State-by-State Margins Oct. 31

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% New York 18% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Rhode Island 13% Illinois 12% Maryland 11% Maine 11% Connecticut 10%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) Wisconsin 8% New Jersey 8% Delaware 7% California 7% Washington 6% Oregon 6%	Barely Kerry (<5%) Pennsylvania 3% Minnesota 3% Florida 2% New Mexico 1% Michigan 1% Iowa 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 45% Wyoming 36% Oklahoma 33% Nebraska 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Louisiana 26% Kansas 23% Texas 22% South Dakota 22% Montana 21% North Dakota 20% Indiana 19% South Carolina 18% Alabama 18% Kentucky 17% Tennessee 12% Georgia 10%	Weak Bush (5-9%) North Carolina 9% Mississippi 9% West Virginia 8% Arkansas 8% Ohio 5% Missouri 5% Colorado 5% Arizona 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) Virginia 4% Hawaii 1%

States that are exactly tied: Nevada New Hampshire

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