State-by-State Margins Oct. 21

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% New York 23% Rhode Island 20% Illinois 16% Maryland 15% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Hawaii 10%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) Connecticut 9% California 9% Oregon 7% Delaware 7% Maine 6% Washington 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) Michigan 3% Iowa 3% New Mexico 2% New Jersey 2% New Hampshire 2% Pennsylvania 1% Florida 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 37% Wyoming 36% Nebraska 31% Oklahoma 30% North Dakota 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Alabama 24% Texas 23% Tennessee 22% Kentucky 22% Montana 21% Kansas 19% Louisiana 18% Georgia 17% South Carolina 13% Indiana 13% South Dakota 10%	Weak Bush (5-9%) Mississippi 9% Nevada 7% Arizona 7% Missouri 6% Colorado 5% Arkansas 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) West Virginia 3% Virginia 3% North Carolina 3% Wisconsin 2% Ohio 2%

States that are exactly tied: Minnesota

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