State-by-State Margins Oct. 29

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% Maryland 17% New York 16% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Rhode Island 13% Illinois 12% Maine 11%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) Connecticut 9% California 9% Delaware 7% Washington 5% Oregon 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) New Hampshire 4% Colorado 4% Wisconsin 3% Ohio 3% New Jersey 1% Iowa 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 37% Wyoming 36% Oklahoma 33% Nebraska 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Louisiana 26% Texas 23% Kansas 23% South Dakota 22% Montana 21% North Dakota 20% South Carolina 18% Alabama 18% Kentucky 17% Georgia 17% Indiana 16% Tennessee 12%	Weak Bush (5-9%) North Carolina 9% Mississippi 9% Missouri 7% Virginia 6% New Mexico 6% Arkansas 6% Nevada 5% Arizona 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) West Virginia 3% Michigan 2% Minnesota 1% Hawaii 1% Florida 1%

States that are exactly tied: Pennsylvania

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