absentee ballot for overseas voter

Projected New Senate:     51 Democrats     49 Republicans    

Polling data in Excel
Battleground states
Previous report
Next report

strong Dem Strong Dem (44)
weak Dem Weak Dem (4)
barely Dem Barely Dem (3)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (0)
weak GOP Weak GOP (2)
strong GOP Strong GOP (47)
No Senate race No Senate race
  Map algorithm explained
Nov. 05 New polls: MI MN MT NJ NY TN UT VA RSS
  Pickups: Missouri Montana Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Virginia

News from the Votemaster

Poll of the Day

What is your political identification?
Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Other   

Senate Polls

As we move into the final 3 days of the campaign, we have some surprising changes in the polls. Montana, which looked like an easy win for Democrat Jon Tester over Sen. Conrad Burns (R-MT), a close ally of disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff, is getting much closer. A new Mason-Dixon poll says it is tied at 47% each.

On the other hand, New Jersey, which had been close, is no longer. Incumbent Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) has a comfortable lead of 50% to 42% according to a new Marist College poll. Similar, Bob Corker is pulling away from Harold Ford in Tennessee, with a lead of 50% to 38% according to Mason-Dixon.

The two races that will determine control of the Senate are Virginia and Missouri. The Democrats need to win both to control the Senate. Both are virtually tied.

State Democrat Republican Date     Len Dem GOP Ind Pollster
Michigan Debbie Stabenow* Mike Bouchard Nov 02 3 53% 34%   Selzer
Minnesota Amy Klobuchar Mark Kennedy Nov 03 4 54% 34%   Star Tribune
Montana Jon Tester Conrad Burns* Nov 02 3 47% 47%   Mason-Dixon
New Jersey Bob Menendez* Tom Kean, Jr. Nov 03 3 50% 42%   Marist Coll.
New York Hillary Clinton* John Spencer Nov 01 3 65% 32%   Marist Coll.
Tennessee Harold Ford Bob Corker Nov 03 3 38% 50%   Mason-Dixon
Utah Pete Ashdown Orrin Hatch* Nov 01 3 31% 61%   Mason-Dixon
Virginia Jim Webb George Allen* Nov 03 3 46% 45%   Mason-Dixon

House Polls

The results of 9 new House polls are given below.

Cong. Distr. Democrat Republican Date     Len Dem GOP Ind Pollster
CA-48 Steve Young John Campbell* Nov 03 3 37% 56%   SurveyUSA
CA-50 Francine Busby Brian Bilbray* Nov 03 3 41% 55%   SurveyUSA
CO-05 Jay Fawcett Doug Lamborn Nov 03 3 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
FL-09 Phyllis Busansky Gus Bilirakis Nov 03 3 41% 53%   SurveyUSA
MN-06 Patty Wetterling Michele Bachmann Nov 03 3 42% 49%   SurveyUSA
NH-01 Carol Shea-Porter Jeb Bradley* Nov 02 2 40% 48%   Research 2000
NH-01 Carol Shea-Porter Jeb Bradley* Nov 03 4 39% 50%   Granite State Poll
NH-02 Paul Hodes Charlie Bass* Nov 02 2 46% 47%   Research 2000
NY-26 Jack Davis Tom Reynolds* Nov 03 3 46% 50%   SurveyUSA


Sunday would not be complete without a new political cartoon.

Projected New House*:     239 Democrats     196 Republicans
* Where no independent polls exist, the 2004 election results have been used. See complete House polls.

Dem pickups: AZ-05 AZ-08 CA-11 CO-07 CT-02 CT-04 CT-05 FL-13 FL-16 FL-22 IA-01 ID-01 IL-06 IL-10 IN-02 IN-08 KY-03 KY-04 NC-08 NC-11 NM-01 NY-19 NY-20 NY-24 NY-25 NY-29 OH-01 OH-02 OH-15 OH-18 PA-06 PA-07 PA-08 PA-10 TX-22 WI-08

GOP pickups:
Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 See the details of the Senate and House races with photos, maps, links, polls, etc.
If you like this site, please announce it to news groups and blogs and tell your friends about it. If you have your own blog, please click on "For bloggers" above.

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com

absentee ballot for overseas voter
    Directory of Politics Blogs