State-by-State Margins Oct. 30

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% New York 18% Maryland 17% Massachusetts 14% Illinois 14% Vermont 13% Rhode Island 13% Maine 11%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) Connecticut 9% Delaware 7% California 7% Washington 6% Minnesota 6% Wisconsin 5% Oregon 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) Pennsylvania 3% New Hampshire 3% Florida 2%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 45% Wyoming 36% Oklahoma 33% Nebraska 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Louisiana 26% Kansas 23% Texas 22% South Dakota 22% Montana 21% North Dakota 20% South Carolina 18% Alabama 18% Kentucky 17% Indiana 16% Tennessee 12% Georgia 10%	Weak Bush (5-9%) North Carolina 9% New Mexico 9% Mississippi 9% Nevada 7% Missouri 7% Virginia 6% Arkansas 6% Arizona 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) West Virginia 3% Michigan 2% Ohio 1% Iowa 1% Hawaii 1% Colorado 1%

States that are exactly tied: New Jersey

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