Absentee Votes Counted, Franken Gains
More news from Minnesota.
The absentee votes that the three-judge election panel ruled as legal were counted yesterday
and Al Franken's lead
expanded
from 225 votes to 312 votes.
At this point, Coleman has virtually no chance of winning the election contest.
He is sure to appeal to the Minnesota Supreme Court and probably to the U.S. Supreme Court if he loses
that one. An interesting question is whether the Minnesota Supreme Court will order the governor and
Secretary of State to sign the certificate certifying the election and how they respond to such an order
if it happens. Wild scenarios are possible. For another time.
Democrat Quigley Replaces Emanuel in IL-05
As expected, Democrat Mike Quigley decisively
defeated
Republican Rosanna Pulido and Green
Party candidate Matt Reichel for the Chicago-area seat IL-05 vacated by Rahm Emanuel when he became
President Obama's Chief of Staff. So this election does not affect the partisan balance in the House.
More Gubernatorial Races
Continuing with the gubernatorial races, let's now examine the Interior West.
Wyoming
Challenger | Challenger | Notes |
(D)
|
(R)
|
Open seat. Wyoming is the Republican's #1 pickup opportunity as Gov. Dave Freudenthal (D-WY) is
term limited and the Democrats have nobody to replace him. Lots of Republicans are champing at the
bit and whoever wins the Republican primary will be elected governor.
|
Colorado
Incumbent | Challenger | Notes |
Bill Ritter (D)
|
(R)
|
Gov. Bill Ritter (D-CO) will be going for his second term in this increasingly blue state.
His choice of Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) to replace Sen. Ken Salazar (D-CO) was bizarre at
best, especially considering there were plenty of Democratic members of the House eager for
the job. Still, you can't beat somebody with nobody and the Republicans don't have any
top-tier contenders. Former representative Bob Beauprez (R), who was crushed by Ritter in 2006,
could try again. If former representative Tom Tancredo (R) runs, and he might, Ritter would
crush him even more badly.
Maybe the Republicans can find a rich businessman to run, but the Democrats clearly have the upper hand here.
|
New Mexico
Challenger | Challenger | Notes |
(D)
|
(R)
|
Open seat. Gov. Bill Richardson (D-NM) is term limited. Lt. Gov Diane Denish (D-NM) is
sure to run for the Democratic nomination, but actor Val Kilmer may challenge her. Enough
famous and rich celebrities have been elected to public office that she can't just dismiss him.
What about the Republicans?
Well, Obama carried the state in a landslide, the Democrats control both Senate seats, all three House
seats, all statewide offices, and both chambers of the state legislature (by nearly 2 to 1 margins).
The Republicans control nothing, so the
prospects aren't very good for them here. Probably the only Republican with any chance at all
is former representative Heather Wilson (R), who was defeated in the Republican senatorial primary last year
and her only real hope is a fight to the death in the Democratic primary that leaves the winner broke and bloodied.
|
Idaho
Incumbent | Challenger | Notes |
Butch Otter (R)
|
(D)
|
Gov. Butch Otter (R-ID) will run for re-election and win.
There is nothing the Democrats can do to prevent it. End of story.
|
Nevada
Incumbent | Challenger | Notes |
Jim Gibbons (R)
|
(D)
|
Nevada has its own Bunning situation: if the incumbent runs, the Republicans will
probably lose. They have to get rid of him to save the office. Gov. Jim Gibbons (R-NV)
has been up to his ears in scandals since day 1, including a messy divorce in which
the state's first lady refused to move out of the governor's mansion. Then there were
shady land deals, a bribery investigation, illegal campaign donations, and more.
He will certainly be challenged in a primary, possibly by Rep. Dean Heller or former
state senator Joe (Give 'em) Heck. The highest-profile Democrat running is Sen. Harry
Reid's son, Rory, but the Speaker of the state House, Barbara Buckey, the mayor of
Sin City, Oscar Goodman, and a cast of thousands might challenge the younger Reid.
Obama won this state easily, so no matter who the candidates are, the Democrats are
likely to flip the office.
|
Arizona
Incumbent | Challenge | Notes |
Jan Brewer (R)
|
(D)
|
Gov. Jan Brewer (R-AZ) got her job when term-limited Gov. Janet Napolitano (D-AZ)
took a job in the cabinet. Since she wasn't elected, she may be vulnerable
to a primary challenge, especially from Rep. Jeff Flake (R-AZ). The
most likely Democratic candidate is Attorney General Terry Goddard.
Since the most recent person to be elected governor was a Democrat in an
otherwise somewhat Republican state, this race has to be considered a
tossup at this point.
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