V)
In past election cycles, the same scenario has played out: a very conservative candidate wins the Republican caucuses in Iowa, but then New Hampshire brings the party back to Planet Earth by going for an electable moderate. In 2008 it was Huckabee/McCain. In 2012 it was Santorum/Romney. This year any one of several conservatives might win Iowa, but there might not be a moderate savior in the Granite State this time. In fact, Donald Trump has led in every New Hampshire poll since June. In a Fox News poll released yesterday, Trump is first at 27%, followed by Rubio at 13%, Cruz at 11%, and then Bush and Carson tied at 9%. In past cycles, insurgent conservatives like Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Herman Cain, and Newt Gingrich didn't even come close to winning New Hampshire, a state where moderate Republicans make up about half of the Republican electorate and evangelicals less than a fifth.
The obvious danger for the GOP is that lacking a firewall in New Hampshire, someone like Ted Cruz could win Iowa followed by a Trump victory in New Hampshire and then more conservative victories in South Carolina and Nevada, at which point the establishment would be in complete disarray unless it somehow manages to coalesce around one candidate. But coalescing is a lot harder to do if the chosen candidate hasn't won even one primary yet. That is why New Hampshire is so important for the Republicans. (V)
In an attempt to conteract the effect of the large donations from wealthy donors unleashed by the Supreme Court's Citizens United ruling, Seattle voters have approved the nation's first political voucher plan with 63% in favor. It works like this: Beginning in 2017, each Seattle voter will get four $25 vouchers that can be donated to qualifying candidates for city council or city attorney. Starting in 2021, mayoral candidates are also included. To qualify, a candidate must collect a certain number of small-dollar donations and agree to spending limits, private contribution limits, and participation in at least three debates. The voucher program will cost the city about $3 million a year. (V)
The United States Conference of Catholic Bishops is updating its voting guide that instructs the faithful how to vote. The section of the guide that deals with "Intrinsic Evil" lists same-sex marriage, along with racism and abortion as intrinsic evils and instructs voters that good Catholics may not vote for candidates who support intrinsic evil. Despite the Constitution's mandate of the separation of church and state, giving voting instructions is not listed as an intrinsic evil. It is perhaps noteworthy to mention that when Pope Francis visited the U.S. recently, he didn't even bother to mention same-sex marriage, despite its intrinsic evilness. (V)