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Projected New Senate:     48 Democrats     52 Republicans    

Polling data in Excel
Battleground states
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strong Dem Strong Dem (42)
weak Dem Weak Dem (3)
barely Dem Barely Dem (3)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (4)
weak GOP Weak GOP (1)
strong GOP Strong GOP (47)
No Senate race No Senate race
  Map algorithm explained
Sep. 09 New polls: ME WA RSS
  Pickups: Montana New Jersey Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island

News from the Votemaster

If you didn't see the site yesterday, click on the "Previous report" link above. It is fascinating data.

Two new polls today. A belated poll in Maine shows incumbent Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) handily defeating Democratic activist Jean Hay Bright, 53% to 26%. Bright has no chance against the fourth most popular senator with a 72% to 24% approval to disapproval ratio. In all fairness to Ms. Bright, probably no Democrat had any chance here.

The other poll is in Washington state, where incumbent Sen. Maria Cantell (D-WA), who squeaked in by the narrowest of margins in 2000, now enjoys a commanding lead over insurance executive Mike McGavick, 52% to 35%. This race was expected to be much closer due to Cantwell's miniscule margin in 2000. However, McGavick's disclosure that he was arrested for running a red light and drunken driving after attending a party for him and his new second wife has cost him dearly, despite the fact that the arrest was long ago. McGavick voluntarily confessed to this arrest, possibly assuming that someone would dig it up sooner or later. He probably thought it was better to get it out of the way early in the campaign.

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-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com

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