Mar. 29 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Kerry 252   Bush 286  
Senate: Dem 51   GOP 49  
House: Dem 233   GOP 202  

 
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strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (37)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (37)
weak GOP Weak GOP (66)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
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Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  


News from the Votemaster

MyDD just posted a list purporting to show Karl Rove's top 16 Democratic House seats to be targeted in 2008. Sixteen is the number of seats the Republicans need to recapture the House. Here is the list.

Top Sixteen Republican Targets
1. Hill ( IN-09 )
2. Carney ( PA-10 )
3. Murphy (PA-08)
4. Boyda ( KS-02 )
5. Sestak (PA-07)
6. Ellsworth ( IN-08 )
7. Shuler ( NC-11 )
8. Rodriguez ( TX-23 )
9. Kagen ( WI-08 )
10. Marshall ( GA-08 )
11. Donnelly ( IN-02 )
12. Barrow ( GA-12 )
13. Altmire ( PA-04 )
14. Hall ( NY-19 )
15. Gillibrand ( NY-20 )
16. Herseth (SD-AL)

I agree that many of them are vulnerable, except for Sestak, Shuler, and Herseth. Sestak is a retired admiral in a Democratic district. What can they throw at him? Shuler won because he is a retired football star and still is. Herseth got 70% of the vote in 2006. Doesn't sound like a marginal candidate to me. On the other hand, Nick Lampson ( TX-22 ) is probably very vulnerable since he won by a fluke accident in a Republican district.

The post also lists the Republican seats Rove is most worried about losing. Here is the top 10: 1. Jim Gerlach ( PA-06 )
2. Bachmann (MN-06)
3. Robin Hayes ( NC-08 )
4. Heather Wilson ( NM-01 )
5. Marilyn Musgrave (CO-04)
6. Dan Roskam (IL-06)
7. Chris Shays ( CT-04 )
8. Jean Schmidt ( OH-02 )
9. Thelma rake (VA-02)
10. Barbara Cubin* ( WY-AL )

For more on House races, see the link just below.

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

Preview of the 2008 races:           President       Senate       House      

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