Projected New Senate: 50 Democrats 49 Republicans 1 tie

	Strong Dem (43)
	Weak Dem (4)
	Barely Dem (3)
	Exactly tied (1)
	Barely GOP (0)
	Weak GOP (2)
	Strong GOP (47)
	No Senate race
	Map algorithm explained

Oct. 07	New polls:	MD MN MO NJ RI TN VA
	Pickups:	Montana Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee

Welcome	General FAQ	Polling FAQ	Votemaster FAQ
Donations	All Senate races	Hot House races	Poll Graphs
More election data	Senate info	Political websites	Articles and books
2004 Election	EVP track record	Political humor	For bloggers
Contribute a page

News from the Votemaster

Today we have something a bit unusual: a batch of Gallup polls. Gallup doesn't do much state polling, but once in a while they are commissioned to run some state polls. Here are the results:

State	Democrat	Republican	Date	Len	Dem	GOP	Ind	Pollster
Maryland	Ben Cardin	Michael Steele	Oct 01	5	54	39		Gallup
Missouri	Claire McCaskill	Jim Talent*	Oct 01	5	48	45		Gallup
New Jersey	Bob Menendez*	Tom Kean	Oct 01	5	46	43		Gallup
Rhode Island	Sheldon Whitehouse	Lincoln Chafee*	Oct 01	5	50	39		Gallup
Tennessee	Harold Ford	Bob Corker	Oct 01	5	50	45		Gallup
Virginia	Jim Webb	George Allen*	Oct 01	5	45	48		Gallup

All these polls are consistent with the recent ones from SurveyUSA, Rasmussen, and the others. They confirm that the Democrats are probably not going to lose a single seat and may pick up Republican seats in MO, RI, and TN, as well as some states Gallup didn't poll: MT, OH. and PA. If they get all six, the Democrats will control the Senate. When the dust settles on the Foley matter, the Democrats may capture the House as well. But as Harold MacMillan once said: "In politics, a week is a long time."

We also have one Rasmussen poll. In Minnesota, Amy Klobuchar (D) is way ahead of Mark Kennedy (R), 56% to 40%.

No new House polls today.

Super Guru Charlie Cook has changed his predictions on 14 House races, making all of them better for the Democrats. See Political Wire for the list.

Projected New House*: 218 Democrats 216 Republicans 1 Tie

* Where no independent polls exist, the 2004 election results have been used. See complete House polls.

See the details of the Senate and House races with photos, maps, links, polls, etc.

If you like this site, please announce it to news groups and blogs and tell your friends about it. If you have your own blog, please click on "For bloggers" above.

-- The Votemaster