Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:
Kerry 252
Bush 270
| Sept. 5 |
New polls: (none) |
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News from the Votemaster
No new state polls today. However, there is a whole herd
of national polls that reflect the expected postconvention bounce.
Here are the major ones:
| Pollster | Kerry | Bush |
| American Research Group | 48 | 47 |
| The Economist | 45 | 44 |
| Leger | 47 | 51 |
| Newsweek | 43 | 54 |
| Rasmussen | 45 | 49 |
| Time | 41 | 52 |
| Zogby | 44 | 46 |
Given this much spread, you can read anything you want into them. My own take is that Bush is
now slightly ahead. But the race really begins after Labor Day. State polls will start coming out
later in the week. Zogby, for example, will report on all the battleground states Tuesday afternoon.
As usual, there is a new
cartoon of the week today.
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-- The votemaster
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