Feb. 12 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Kerry 252   Bush 286  
Senate: Dem 51   GOP 49  
House: Dem 233   GOP 202  

Senate map with polls
Downloadable polling data
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strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (37)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (37)
weak GOP Weak GOP (66)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
  Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  

News from the Votemaster

The Hill reports that Sen. Tim Johnson, who suffered a cerebral hemorrhage last December, is making a slow but gradual recovery. Johnson squeaked to victory in the Senate in 2002 by a mere 524 votes and is one of the Republicans' top two targets for 2008 (along with Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA)). Of course, being able to speak and read the newspaper is not the same as engaging in a brutal reelection campaign. Johnson was also treated for prostate cancer in 2004 and was given a clean bill of health afterwards.

It is expected that Sen. John Ensign (R-NV), chairman of the NRSC, will move heaven and earth to get South Dakota's popular Republican governor, Mike Rounds, to run for the Senate in 2008. Rounds got 62% of the vote in his re-election bid in 2006. Against such a strong opponent in a state that went for Bush by 34% in 2006 and with such a tiny victory in 2002 and less than perfect health, Johnson might decline to run in 2008.

If Johnson should decide to leave politics and concentrate on getting his health back, you can bet that Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), chairman of the DSCC, will be camped out at the door of Rep. Stephanie Herseth, South Dakota's at-large congresswoman, pleading with her to run for the Senate. (Of course, Schumer will have to fend off Herseth's fiance, former Rep. Max Sandlin (D-TX), for face time with the congresswoman.) Herseth, the youngest woman in the House, granddaughter of a former South Dakota governor and daughter of a former South Dakota state senator, won re-election to the U.S. House with over 70% of the vote in Nov. 2006. A Rounds-Herseth race would pit two electoral giants against each other in this vast but underpopulated state and money would flow into the state as if the Mississippi River were flooding. Here are photos of the three players.

Tim Johnson Mike Rounds Stephanie Herseth
Tim Johnson Mike Rounds Stephanie Herseth

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

Preview of the 2008 races:           President       Senate       House      

This map shows the current governors:

This map shows the current Senate:

This map shows the current House:

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com

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