Gingrich Way Ahead in Iowa     Permalink

In the past 2 days, six different polls have been released for the Iowa caucuses. They are notoriously difficult to poll because turnout is always do low. Nevertheless, all six polls show Newt Gingrich leading. His margin over number 2, which is Mitt Romney in some polls and Ron Paul in others, is 14, 14, 15, 9, 8, and 11, respectively. This is well beyond the margin of error, but this race is in such flux that a week from now anything could happen. Here is a bar chart showing the results. For each candidate, there are six bars, corresponding to the six polls: NYT-CBS, We Ask America, ABC-WaPo, Selzer, Marist, and PPP.

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