State-by-State Margins Oct. 22

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% New York 23% Rhode Island 20% Illinois 16% Maryland 15% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Hawaii 10%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) Connecticut 9% California 9% Michigan 7% Delaware 7% Ohio 6% Maine 6% Washington 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) Oregon 4% New Mexico 2% New Jersey 2% New Hampshire 2% Pennsylvania 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 37% Wyoming 36% Nebraska 31% Oklahoma 30% North Dakota 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Alabama 24% Texas 23% Tennessee 22% Kentucky 22% Montana 21% Kansas 19% Georgia 17% Louisiana 15% South Carolina 13% Indiana 13% South Dakota 10%	Weak Bush (5-9%) Mississippi 9% North Carolina 8% Nevada 7% Colorado 7% Arizona 7% Missouri 6% Iowa 6% Arkansas 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) Wisconsin 3% West Virginia 3% Virginia 3% Florida 2%

States that are exactly tied: Minnesota

Back to the main page

Previous report

If you like this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.