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Projected New Senate:     50 Democrats     49 Republicans     1 tie


 
Polling data in Excel
Battleground states
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strong Dem Strong Dem (46)
weak Dem Weak Dem (2)
barely Dem Barely Dem (1)
tied Exactly tied (2)
barely GOP Barely GOP (1)
weak GOP Weak GOP (1)
strong GOP Strong GOP (47)
No Senate race No Senate race
  Map algorithm explained
Nov. 08 Pickups: Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island


News from the Votemaster

Here are the preliminary results. More later.

CNN has a good election page

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Senate

The Democrats took the House although several races are still undecided. In the Senate, control depends on who wins Virginia. Democrat Jim Webb currently leads by 7000 votes, but there will be a recount. This race could fester for weeks in the courts. Unlike Florida in 2000 and Ohio in 2004, the Democrats control the Virginia electoral machinery.

In case you just remembered that election law was your favorite subject in high school, you might want to check out Election Law Blog, which is written by a Los Angeles law professor, Rick Hasen, who specializes in election law. Looking at his stats, over the past month, he has been getting about 500 visitors a day on weekdays. I suspect his traffic is going to pick up a bit in the coming weeks.

For the record, electoral-vote.com had 520,000 visits yesterday. All the servers held up well. Three cheers for both HostRocket.com, my primary hosting company, and PlanetLab, which handled about 40% of the load. If your company needs a solid Web hosting company with good tech suport, I can recommend HostRocket.com very highly. Special thanks go to Prof. Gun Sirer of Cornell for help with PlanetLab.

State Democrat Republican Dem GOP Ind Ahead Source
Arizona Jim Pederson Jon Kyl* 44 53   GOP Election: 98% counted
California Dianne Feinstein* Dick Mountjoy 59 36   Dem Election: 75% counted
Conn. Ned Lamont Alan Schlesinger 40 10 50 IND Election: 95% counted
Delaware Tom Carper* Jan Ting 70 29   Dem Election: 10% counted
Florida Bill Nelson* Katherine Harris 60 38   Dem Election: 99% counted
Hawaii Daniel Akaka* (Primary 9/23) 63 35   Dem Election: 76% counted
Indiana (unopposed) Dick Lugar* 0 87   GOP Election: 99% counted
Maine Jean Bright Olympia Snowe* 21 73   GOP Election: 81% counted
Maryland Ben Cardin Michael Steele 54 44   Dem Election: 97% counted
Mass. Ted Kennedy* Ken Chase 69 31   Dem Election: 99% counted
Michigan Debbie Stabenow* Mike Bouchard 57 41   Dem Election: 94% counted
Minnesota Amy Klobuchar Mark Kennedy 58 38   Dem Election: 97% counted
Mississippi Erik Fleming Trent Lott* 35 64   GOP Election: 99% counted
Missouri Claire McCaskill Jim Talent* 50 47   Dem Election: 98% counted
Montana Jon Tester Conrad Burns* 50 49   Dem Election: 80% counted
Nebraska Ben Nelson* Pete Ricketts 64 36   Dem Election: 90% counted
Nevada Jack Carter John Ensign* 41 55   GOP Election: 98% counted
New Jersey Bob Menendez* Tom Kean, Jr. 53 45   Dem Election: 99% counted
New Mexico Jeff Bingaman* Allen McCullogh 70 30   Dem Election: 95% counted
New York Hillary Clinton* John Spencer 67 31   Dem Election: 99% counted
North Dakota Kent Conrad* Dwight Grotberg 69 29   Dem Election: 100% counted
Ohio Sherrod Brown Mike DeWine* 56 44   Dem Election: 99% counted
Pennsylvania Bob Casey Rick Santorum* 59 41   Dem Election: 99% counted
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse Lincoln Chafee* 53 47   Dem Election: 100% counted
Tennessee Harold Ford Bob Corker 48 51   GOP Election: 99% counted
Texas Barbara Radnofsky Kay Hutchison* 36 62   GOP Election: 96% counted
Utah Pete Ashdown Orrin Hatch* 31 62   GOP Election: 99% counted
Vermont Bernie Sanders Rich Tarrant 0 32 65 IND Election: 92% counted
Virginia Jim Webb George Allen* 49 49   Tie Election: 99% counted
Washington Maria Cantwell* Mike McGavick 57 40   Dem Election: 33% counted
West Virginia Robert Byrd* John Raese 64 34   Dem Election: 99% counted
Wisconsin Herb Kohl* Robert Lorge 67 30   Dem Election: 97% counted
Wyoming Dale Groutage Craig Thomas* 30 70   GOP Election: 99% counted

House

The Democrats took the House, picking up around 27 seats, but races in at least CT-02 , GA-08, NC-08 , NM-01 , NY-19, PA-06 , PA-08 , and WY-AL are too close to call. Below are the results of the 50 Hot House races as of 4 am EST. The full list is here. More later.

