Apr. 28 |
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News from the VotemasterSarah Palin Endorses Richard Mourdock, for Senate in Indiana PermalinkSen. Richard Lugar (R-IN), who is running for his seventh term in the Senate, got some bad news yesterday. Sarah Palin endorsed his opponent, state Treasurer Richard Mourdock in the May 8 primary. Palin is a clever politician and would probably not endorse anyone so close to the election unless she thought the endorsee was going to win, so she could claim it was her endorsement that put him over the top. The only recent poll in the Mourdock-Lugar race was one sponsored by Citizens United and released last week. It shows Mourdock ahead by 5 points. Possibly this poll is what motivated Palin to go public. Probably she, like much of the media (but unlike this Website) doesn't realize that polls released by campaigns are highly suspect and shouldn't be taken seriously. Candidates conduct legitimate polls all the time, but the numbers they release need to be taken with a grain--no, make that a metric ton--of salt. As if that weren't enough, a major Republican superPAC, the American Action Network, pulled the plug on Lugar yesterday--after having spent nearly $650,000 on ads for him. This event, coupled with Palin's endorsement, suggests that Lugar is genuinely in trouble and insiders are starting to think that Mourdock will win. However, those same insiders, especially the Republican establishment, should be very worried about a Mourdock victory. The Democrats held control of the Senate in 2010 despite a Republican wave basically due to three tea party victories in primaries. Sharron Angle in Nevada snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, going down to a very unpopular Harry Reid. Christine "I am not a witch" O'Donnell in Delaware defeated former representative Mike Castle in the primary, turning a certain Republican victory into defeat at the hands of the largely unknown Chris Coons. Finally, in Colorado, Ken Buck took down the state's Lieutenant Governor, who was sure to beat appointed senator Michael Bennet, and handed the Democrats a Senate seat. If Lugar survives his primary, he is virtually certain to defeat Rep. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) in the general election. Lugar is highly respected on both sides of the aisle as well as in Indiana. However, if Mourdock wins the primary, a Republican win against Donnelly is far less certain. The race could easily be a repeat of the 2010 races pitting a tea-party backed newcomer against a relatively weak Democrat, with the Democrat winning. Adding to the mix here is the fact that unlike 2010, this year we have a presidential election, which guarantees a greater Democratic turnout. Although President Obama actually won Indiana in 2008, it is very unlikely he can do it again. Nevertheless, his presence on the ticket might be enough to let Donnelly beat Mourdock. In any event, this is the race to watch leading up to May 8. If you like this Website, tell your friends. You can also share by clicking this button -- The Votemaster Previous headlinesDec31 Romney Sweeps all Five Northeast Primaries Dec31 Tom Smith Wins Pennsylvania GOP Senatorial Primary Dec31 Critz Defeats Altmire in Pennsylvania Democratic House Primary Apr25 Romney Sweeps all Five Northeast Primaries Apr25 Tom Smith Wins Pennsylvania GOP Senatorial Primary Apr25 Critz Defeats Altmire in Pennsylvania Democratic House Primary Apr16 Three Republican Senate Seats Up for Grabs Apr11 Santorum Quits Race Apr10 Competitive Races for Democratic Senate Seats Apr04 Romney Wins a Tripleheader Apr04 Obama to Run Against Ryan Apr03 Romney Advisors Trying to Decide Whether to Unleash the Candidate Apr03 Primaries in D.C., Maryland, and Wisconsin Today Apr03 Federal Mandates Have Been Around for over 200 Years Mar30 Supreme Court Could Become an Election Issue Mar27 Lose to Win? Mar25 Santorum Continues His Southern Winning Streak in Louisiana Mar25 Can Romney Clear the Etch a Sketch? Mar24 Santorum Headed for Win in Louisiana Primary Today Mar24 Club for Growth Buying Airtime Against Lugar Mar21 Romney Wins Illinois by 12% Mar21 Maine Senate Race Candidates Now Known Mar20 Romney Expected to Win Illinois Primary Today Mar20 Republicans to Propose Major Tax Reform Today Mar19 Romney Wins Puerto Rico Mar18 No Results from the Raucous Caucus Mar18 Puerto Rico in the Spotlight Today Mar11 Santorum Wins Kansas Caucus Mar10 Santorum Favorite to Win Kansas Caucus Today Mar10 Angus King Endorses Obama Mar07 Romney wins Ohio and five other states, Santorum wins three states Mar06 Today is Super Tuesday Mar06 Independent Throws Maine Senate Race into Turmoil Mar04 Romney Wins Washington, Paul Second (Maybe) Mar03 Washington State Holds Caucuses Today Mar03 Maine Senate Field Taking Shape Feb29 Romney Barely Wins Michigan Feb29 Olympia Snow Announces Her Retirement Feb28 Michigan Too Close to Call Feb28 Kerrey May Run for the Senate in Nebraska |
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