State-by-State Margins Oct. 28

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% New York 21% Rhode Island 20% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Illinois 12% Maine 11% Maryland 10%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) New Hampshire 9% Connecticut 9% California 9% Delaware 7% Oregon 6% Washington 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) Wisconsin 4% Colorado 4% Pennsylvania 3% Minnesota 3% Ohio 1% New Jersey 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 37% Wyoming 36% Oklahoma 33% Nebraska 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Louisiana 26% Texas 23% South Dakota 22% Montana 21% North Dakota 20% Kansas 19% South Carolina 18% Kentucky 17% Georgia 17% Indiana 16% Tennessee 12% Alabama 12%	Weak Bush (5-9%) North Carolina 9% Mississippi 9% Nevada 7% Missouri 7% Virginia 6% Arkansas 6% Arizona 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) New Mexico 4% West Virginia 3% Florida 2% Hawaii 1%

States that are exactly tied: Iowa Michigan

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