State-by-State Margins Oct. 8
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C. 67% Massachusetts 37% Rhode Island 18% Illinois 16% New York 12% Vermont 10% Oregon 10% Michigan 10% Maryland 10% Hawaii 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Connecticut 9% California 8% New Jersey 7% Minnesota 7% Delaware 7% Washington 5% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
Wisconsin 4% Pennsylvania 2% Maine 2% Ohio 1% Nevada 1% Iowa 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37% Wyoming 36% Nebraska 31% Oklahoma 30% North Dakota 29% Idaho 29% Alabama 28% Alaska 27% Georgia 25% Kansas 22% Texas 21% Tennessee 19% Kentucky 19% Indiana 19% Montana 18% South Dakota 12% South Carolina 12% Arizona 10% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
Mississippi 9% Louisiana 8% North Carolina 7% West Virginia 6% Florida 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
Virginia 3% Missouri 2% New Mexico 1% |
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