CD Democrat Republican Dem GOP I Ahead Source
AZ-01 Ellen Simon Rick Renzi* 43 52   GOP Election: 89% counted
AZ-05 Harry Mitchell J.D. Hayworth* 51 46   Dem Election: 98% counted
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf 54 42   Dem Election: 97% counted
CA-11 Jerry McNerney Richard Pombo* 52 48   Dem Election: 35% counted
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell 55 42   Dem Election: 88% counted
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* 50 50   Tie Election: 97% counted
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* 48 51   GOP Election: 93% counted
CT-05 Chris Murphy Nancy Johnson* 56 44   Dem Election: 97% counted
FL-13 Christine Jennings Vern Buchanan 49 50   GOP Election: 99% counted
FL-16 Tim Mahoney Joe Negron 49 48   Dem Election: 99% counted
FL-22 Ron Klein Clay Shaw* 51 47   Dem Election: 99% counted
GA-12 John Barrow* Max Burns 51 47   Dem Election: 96% counted
IA-01 Bruce Braley Mike Whalen 55 43   Dem Election: 100% counted
IA-02 Dave Loebsack Jim Leach* 51 49   Dem Election: 100% counted
IA-03 Leonard Boswell* Jeff Lamberti 52 46   Dem Election: 100% counted
IL-06 Tammy Duckworth Peter Roskam 48 52   GOP Election: 82% counted
IL-08 Melissa Bean* Dave McSweeney 50 45   Dem Election: 82% counted
IN-02 Joe Donnelly Chris Chocola* 54 46   Dem Election: 100% counted
IN-08 Brad Ellsworth John Hostettler* 61 39   Dem Election: 100% counted
IN-09 Baron Hill Mike Sodrel* 49 46   Dem Election: 99% counted
KY-03 John Yarmuth Anne Northup* 51 48   Dem Election: 100% counted
KY-04 Ken Lucas Geoff Davis* 43 52   GOP Election: 95% counted
LA-03 Charlie Melancon* Craig Romero 55 40   Dem Election: 100% counted
MN-01 Tim Walz Gil Gutknecht* 53 47   Dem Election: 98% counted
MN-06 Patty Wetterling Michele Bachmann 42 50   GOP Election: 95% counted
NC-08 Larry Kissell Robin Hayes* 50 50   Tie Election: 100% counted
NC-11 Heath Shuler Charles Taylor* 54 46   Dem Election: 100% counted
NH-02 Paul Hodes Charlie Bass* 53 45   Dem Election: 97% counted
NJ-07 Linda Stender Mike Ferguson* 48 49   GOP Election: 99% counted
NM-01 Patricia Madrid Heather Wilson* 50 50   Tie Election: 99% counted
NY-03 Dave Mejias Peter King* 44 56   GOP Election: 100% counted
NY-20 Kirsten Gillibrand John Sweeney* 53 47   Dem Election: 98% counted
NY-24 Michael Arcuri Ray Meier 54 45   Dem Election: 97% counted
NY-26 Jack Davis Tom Reynolds* 48 52   GOP Election: 99% counted
OH-01 John Cranley Steve Chabot* 47 53   GOP Election: 99% counted
OH-02 Victoria Wulsin Jean Schmidt* 49 51   GOP Election: 100% counted
OH-06 Charlie Wilson Chuck Blasdel 61 39   Dem Election: 93% counted
OH-15 Mary Jo Kilroy Deborah Pryce* 49 51   GOP Election: 99% counted
OH-18 Zack Space Joy Padgett 62 38   Dem Election: 96% counted
PA-06 Lois Murphy Jim Gerlach* 50 50   Tie Election: 78% counted
PA-07 Joseph Sestak Curt Weldon* 57 43   Dem Election: 93% counted
PA-08 Patrick Murphy Mike Fitzpatrick* 50 50   Tie Election: 100% counted
PA-10 Christopher Carney Don Sherwood* 53 47   Dem Election: 99% counted
TX-17 Chet Edwards* Van Taylor 58 40   Dem Election: 99% counted
TX-22 Nick Lampson Shelley Gibbs 52 42   Dem Election: 100% counted
TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez Henry Bonilla* 21 48   GOP Election: 90% counted
VA-02 Phil Kellam Thelma Drake* 49 51   GOP Election: 100% counted
WA-08 Darcy Burner Dave Reichert* 48 52   GOP Election: 19% counted
WI-08 Steve Kagen John Gard 51 49   Dem Election: 94% counted
WV-01 Alan Mollohan* Chris Wakim 64 36   Dem Election: 100% counted

Projected New House*:     231 Democrats     197 Republicans     7 Ties
* Where no independent polls exist, the 2004 election results have been used. See complete House polls.

Dem pickups: AZ-03 AZ-05 AZ-08 CA-11 CO-07 CT-05 FL-16 FL-22 IA-01 IA-02 IN-02 IN-08 IN-09 KS-02 KY-03 LA-01 MN-01 NC-11 NH-01 NH-02 NY-20 NY-24 OH-18 PA-04 PA-07 PA-10 PA-16 TX-22 WI-08

GOP pickups:
Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 See the details of the Senate and House races with photos, maps, links, polls, etc.
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